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Sirius crestSirius
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 31 Aug, 18:00

Sirius v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 02:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius face Malmo FF in Allsvenskan on Mon 31 Aug, 18:00. Sirius have scored 2.5 goals per game across their last 10 league matches from 47.5% possession, showing how little they rely on possession control to produce attacking output. Sirius' unbeaten recent record versus Malmo supports a home win with both teams scoring.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to win and both teams to score

  • At 21/10, Sirius to win and both teams to score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Sirius need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sirius on 7 and Malmo FF on 6.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Sirius and 60% for Malmo FF.
  • Sirius to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.2 for Sirius and 1 for Malmo FF are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for Sirius to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Sirius need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sirius on 7 and Malmo FF on 6. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Positive
Sirius need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sirius Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Sirius need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sirius on 7 and Malmo FF on 6. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sirius to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Sirius need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sirius on 7 and Malmo FF on 6.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Sirius and 60% for Malmo FF.

Sirius Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.2 for Sirius and 1 for Malmo FF are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sirius6.8
Avg corners for
Malmo FF4
Sirius11.6
Avg total corners
Malmo FF9.2
Sirius1.6
Avg yellow cards
Malmo FF3.4
Sirius15.4
Avg shots
Malmo FF12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 58% · edge +7.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sirius2.2
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF1
Sirius2
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF1.6
Sirius60%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF60%
Sirius80%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.5
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 67% · edge -3.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sirius Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sirius

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
21 Aug 2026H BK Hacken0-3
15 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF3-4
10 Aug 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
03 Aug 2026A Halmstad2-0
26 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-1

Malmo FF

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
24 Aug 2026H Djurgardens IF0-3
16 Aug 2026A Gais1-0
09 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF1-2
02 Aug 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
26 Jul 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 80% · edge +0.8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sirius wins
1Draws
5Malmo FF wins
23 Apr 2026Malmo FF v Sirius2-3
05 Oct 2025Sirius v Malmo FF5-1
18 Apr 2025Malmo FF v Sirius1-1
27 Jul 2024Malmo FF v Sirius0-1
19 Jul 2024Sirius v Malmo FF3-4
28 Aug 2023Sirius v Malmo FF1-3
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge +0.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Sirius to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Sirius22
Played
Malmo FF22
Sirius2.4
Avg goals for
Malmo FF1.7
Sirius1.3
Avg goals against
Malmo FF1.5
Sirius7
Clean sheets
Malmo FF7
Market aligned with main pickSirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 67% · edge -3.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Sirius to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Sirius Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius5122163324
6Malmo FF332210394
Sirius sit in position 1, while Malmo FF sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Sirius to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sirius Over 2.5
80%Malmo FF Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sirius sit at 80% and Malmo FF sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.