Sirius

Malmo FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 31 Aug, 18:00

Sirius v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 07:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius hosts Malmo FF in a high-stakes Allsvenskan clash where Sirius leads the table and Malmo FF sits mid-table. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, with Sirius scoring over two goals per game and Malmo FF maintaining a solid offensive output. The match promises open play and tactical battles, as Sirius aims to consolidate their top spot while Malmo FF looks to close the points gap. Recent form and offensive patterns suggest a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities expected.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Sirius averages 2.2 goals per game with an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches
Malmo FF also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring games
Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture
Sirius averages 15.5 shots and 7 corners per game, showing offensive pressure
Vecchia is a key attacking threat with over 8 shots on target per 90 minutes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against a 45.5% implied market probability, reflecting a 12.5% . Both teams have high recent Over 2.5 Goals rates (80%), and their head-to-head average goals stand at 4 per game, indicating open, attacking matches. Sirius’s offensive volume, including 15.5 shots per game and key players like R. Liimatta, supports sustained goal threats. Malmo FF’s attacking midfielders, especially S. Vecchia, contribute significant shot volume, enhancing scoring potential. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance58%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance45.5%

Strong positive

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% both teams

Strong positive

Head-to-Head Average Goals4 goals per game

Strong positive

Shot VolumeSirius 15.5, Malmo FF 12.67 per game

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and dynamic match as Sirius pushes to maintain their lead and Malmo FF seeks to respond offensively. The attacking roles of Sirius’s forwards and Malmo FF’s midfielders suggest multiple goal chances, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection supported by both tactical intent and recent scoring data.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and scoring potential

“Both teams possess attacking firepower and offensive momentum, with Sirius’s front line and Malmo FF’s midfield shooters likely to create numerous chances, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Sirius averages 2.2 goals per game with an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches

Malmo FF also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring games

Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture

Sirius averages 15.5 shots and 7 corners per game, showing offensive pressure

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten matches, the Over 2.5 Goals trend is strong for both teams, with an 80% occurrence rate.
The head-to-head average of 4 goals per game further confirms a pattern of open, attacking encounters, driven by tempo and offensive transitions that favor multiple scoring opportunities.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sirius6.8

Avg corners for

Malmo FF4

Sirius11.6

Avg total corners

Malmo FF9.2

Sirius1.6

Avg yellow cards

Malmo FF3.4

Sirius15.4

Avg shots

Malmo FF12.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 58% · edge +7.6 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Load more odds for this section

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

Check odds @ 2

Sirius’s average of 7 corners per game and 15.5 shots indicates sustained attacking pressure, while Malmo FF’s 4 corners and 12.67 shots reflect active offensive efforts. The disparity in yellow cards, with Malmo FF averaging 3 per game, suggests a physical contest that may lead to set-piece opportunities and shots from dead-ball situations.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Sirius v Malmo FF prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sirius2.2

Avg goals scored

Malmo FF1

Sirius2

Avg goals conceded

Malmo FF1.6

Sirius60%

BTTS rate

Malmo FF60%

Sirius80%

Over 2.5 goals

Malmo FF80%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Load more odds for this section

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Both teams have consistently featured in high-scoring matches, with Sirius and Malmo FF each posting an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently. Their head-to-head average of 4 goals per game underscores a pattern of open play and goal exchanges, supporting expectations of multiple goals and BTTS scenarios.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.2, offering a 12.5% over the model’s 58% chance. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a positive-value opportunity without current price warnings.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sirius

LLDWW

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 2D 2L

21 Aug 2026H BK Hacken0-3

15 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF3-4

10 Aug 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2

03 Aug 2026A Halmstad2-0

26 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-1

Malmo FF

LWLWL

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 1D 4L

24 Aug 2026H Djurgardens IF0-3

16 Aug 2026A Gais1-0

09 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF1-2

02 Aug 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1

26 Jul 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 78% · edge +2.7 pts

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Load more odds for this section

Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 56%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Recent form data shows both teams frequently surpassing 2.5 goals, with Sirius scoring 2.2 goals per game and Malmo FF 1 goal per game, but both maintaining an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate. This consistent scoring trend highlights their offensive capabilities and supports expectations for a high-scoring match.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sirius wins

1Draws

5Malmo FF wins

23 Apr 2026Malmo FF v Sirius2-3

05 Oct 2025Sirius v Malmo FF5-1

18 Apr 2025Malmo FF v Sirius1-1

27 Jul 2024Malmo FF v Sirius0-1

19 Jul 2024Sirius v Malmo FF3-4

28 Aug 2023Sirius v Malmo FF1-3

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

The last ten meetings between Sirius and Malmo FF have averaged 4 goals per game, indicating historically open and high-scoring contests. This head-to-head trend supports the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture, reflecting both teams’ attacking approaches and defensive vulnerabilities.

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Sirius18

Played

Malmo FF18

Sirius2.6

Avg goals for

Malmo FF1.8

Sirius1.4

Avg goals against

Malmo FF1.7

Sirius5

Clean sheets

Malmo FF5

Best odds for this sectionSirius to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.7 pts

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Load more odds for this section

Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Season-long statistics reveal Sirius as the league leader with 42 points and a strong attack averaging over 2 goals per game, while Malmo FF, ranked eighth, maintains a solid offensive output with 1 goal per game and a high shot volume. These profiles align with a match likely to feature multiple goals.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Sirius	42	18	13	3	2	21
8	Malmo FF	26	18	8	2	8	2

Sirius’s top position in the Allsvenskan table reflects their attacking control and , while Malmo FF’s mid-table standing indicates room for offensive ambition. The points gap adds competitive motivation for both sides to seek goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, high-scoring fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sirius Over 2.5

80%Malmo FF Over 2.5

4H2H avg goals

Over the last ten matches, the Over 2.5 Goals trend is strong for both teams, with an 80% occurrence rate. The head-to-head average of 4 goals per game further confirms a pattern of open, attacking encounters, driven by tempo and offensive transitions that favor multiple scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Sirius v Malmo FF Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Sirius

Malmo FF

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Sirius v Malmo FF Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Sirius

Malmo FF

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step