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Scafatese crestScafatese
v
Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 27 Sep, 16:30

Scafatese v Team Altamura Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scafatese and Team Altamura meet in a Serie C - Girone C clash where both sides have shown cautious attacking output this season. Scafatese have scored just 1 goal in recent matches while conceding slightly more than one per game, and Team Altamura have struggled to find the net consistently, averaging 0.6 goals per game. Both teams have a modest rate of matches going over 2.5 goals at 40%, indicating a tendency towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs. This fixture is likely to be a tactical battle with defensive solidity prioritized over expansive attacking play, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Scafatese average just 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded recently, showing defensive focus.
  • Team Altamura have a low scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and concede 1.6 on average.
  • Both teams have only 40% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting tight games.
  • Recent form points are close, indicating a balanced contest with limited attacking control.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 63.3% chance, reflecting the low scoring trends from both teams. Scafatese and Team Altamura have shown restrained offensive output and moderate defensive records, supporting a cautious game likely to produce fewer goals. The at 1.67 offer a small positive , making this a sensible selection based on statistical patterns and tactical expectations. Data quality is solid for both sides, enhancing in the forecast.

Model Chance63.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+3.4 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Scoring RatesLow goals per game for both teams
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% for both teams
Positive
Data QualityGood data coverage for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given the defensive tendencies and low scoring averages of both Scafatese and Team Altamura. The teams have shown limited offensive threat recently, and tactical caution is expected to prevail. This selection aligns well with the statistical evidence and the likely match tempo, making it a prudent choice for bettors.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring outlook

“This fixture looks set for a tight, tactical contest with both sides prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling angle based on current form and scoring trends.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Scafatese average just 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded recently, showing defensive focus.

Team Altamura have a low scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and concede 1.6 on average.

Both teams have only 40% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting tight games.

Recent form points are close, indicating a balanced contest with limited attacking control.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 40% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a consistent trend towards lower scoring affairs.
  • This trend suggests a match tempo favoring defensive control and fewer goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scafatese1
Avg goals scored
Team Altamura0.6
Scafatese1.2
Avg goals conceded
Team Altamura1.6
Scafatese60%
BTTS rate
Team Altamura40%
Scafatese40%
Over 2.5 goals
Team Altamura40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +3.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have low scoring averages and a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency towards fewer goals and less frequent BTTS outcomes. This points to a match likely dominated by defensive discipline and limited attacking breakthroughs.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Scafatese to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Team Altamura Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Scafatese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Team Altamura to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The 63.3% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Scafatese and 40% for Team Altamura, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scafatese

DDWDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 1L
19 Sep 2026A Cosenza1-1
15 Sep 2026H SS Monopoli0-0
12 Sep 2026A Catania2-1
06 Sep 2026A Casertana2-2
28 Aug 2026H AZ Picerno0-2

Team Altamura

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
19 Sep 2026H AZ Picerno2-1
15 Sep 2026A Casertana0-1
11 Sep 2026H Bari0-3
06 Sep 2026H Savoia0-2
29 Aug 2026A Inter U231-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 85% · edge -2.4 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Scafatese to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Team Altamura Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Scafatese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Team Altamura to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form shows Scafatese with 6 points and Team Altamura with 4, both scoring under 1.2 goals per game and conceding around 1.2 to 1.6 goals. This form profile supports a low scoring match with neither side demonstrating strong offensive momentum.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Scafatese Over 2.5
40%Team Altamura Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 40% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a consistent trend towards lower scoring affairs. This trend suggests a match tempo favoring defensive control and fewer goal opportunities.

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