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Servette FC crestServette FC
v
FC Sion crestFC Sion

Super League | Sat 10 Oct, 17:00

Servette FC v FC Sion Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Super League clash features FC Sion visiting Servette FC, with Sion currently third in the standings and showing strong recent form. Sion has been prolific offensively, averaging 2.8 goals per game and boasting an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Servette sits eighth with more modest attacking returns. Sion's tactical approach emphasizes quick transitions and high shot volume, putting pressure on Servette's defense, which concedes 1.6 goals per match. The stakes are high as Sion aims to consolidate their top-table position against a Servette side struggling for consistency.

BT4Y best bet

FC Sion to Win

  • FC Sion ranks 3rd with 19 points; Servette 8th with 10 points
  • Sion averages 2.8 goals per game versus Servette's 1.4
  • Sion's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 80%, double Servette's 40%
  • Sion averages 15 shots and 6.2 shots on target per match, indicating offensive pressure
  • Servette concedes 1.6 goals per game, higher than Sion's 1.2 goals against

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors FC Sion to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior attacking output and recent form. Sion's high shot volume and goal-scoring efficiency, led by key attackers like Winsley Boteli Mokango and B. Kololli, underpin this . Servette's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate further tilt the balance. The at 2.45 offer positive value given the model's implied chance of 40.8%. This pick is supported by comprehensive player and team data without any data quality concerns.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Goal Scoring RateSion 2.8 vs Servette 1.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Shot VolumeSion 15 shots per game vs Servette 10.6
Strong positive
Defensive ConcessionServette concedes 1.6 goals per game
Positive
Odds Value Edge56.7% model chance vs 41.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Sion's attacking prowess and superior recent form make them the clear favorite in this fixture. Their ability to generate high-quality chances and convert them consistently contrasts with Servette's defensive struggles, suggesting Sion's win is the most probable outcome.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“FC Sion's offensive efficiency and shot control create a compelling case for their victory, especially against a Servette defense that has shown susceptibility to sustained pressure.”

Key Data Signals

FC Sion to Win evidence

FC Sion ranks 3rd with 19 points; Servette 8th with 10 points

Sion averages 2.8 goals per game versus Servette's 1.4

Sion's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 80%, double Servette's 40%

Sion averages 15 shots and 6.2 shots on target per match, indicating offensive pressure

What To Watch In The Data

FC Sion to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the fixture's average goals stand at 3.2, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend.
  • Sion's 80% Over 2.5 rate in recent games suggests a high-tempo, attacking encounter likely to produce multiple goals, consistent with historical match trends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Servette FC1.4
Avg goals scored
FC Sion2.8
Servette FC1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Sion1.2
Servette FC40%
BTTS rate
FC Sion80%
Servette FC40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Sion80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams' goal trends highlight a likely open game, with Sion averaging 2.8 goals and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Servette's 40% rate suggests occasional goal concessions. Sion's offensive style and Servette's defensive concessions support expectations for multiple goals and a high-scoring match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Sion to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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FC Sion Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 56.7% for FC Sion to Win sits against roughly 41.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). FC Sion have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Servette FC.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Servette FC

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
19 Sep 2026A BSC Young Boys2-3
16 Sep 2026A FC Thun4-2
13 Sep 2026A Lausanne1-0
06 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen0-2
03 Sep 2026A FC Lugano0-1

FC Sion

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 2L
19 Sep 2026H FC Zurich1-1
15 Sep 2026A Grasshoppers5-2
12 Sep 2026A FC ST. Gallen3-0
06 Sep 2026H FC Thun3-2
03 Sep 2026A FC Basel 18932-1
Market aligned with main pickFC Sion to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Sion Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form data shows FC Sion accumulating 13 points with strong goal-scoring output, contrasting with Servette's 6 points and lower scoring frequency. Sion's momentum and from recent results enhance their chances of securing a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Servette FC Over 2.5
80%FC Sion Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the fixture's average goals stand at 3.2, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend. Sion's 80% Over 2.5 rate in recent games suggests a high-tempo, attacking encounter likely to produce multiple goals, consistent with historical match trends.

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