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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 19:45

Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 21:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sligo Rovers face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 03 Jul, 19:45. Sligo Rovers host Shamrock Rovers at The Showgrounds on 3 July 2026. Their season record is strong and simple: 14 wins, five draws, five defeats, 38 goals scored and 21 conceded.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Sligo Rovers Win

  • At 11/20, Sligo Rovers Win implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • There is also too much defensive leakage.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sligo Rovers.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Sligo Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sligo Rovers sit 10 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Sligo Rovers Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 27% (-37.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Sligo Rovers Win sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sligo Rovers. There is also too much defensive leakage.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
There is also too much defensive leakage.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sligo Rovers Win is the preferred angle because there is also too much defensive leakage. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sligo Rovers. The visitors can dominate phases, but the road has still produced enough bumps to keep this contest alive.

Main risk

The visitors can dominate phases, but the road has still produced enough bumps to keep this contest alive.

Key Data Signals

Sligo Rovers Win evidence

There is also too much defensive leakage.

Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sligo Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Sligo Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sligo Rovers sit 10 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sligo Rovers Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sligo Rovers3.5
    Avg corners for
    Shamrock Rovers4.25
    Sligo Rovers11.75
    Avg total corners
    Shamrock Rovers7.75
    Sligo Rovers1.25
    Avg yellow cards
    Shamrock Rovers2.25
    Sligo Rovers7.5
    Avg shots
    Shamrock Rovers13.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 53%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sligo Rovers1
    Avg goals scored
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Sligo Rovers2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Shamrock Rovers0.8
    Sligo Rovers60%
    BTTS rate
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Sligo Rovers80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shamrock Rovers40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Sligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Sligo Rovers to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sligo Rovers

    DLLLW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    27 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
    19 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    12 Jun 2026A Waterford0-4
    29 May 2026H Bohemians1-3
    22 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers2-1

    Shamrock Rovers

    WDWLW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1
    22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1
    19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0
    12 Jun 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    29 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-0
    Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Sligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Sligo Rovers wins
    2Draws
    4Shamrock Rovers wins
    22 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers1-2
    13 Mar 2026Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers0-2
    01 Nov 2025Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers1-2
    05 Jul 2025Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers2-2
    05 May 2025Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers2-0
    03 Mar 2025Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers2-1
    Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sligo Rovers to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Sligo Rovers24
    Played
    Shamrock Rovers25
    Sligo Rovers0.8
    Avg goals for
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Sligo Rovers1.7
    Avg goals against
    Shamrock Rovers0.9
    Sligo Rovers5
    Clean sheets
    Shamrock Rovers9
    Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Sligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Season data supports Sligo Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers5025155518
    10Sligo Rovers20245514-20
    Sligo Rovers sit in position 10, while Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Sligo Rovers Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
    40%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sligo Rovers sit at 80% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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