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Championship | Sun 13 Sep, 12:00

Sheffield Utd v Wolves Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheffield Utd and Wolves meet in a Championship clash where both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season. Sheffield Utd have scored and conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Wolves have been more prolific offensively, netting 2.6 goals per match but also conceding 2.0. Both sides have demonstrated a tendency for open games, with Wolves boasting a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and Sheffield Utd at 80%. This fixture promises an engaging contest with offensive players likely to influence the scoreline significantly.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Wolves have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.
  • Sheffield Utd also show strong Over 2.5 form at 80%, supporting an open game scenario.
  • Wolves average 16 shots per match with 4.6 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.
  • Sheffield Utd’s defensive record concedes 1.6 goals per game, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 73.9% chance, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating clear value. Both teams exhibit attacking styles and defensive openness, with Wolves especially prolific in creating shots and scoring. Sheffield Utd’s tendency to concede and Wolves’ high shot volume support a goal-rich encounter. No data limitations affect , making this a strong statistical and tactical case for Over 2.5 Goals.

Model Probability73.9% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance57.8% chance
Neutral
Value Edge+16.1%
Strong positive
Teams’ Over 2.5 RatesSheffield Utd 80%, Wolves 100%
Strong positive
Shot VolumeWolves average 16 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Sheffield Utd and Wolves have shown strong offensive output this season. Wolves’ high shot volume and goal-scoring form combined with Sheffield Utd’s defensive concessions suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a logical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Wolves’ aggressive attacking approach and Sheffield Utd’s defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The data clearly points to a game where goals will be plentiful, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Wolves have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.

Sheffield Utd also show strong Over 2.5 form at 80%, supporting an open game scenario.

Wolves average 16 shots per match with 4.6 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.

Sheffield Utd’s defensive record concedes 1.6 goals per game, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.0, slightly below the current season averages.
  • However, recent form and attacking metrics indicate an upward trend in scoring tempo, supporting the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sheffield Utd4
Avg corners for
Wolves5.5
Sheffield Utd11
Avg total corners
Wolves10.5
Sheffield Utd1.6
Avg yellow cards
Wolves1
Sheffield Utd9.8
Avg shots
Wolves15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +12.8 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Wolves average 5.4 corners and 16 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Sheffield Utd’s 4 corners and nearly 10 shots per game also indicate offensive intent. Card averages are moderate, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sheffield Utd1.6
Avg goals scored
Wolves2.6
Sheffield Utd1.6
Avg goals conceded
Wolves2
Sheffield Utd80%
BTTS rate
Wolves100%
Sheffield Utd80%
Over 2.5 goals
Wolves100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have strong Over 2.5 and BTTS rates, with Wolves at 100% Over 2.5 and BTTS, and Sheffield Utd at 80% for both metrics. This indicates a pattern of open matches with goals at both ends, supporting a goal-rich fixture scenario.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Wolves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a of 73.9% versus an implied market chance of 57.8%, offering a significant . This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game given both teams’ attacking tendencies and defensive records.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sheffield Utd

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
08 Sep 2026A Blackburn2-1
05 Sep 2026H Norwich1-3
01 Sep 2026H Bolton3-2
29 Aug 2026A Cardiff2-2
22 Aug 2026A Swansea0-0

Wolves

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Birmingham2-2
01 Sep 2026A West Ham2-4
29 Aug 2026H Stoke City4-1
22 Aug 2026A Preston3-1
14 Aug 2026H Blackburn2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Wolves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data shows both teams averaging over 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game, with Wolves maintaining a perfect 100% Over 2.5 record and Sheffield Utd at 80%. This recent trend underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring match with open play and goal opportunities for both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Sheffield Utd wins
1Draws
6Wolves wins
25 Feb 2024Wolves v Sheffield Utd1-0
04 Nov 2023Sheffield Utd v Wolves2-1
09 Jan 2022Wolves v Sheffield Utd3-0
17 Apr 2021Wolves v Sheffield Utd1-0
14 Sep 2020Sheffield Utd v Wolves0-2
08 Jul 2020Sheffield Utd v Wolves1-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2 goals per game, which is modest but not fully reflective of current attacking form. Recent season data and tactical openness provide a stronger basis for expecting more goals than historical meetings suggest.
Season team stats

Championship

Sheffield Utd7
Played
Wolves6
Sheffield Utd1.1
Avg goals for
Wolves2.3
Sheffield Utd1.3
Avg goals against
Wolves1.7
Sheffield Utd2
Clean sheets
Wolves1
Best odds for this sectionWolves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long statistics reveal Wolves’ potent attack averaging 2.6 goals per game and a defense conceding 2.0, while Sheffield Utd balance scoring and conceding at 1.6 goals per game. These figures highlight a fixture prone to multiple goals due to offensive strength and defensive vulnerabilities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Wolves1163214
14Sheffield Utd97232-1
Both teams sit mid-table with similar points totals, reducing pressure for a cautious approach. This league position and point parity suggest a match where both sides will seek to assert attacking control rather than settle for a low-scoring draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sheffield Utd Over 2.5
100%Wolves Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.0, slightly below the current season averages. However, recent form and attacking metrics indicate an upward trend in scoring tempo, supporting the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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