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Scafatese crestScafatese
v
SS Monopoli crestSS Monopoli

Serie C - Girone C | Tue 15 Sep, 20:00

Scafatese v SS Monopoli Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scafatese and SS Monopoli meet in Serie C - Girone C with both sides showing contrasting recent form and tactical approaches. Scafatese has scored frequently but also conceded regularly, indicating an open style that often leads to goals at both ends. SS Monopoli has been more conservative defensively but less prolific going forward. The fixture promises a tactical battle where Scafatese's attacking intent could challenge Monopoli's defensive resilience, setting the stage for a match where both teams have a strong chance to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Scafatese has a 75% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • SS Monopoli has yet to record a BTTS game, showing a contrasting defensive solidity.
  • Scafatese averages 1.75 goals scored per match but concedes 2, suggesting open games.
  • Monopoli concedes only 0.5 goals per match but scores fewer goals, indicating tight matches.
  • Model projects a 58.3% chance for both teams to score, with positive value at of 2.0.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to Scafatese's high scoring and conceding rates combined with Monopoli's defensive solidity but limited scoring. Scafatese's 75% BTTS rate strongly supports the likelihood of goals at both ends, while Monopoli's defensive record suggests they may concede but still pose a scoring threat. The offer positive value with an 8.3% edge, making this a solid pick based on current form and team profiles. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Scafatese BTTS Rate75%
Strong positive
Monopoli Defensive Record0.5 goals conceded per match
Positive
Model BTTS Chance58.3%
Strong positive
Odds Implied Chance50%
Positive
Value Edge8.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a compelling pick given Scafatese's attacking openness and Monopoli's defensive resilience paired with occasional scoring. The contrasting styles suggest a game where both sides have opportunities to score, supported by recent form data showing Scafatese's frequent involvement in high-scoring matches and Monopoli's ability to find the net despite a cautious approach.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS pick rationale

“Scafatese's attacking approach combined with Monopoli's defensive discipline creates an intriguing dynamic where both teams are likely to score. The statistical trends and tactical profiles align well with a BTTS outcome in this Serie C clash.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Scafatese has a 75% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent goals conceded and scored.

SS Monopoli has yet to record a BTTS game, showing a contrasting defensive solidity.

Scafatese averages 1.75 goals scored per match but concedes 2, suggesting open games.

Monopoli concedes only 0.5 goals per match but scores fewer goals, indicating tight matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the current season, Scafatese has a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open and high-tempo games.
  • Monopoli's matches have not reached this threshold, reflecting their defensive style.
  • The contrast suggests a match with potential for multiple goals, supporting both BTTS and over 2.5 goals trends in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scafatese1.75
Avg goals scored
SS Monopoli0.75
Scafatese2
Avg goals conceded
SS Monopoli0.5
Scafatese75%
BTTS rate
SS Monopoli0%
Scafatese75%
Over 2.5 goals
SS Monopoli0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Scafatese's games have a high BTTS rate of 75%, driven by their tendency to concede and score frequently, suggesting open matches. Monopoli's zero BTTS rate reflects a more defensive style but does not preclude them from scoring occasionally. This contrast supports a BTTS outcome as Scafatese's attack challenges Monopoli's defense, while Monopoli can capitalize on counter-attacks.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
SS Monopoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
SS Monopoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Scafatese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.0 with an implied chance of 50%, while the model estimates a 58.3% probability, indicating positive value. This pricing reflects market recognition of Scafatese's open play and Monopoli's potential to score, making the BTTS bet a sensible choice without being overexposed to price risk.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scafatese

WDLD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
12 Sep 2026A Catania2-1
06 Sep 2026A Casertana2-2
28 Aug 2026H AZ Picerno0-2
21 Aug 2026A Giugliano3-3

SS Monopoli

WLWL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Foggia1-0
05 Sep 2026A Potenza0-1
29 Aug 2026H Catania2-0
24 Aug 2026A Team Altamura0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
SS Monopoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
SS Monopoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Scafatese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows Scafatese scoring 1.75 goals per match but conceding 2, indicating vulnerability at the back and offensive potency. Monopoli has scored less but conceded only 0.5 goals per match, reflecting a solid defense. These trends suggest a match where both teams have realistic chances to score, supporting the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Scafatese wins
0Draws
0SS Monopoli wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
SS Monopoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Scafatese and Monopoli, so historical data offers no direct insight. This absence places greater emphasis on current form, tactical approaches, and season statistics to assess the likelihood of both teams scoring in this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Scafatese5
Played
SS Monopoli5
Scafatese1.4
Avg goals for
SS Monopoli0.6
Scafatese1.6
Avg goals against
SS Monopoli0.4
Scafatese1
Clean sheets
SS Monopoli3
Best odds for this sectionSS Monopoli to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 39% · edge +6 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
SS Monopoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Scafatese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season-long stats reveal Scafatese's aggressive attack and porous defense, leading to frequent goal exchanges. Monopoli's defensive solidity contrasts with their modest scoring record, creating a balance that often results in both teams scoring. These profiles align with the BTTS market, highlighting the likelihood of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8SS Monopoli752121
13Scafatese65131-1
Scafatese sits 11th with 5 points while Monopoli is 7th with 6 points, indicating similar mid-table competitiveness. The standings suggest both teams are motivated to secure points, likely encouraging attacking play from Scafatese and cautious but opportunistic offense from Monopoli, reinforcing the BTTS scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Scafatese Over 2.5
0%SS Monopoli Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the current season, Scafatese has a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open and high-tempo games. Monopoli's matches have not reached this threshold, reflecting their defensive style. The contrast suggests a match with potential for multiple goals, supporting both BTTS and over 2.5 goals trends in this fixture.

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