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SC Braga crestSC Braga
v
Estoril crestEstoril

Primeira Liga | Mon 14 Sep, 20:45

SC Braga v Estoril Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Braga hosts Estoril in a Primeira Liga clash where Braga's recent attacking form contrasts with Estoril's struggles. Braga has scored 1.5 goals per game and secured 7 points, showing offensive intent, while Estoril has managed only 0.4 goals and 2 points, highlighting their difficulties. Braga's 75% BTTS rate and Estoril's 40% suggest both teams have found the net in many matches, setting up a contest where goals at both ends are plausible. Tactical approaches and home advantage add intrigue to this fixture with scoring opportunities likely for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • SC Braga scores 1.5 goals per game with a 75% BTTS rate this season
  • Estoril averages 0.4 goals per game but concedes 1.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
  • Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, supporting BTTS potential
  • Recent form shows Braga's attacking edge and Estoril's defensive frailties
  • Player stats reveal multiple Braga attackers with strong shot and goal threat profiles

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Braga's strong attacking output and Estoril's defensive concessions. Braga's 75% BTTS rate combined with Estoril's 40% suggests a high likelihood of goals at both ends. Player data highlights attackers like Pau Victor and J. Milošević creating frequent shots on target, while Estoril's attackers also pose scoring threats. The model's 68.3% chance and positive confirm this as a solid football-backed selection with good . No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake opportunity.

Braga BTTS rate75%
Strong positive
Estoril BTTS rate40%
Positive
Model chance68.3%
Strong positive
Value edge+15.9%
Strong positive
Player attacking statsHigh shots and goal threat from Braga forwards
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Both Teams to Score pick fits the tactical and form profile here, with Braga's attacking players consistently threatening and Estoril's defense prone to conceding. Braga's offensive pressure combined with Estoril's need to respond offensively suggests goals at both ends. The data confirms a strong likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Player attacking roles and defensive vulnerabilities

“Braga's forward line, led by Pau Victor and Milošević, creates sustained pressure, while Estoril's defensive lapses and attacking attempts make BTTS a compelling angle in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

SC Braga scores 1.5 goals per game with a 75% BTTS rate this season

Estoril averages 0.4 goals per game but concedes 1.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, supporting BTTS potential

Recent form shows Braga's attacking edge and Estoril's defensive frailties

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals total is 2.3, indicating moderately open games.
  • Braga's high Over 2.5 goals rate at 75% contrasts with Estoril's 20%, suggesting Braga's matches often feature more goals.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' attacking and defensive profiles, suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to Over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SC Braga1.5
Avg goals scored
Estoril0.4
SC Braga1.25
Avg goals conceded
Estoril1.4
SC Braga75%
BTTS rate
Estoril40%
SC Braga75%
Over 2.5 goals
Estoril20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Braga's 75% BTTS rate and Estoril's 40% combine to support a high chance of goals at both ends. Braga scores 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.25, and Estoril's 0.4 goals scored with 1.4 conceded indicates openness. The average 2.3 goals in their last 10 meetings further underlines a tendency for both teams to find the net.

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Useful next reads

more Primeira Liga analysisfull betting preview for SC Braga v Estorilcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Estoril Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
SC Braga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Estoril to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Both Teams to Score market offers clear value with a of 68.3% versus an implied market chance of 52.4%, reflecting a 15.9% . The at 1.91 fairly reward the likelihood of both sides scoring given Braga's strong attack and Estoril's defensive concessions. This pricing suggests a confident but not overly short price, encouraging a standard stake.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

SC Braga4.33
Avg corners for
Estoril5
SC Braga8
Avg total corners
Estoril10.67
SC Braga2.33
Avg yellow cards
Estoril2
SC Braga12.67
Avg shots
Estoril12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +9.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, with Braga averaging 11.75 and Estoril 12.6 per game, and shots on target close at 4.5 and 4.8 respectively. Estoril leads in corners at 5.0 per game, suggesting attacking pressure from wide areas. Discipline is balanced with yellow cards around 2.2 per team, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive contest likely to see sustained attacking phases.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SC Braga

LWWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
10 Sep 2026A Estrela1-2
05 Sep 2026A Alverca2-1
31 Aug 2026H Vitória SC1-0
09 Aug 2026A Moreirense2-2

Estoril

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 3L
07 Sep 2026H Arouca0-0
31 Aug 2026A Benfica1-2
22 Aug 2026H Rio Ave0-2
16 Aug 2026A Nacional0-2
07 Aug 2026H Famalicao1-1
Best odds for this sectionSC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Estoril Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
SC Braga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Estoril to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Braga's recent form shows 7 points from matches with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, reflecting attacking strength and some defensive vulnerability. Estoril's 2 points with 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded highlight offensive struggles but defensive openness. Braga's 75% BTTS rate contrasts with Estoril's 40%, indicating Braga's matches frequently see both teams scoring, supporting the BTTS pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5SC Braga wins
4Draws
1Estoril wins
03 May 2026SC Braga v Estoril1-1
19 Dec 2025Estoril v SC Braga1-0
19 Apr 2025Estoril v SC Braga0-2
06 Dec 2024SC Braga v Estoril2-2
13 Apr 2024Estoril v SC Braga0-1
27 Jan 2024SC Braga v Estoril1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Estoril to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.3 goals per game, indicating a moderate scoring environment. While this supports the possibility of goals, the sample is not heavily skewed towards high-scoring games, so recent form and team attacking tendencies provide stronger signals for BTTS in this matchup.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

SC Braga4
Played
Estoril5
SC Braga1.5
Avg goals for
Estoril0.4
SC Braga1.3
Avg goals against
Estoril1.4
SC Braga1
Clean sheets
Estoril1
Best odds for this sectionSC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Estoril Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
SC Braga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Estoril to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season-long data shows Braga as a team with a potent attack and a tendency to concede, reflected in their 75% BTTS rate and 1.5 goals scored per game. Estoril's lower scoring output but higher goals conceded per game (1.4) suggests defensive weaknesses that could allow Braga to score, while Estoril's attacking efforts, though limited, still pose a threat. This balance supports the likelihood of goals from both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9SC Braga742111
17Estoril25023-5
Braga sits mid-table with 7 points, reflecting solid form and offensive capability, while Estoril is near the relegation zone with 2 points, underlining their struggles. The standings add context to the stakes, with Braga aiming to consolidate position and Estoril fighting for points, likely encouraging open play and goal-scoring attempts from both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%SC Braga Over 2.5
20%Estoril Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals total is 2.3, indicating moderately open games. Braga's high Over 2.5 goals rate at 75% contrasts with Estoril's 20%, suggesting Braga's matches often feature more goals. This trend, combined with both teams' attacking and defensive profiles, suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to Over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

SC Braga v Estoril prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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