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Slovakia crestSlovakia
v
Malta crestMalta

Friendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 17:00

Slovakia v Malta Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 13:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Slovakia face Malta in Friendlies on Mon 01 Jun, 17:00. Slovakia enter this friendly fixture with a clear psychological advantage built across a long sequence of previous meetings. Slovakia possess a phenomenal defensive record, recording clean sheets in each of their last five international victories.

BT4Y best bet

Will fail if the opposing team manages to score a goal, regardless of the final outcome

  • At 4/7, Will fail if the opposing team manages to score a goal, regardless of the final outcome implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • They have conceded three or more goals in four of their last five losses, highlighting a regular struggle to manage escalating pressure.
  • Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Malta.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Will fail if the opposing team manages to score a goal, regardless of the final outcome sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Malta. They have conceded three or more goals in four of their last five losses, highlighting a regular struggle to manage escalating pressure.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
They have conceded three or more goals in four.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Slovakia Win is the preferred angle because they have conceded three or more goals in four of their last five losses, highlighting a regular struggle to manage escalating pressure. Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Malta. Higher-risk approaches might combine correct score selections with player props, accepting elevated volatility and narrower margins for a much larger return if the match script aligns perfectly.

Main risk

Higher-risk approaches might combine correct score selections with player props, accepting elevated volatility and narrower margins for a much larger return if the match script aligns perfectly.

Key Data Signals

Will fail if the opposing team manages to score a goal, regardless of the final outcome evidence

They have conceded three or more goals in four of their last five losses, highlighting a regular struggle.

Slovakia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Malta.

What To Watch In The Data

Will fail if the opposing team manages to score a goal, regardless of the final outcome notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 82% · edge -11.3 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Slovakia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Slovakia to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Slovakia2
    Avg goals scored
    Malta-
    Slovakia0
    Avg goals conceded
    Malta-
    Slovakia0%
    BTTS rate
    Malta-
    Slovakia0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Malta-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Slovakia

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Romania2-0

    Malta

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Malta yet.

    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 82% · edge -11.3 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Slovakia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Slovakia wins
    1Draws
    0Malta wins
    14 Nov 2021Malta v Slovakia0-6
    27 Mar 2021Slovakia v Malta2-2
    08 Oct 2017Slovakia v Malta3-0
    26 Mar 2017Malta v Slovakia1-3
    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 82% · edge -11.3 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Slovakia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Slovakia3
    Played
    Malta2
    Slovakia2
    Avg goals for
    Malta1.5
    Slovakia1
    Avg goals against
    Malta1
    Slovakia1
    Clean sheets
    Malta1
    Market aligned with main pickSlovakia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 82% · edge -11.3 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Slovakia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Season data supports Slovakia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Slovakia Over 2.5
    -Malta Over 2.5
    4.25H2H avg goals
    They have conceded three or more goals in four of their last five losses, highlighting a regular struggle to manage escalating pressure.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.