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Sirius crestSirius
v
BK Hacken crestBK Hacken

Allsvenskan | Fri 21 Aug, 18:00

Sirius v BK Hacken Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius hosts BK Hacken in a high-stakes Allsvenskan clash where Sirius leads the table and BK Hacken sits third, both pushing for top positions. Sirius boasts a strong attacking style with a high volume of shots and corners, while BK Hacken tends to play more cautiously but still generates set-piece opportunities. The match is expected to feature sustained pressure and territorial battles, with both teams capable of forcing multiple corners. Recent form and tactical setups suggest an open game with frequent wide attacks and crosses, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Sirius averages 6.8 corners per game, BK Hacken 5.2, combining for over 11 per match on average.
  • Both teams generate significant attacking pressure, with Sirius averaging 17.4 shots and BK Hacken 13 shots per game.
  • Sirius's aggressive wide play and BK Hacken's set-piece involvement increase corner opportunities.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support for this market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% probability for over 9.5 corners, supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and average corner counts. Sirius's high shot volume and BK Hacken's set-piece creation contribute to frequent corner scenarios. The current of 1.62 offer positive value with a 7.3% edge. No price warnings apply, making this a solid pick based on territorial control and sustained pressure patterns. Both teams' styles and recent form align well with a corner-heavy game, reinforcing the model's .

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Chance61.7%
Positive
Value Edge7.3%
Strong positive
Sirius Avg Corners6.8 per game
Strong positive
BK Hacken Avg Corners5.2 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where Sirius's aggressive wing play and BK Hacken's set-piece threat combine to produce numerous corners. Sirius's league-leading form and attacking pressure suggest they will force many corners, while BK Hacken's defensive resilience may lead to repeated wide deliveries. This dynamic supports the over 9.5 corners selection as a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“Sirius's control in wide areas and BK Hacken's ability to draw fouls and set pieces create a fertile environment for corners. Their contrasting styles complement each other in producing a high corner count, making over 9.5 corners a compelling market for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Sirius averages 6.8 corners per game, BK Hacken 5.2, combining for over 11 per match on average.

Both teams generate significant attacking pressure, with Sirius averaging 17.4 shots and BK Hacken 13 shots per game.

Sirius's aggressive wide play and BK Hacken's set-piece involvement increase corner opportunities.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support for this market.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.3, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • This tempo suggests frequent attacking transitions and set-piece opportunities, which often lead to corners.
  • The trend panel for over 2.5 goals supports a lively match environment where both teams push forward, increasing the likelihood of corners through crosses and defensive clearances.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sirius6.8
Avg corners for
BK Hacken5.2
Sirius11.4
Avg total corners
BK Hacken10.6
Sirius1.8
Avg yellow cards
BK Hacken1.8
Sirius17.4
Avg shots
BK Hacken13
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Sirius and BK Hacken both generate high shot volumes (17.4 and 13 respectively) and moderate fouling rates, leading to frequent set-piece situations. Sirius's wide attacking play and BK Hacken's defensive fouls increase corner likelihood. Both teams average 1.8 yellow cards per game, indicating a competitive match with physical challenges that often result in corners from defensive clearances and fouls near the box.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sirius2.8
Avg goals scored
BK Hacken0.8
Sirius1.6
Avg goals conceded
BK Hacken0.8
Sirius80%
BTTS rate
BK Hacken20%
Sirius80%
Over 2.5 goals
BK Hacken20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +7.3 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
While the focus is on corners, goal trends show Sirius averaging 2.8 goals per game with an 80% over 2.5 rate, contrasting with BK Hacken's lower scoring and 20% over 2.5 rate. This disparity suggests Sirius's attacking pressure may lead to more set pieces, indirectly supporting corner volume. BTTS rates also reflect Sirius's offensive openness, which can translate into more corners through sustained attacks.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +8.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BK Hacken Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The over 9.5 corners market is priced at 1.62 with a of 69%, indicating positive value. The 7.3% suggests the underestimate the likelihood of a corner-heavy game, supported by both teams' attacking profiles and corner averages. This pricing offers a strong betting angle without requiring caution for price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sirius

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
15 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF3-4
10 Aug 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
03 Aug 2026A Halmstad2-0
26 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-1
19 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg3-1

BK Hacken

WLDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
17 Aug 2026H Halmstad1-0
09 Aug 2026A Hammarby FF0-3
01 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF1-1
27 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm0-0
19 Jul 2026A Halmstad2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 80% · edge +6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Sirius to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BK Hacken Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
BK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Sirius has collected 10 points recently with an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals and corners, reflecting their attacking control and ability to force set pieces. BK Hacken's recent 8 points and lower over 2.5 rate of 20% suggest a more conservative approach, but their corner averages remain solid. This contrast supports a match where Sirius's pressure drives corner volume, aligning with the over 9.5 corners pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sirius wins
2Draws
6BK Hacken wins
27 Apr 2026BK Hacken v Sirius2-2
18 Oct 2025BK Hacken v Sirius1-1
10 May 2025Sirius v BK Hacken2-0
01 Mar 2025BK Hacken v Sirius0-2
29 Sep 2024BK Hacken v Sirius2-0
04 May 2024Sirius v BK Hacken0-3
Best odds for this sectionSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +8.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
BK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The ten previous matches between Sirius and BK Hacken have averaged 3.3 goals per game, reflecting open contests that generate attacking pressure. This historical data supports a scenario where both teams engage in wide play and defensive challenges, leading to multiple corners. While not the sole factor, the H2H record aligns with the expectation of a corner-rich fixture.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Sirius17
Played
BK Hacken17
Sirius2.8
Avg goals for
BK Hacken1.7
Sirius1.4
Avg goals against
BK Hacken1.5
Sirius5
Clean sheets
BK Hacken5
Best odds for this sectionSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +8.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BK Hacken Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Season-long data shows Sirius averaging 6.8 corners per game and BK Hacken 5.2, combining for a high total that supports the over 9.5 corners market. Sirius's strong offensive numbers and BK Hacken's set-piece involvement create sustained corner opportunities. Defensive stats indicate both teams concede chances that lead to corners rather than clean clearances, reinforcing the corner-heavy outlook.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius4217133124
3BK Hacken28177733
Sirius leads the Allsvenskan with 42 points, while BK Hacken sits third with 28 points, both motivated to maintain or improve their positions. Sirius's top spot reflects their attacking , likely translating into aggressive wing play and corner creation. BK Hacken's position suggests a balanced approach but with enough offensive threat to contribute to corner counts, making the market relevant to the competitive stakes.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sirius Over 2.5
20%BK Hacken Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.3, indicating open games with attacking intent. This tempo suggests frequent attacking transitions and set-piece opportunities, which often lead to corners. The trend panel for over 2.5 goals supports a lively match environment where both teams push forward, increasing the likelihood of corners through crosses and defensive clearances.

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