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Scotland crestScotland
v
Morocco crestMorocco

World Cup | Fri 19 Jun, 23:00

Scotland v Morocco Stats

Data last updated: Wed 15 Jul 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scotland face Morocco in World Cup on Fri 19 Jun, 23:00. Group C Tension Builds in Boston. Morocco's outstanding form makes them a formidable opponent. Morocco's strong defensive structure makes a narrow margin the most realistic outcome. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y match pick

Scotland Win

  • At 4/6, Scotland Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • With 16 clean sheets in 26 games and an average of only 0.46 goals conceded, they possess the resilience to contain Scotland while finding.
  • Scotland have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Morocco.
  • Scotland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Scotland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Scotland Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Scotland have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Morocco. With 16 clean sheets in 26 games and an average of only that scoring level conceded, they possess the resilience to contain Scotland while finding.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Scotland have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Scotland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
With 16 clean sheets in 26 games and an.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Scotland Win is the preferred angle because with 16 clean sheets in 26 games and an average of only that scoring level conceded, they possess the resilience to contain Scotland while finding a decisive breakthrough via Brahim Diaz. Scotland have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Morocco. That result matters not just because of the point, but because of what it says about their level.

Main risk

That result matters not just because of the point, but because of what it says about their level.

Key Data Signals

Scotland Win evidence

With 16 clean sheets in 26 games and an average of only 0.46 goals conceded, they possess the.

Scotland have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Morocco.

Scotland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Scotland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Scotland Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Scotland3
    Avg corners for
    Morocco2
    Scotland7
    Avg total corners
    Morocco8
    Scotland3
    Avg yellow cards
    Morocco0
    Scotland9
    Avg shots
    Morocco14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +9.9 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    World Cup fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Scotland1
    Avg goals scored
    Morocco1
    Scotland0
    Avg goals conceded
    Morocco1
    Scotland0%
    BTTS rate
    Morocco100%
    Scotland0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Morocco0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 48% · edge +19.1 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 19% · edge +37.4 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Scotland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Scotland to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Scotland

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    14 Jun 2026A Haiti1-0

    Morocco

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    13 Jun 2026A Brazil1-1
    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 19% · edge +37.4 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
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    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 82%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Scotland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Scotland wins
    0Draws
    0Morocco wins
    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 19% · edge +37.4 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Scotland to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Scotland3
    Played
    Morocco6
    Scotland0.3
    Avg goals for
    Morocco1.8
    Scotland1.3
    Avg goals against
    Morocco1
    Scotland1
    Clean sheets
    Morocco2
    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 19% · edge +37.4 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Scotland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Season data supports Scotland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Morocco732103
    3Scotland33102-3
    11Scotland33102-3
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Scotland Over 2.5
    0%Morocco Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Scotland sit at 0% and Morocco sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Scotland v Morocco prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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