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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division | Sun 09 Aug, 17:00

Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl. Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne face St Patrick's Athl. in a Premier Division clash where both teams have shown contrasting styles that could influence set-piece frequency. Shelbourne's recent matches feature a high rate of over 2.5 goals and a moderate BTTS rate, while St Patrick's Athl. have a solid defensive record but generate more shots and attacking pressure. The fixture's tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest a contest likely to produce numerous corners, especially given Shelbourne's aggressive wing play and St Patrick's Athl.'s active shooting patterns. This match offers a dynamic battle with set-piece opportunities expected to be plentiful.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Shelbourne average 6.25 corners per game, St Patrick's Athl. 5.8, combining for over 12 on average
  • Model estimates a 69% chance of over 9.5 corners, well above the 49.5% implied by
  • Shelbourne's attacking style and St Patrick's Athl.'s high shot volume suggest frequent corner wins
  • Recent form shows Shelbourne's matches often exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open play and set-piece chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in the Over 9.5 Corners market, projecting a 69% chance based on both teams' corner averages and attacking tendencies. Shelbourne's aggressive wing play and St Patrick's Athl.'s high shot volume contribute to frequent corner situations. The imply only a 49.5% chance, creating a significant of 19.5%. is high at 88%, supported by consistent recent form and season-long corner data. No data limitations or price warnings reduce the reliability of this selection.

Corner averagesShelbourne 6.25, St Patrick's Athl. 5.8 per game
Strong positive
Model chance vs odds implied69% vs 49.5%, +19.5% value edge
Strong positive
Recent attacking formShelbourne's open games and St Patrick's Athl.'s shot volume
Positive
Confidence level88%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both teams pushing forward, generating multiple attacking sequences that should lead to numerous corners. Shelbourne's wing play and St Patrick's Athl.'s high shot frequency underpin the corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and statistically supported choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This matchup features two teams whose attacking styles naturally produce many corners, especially with Shelbourne's wing emphasis and St Patrick's Athl.'s shooting intensity. The corner market stands out as a key angle to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Shelbourne average 6.25 corners per game, St Patrick's Athl. 5.8, combining for over 12 on average

Model estimates a 69% chance of over 9.5 corners, well above the 49.5% implied by

Shelbourne's attacking style and St Patrick's Athl.'s high shot volume suggest frequent corner wins

Recent form shows Shelbourne's matches often exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open play and set-piece chances

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals total 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open contests.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the moderate scoring suggests that attacking phases and transitions are frequent, which often correlate with increased corner counts due to defensive pressure and wide play.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shelbourne6.25
Avg corners for
St Patrick's Athl.5.8
Shelbourne10.75
Avg total corners
St Patrick's Athl.10.6
Shelbourne3
Avg yellow cards
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Shelbourne12
Avg shots
St Patrick's Athl.18.2
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Shelbourne average 6.25 corners and 12 shots per game, while St Patrick's Athl. average 5.8 corners and 18.2 shots, indicating sustained attacking pressure and wing play that typically generate corners. Discipline is moderate, with Shelbourne averaging 3 yellows and St Patrick's Athl. 1.6, suggesting a physical but not overly aggressive match environment conducive to set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne1.2
Avg goals scored
St Patrick's Athl.1.2
Shelbourne1.8
Avg goals conceded
St Patrick's Athl.1
Shelbourne60%
BTTS rate
St Patrick's Athl.60%
Shelbourne80%
Over 2.5 goals
St Patrick's Athl.20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams show contrasting goal and BTTS trends: Shelbourne's matches often exceed 2.5 goals with a 60% BTTS rate, while St Patrick's Athl. have a lower over 2.5 rate but maintain a 60% BTTS rate. This mix suggests open play with chances for both sides, indirectly supporting frequent corners through attacking pressure and transitions.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The Over 9.5 Corners market offers clear value as the model's 69% probability significantly exceeds the 49.5% implied by current . This gap indicates a strong pricing inefficiency, making the market attractive without major price sensitivity or warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

LWDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
02 Aug 2026A Waterford0-1
03 Jul 2026H Dundalk2-1
27 Jun 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
22 Jun 2026H Bohemians0-3
19 Jun 2026A Drogheda United2-2

St Patrick's Athl.

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
02 Aug 2026H Derry City1-1
24 Jul 2026H Dundalk1-1
10 Jul 2026A Waterford1-1
03 Jul 2026H Galway United3-0
26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 77% · edge -0.2 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent matches show Shelbourne with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS, indicating open games with attacking intent. St Patrick's Athl. have a lower over 2.5 rate at 20% but maintain 60% BTTS, suggesting balanced matches. Both teams' recent corner averages support the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Shelbourne wins
2Draws
3St Patrick's Athl. wins
15 May 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Shelbourne0-1
06 Mar 2026Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.2-3
01 Nov 2025Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.0-0
17 Aug 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Shelbourne2-0
16 Jun 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Shelbourne0-1
09 May 2025Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The ten previous meetings average 2.1 goals per game, showing moderately open matches but not excessively high scoring. This sample provides background context but does not strongly predict corner counts. Tactical approaches and current form are more relevant for corner market expectations in this fixture.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Shelbourne26
Played
St Patrick's Athl.27
Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals for
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals against
St Patrick's Athl.0.9
Shelbourne5
Clean sheets
St Patrick's Athl.9
Best odds for this sectionSt Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 48% · edge +1.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long data reveals both teams consistently generate corners above six per game combined, with Shelbourne's 6.25 and St Patrick's Athl.'s 5.8 corners per match. This sustained pattern reflects tactical emphasis on wing play and attacking pressure, reinforcing the Over 9.5 Corners market as a logical outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2St Patrick's Athl.4727138620
5Shelbourne34268108-2
Shelbourne sit 5th with 34 points, while St Patrick's Athl. are 2nd with 44 points, reflecting differing stakes but both sides pushing for positive results. The competitive context encourages attacking play and set-piece opportunities, as both teams seek to assert control and capitalize on chances, supporting a high corner count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Shelbourne Over 2.5
20%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals total 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open contests. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the moderate scoring suggests that attacking phases and transitions are frequent, which often correlate with increased corner counts due to defensive pressure and wide play.

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Fixture links

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