Football Stats Hub

Saudi Arabia crestSaudi Arabia
v
Uruguay crestUruguay

World Cup | Mon 15 Jun, 23:00

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 10:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Saudi Arabia and Uruguay meet in a crucial Group H opener at the World Cup, where defensive discipline and tactical control will be paramount. Uruguay arrive with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game and boasting eleven clean sheets in their last twenty matches. Saudi Arabia, while resilient, face the challenge of breaking down Uruguay's compact defense and must balance patience with attacking intent. The match is expected to be a tactical arm wrestle, with Uruguay likely to control possession and tempo, while Saudi Arabia aim to frustrate and capitalize on limited chances. The opening goal could decisively influence the game's rhythm and outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Uruguay to Win & Under 2.5 Goals

  • Uruguay have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, showing defensive solidity.
  • Saudi Arabia average 1.0 goals per game but face a defense allowing only 8% conversion rate.
  • Uruguay's passing accuracy is 84%, significantly higher than Saudi Arabia's 67%, indicating better control.
  • Recent form shows Uruguay with three consecutive clean sheets, suggesting a low-scoring match.
  • The tactical setup favors a narrow Uruguay win with under 2.5 total goals scored.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Uruguay to Win & Under 2.5 Goals based on their superior defensive record and efficient attacking output. Uruguay concede only 0.6 goals per game and have kept eleven clean sheets in twenty matches, while Saudi Arabia's lower passing accuracy and shot efficiency suggest difficulty breaking through. The match context supports a controlled, low-scoring game where Uruguay's ability to limit quality chances and maintain possession creates a strong probability for a narrow victory with few goals. No price warnings apply, and the supports a standard stake on this selection.

Defensive SolidityUruguay concede 0.6 goals per game with 11 clean sheets in 20 matches
Strong positive
Attacking EfficiencyUruguay require 7 shots per goal, Saudi Arabia 8 shots per goal
Positive
Passing AccuracyUruguay 84% vs Saudi Arabia 67%
Strong positive
Recent Clean SheetsUruguay have 3 consecutive clean sheets
Positive
Value Edge15.2% positive edge over implied odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Uruguay's defensive strength and superior ball control make them the logical favorites to secure a narrow victory. Their recent run of clean sheets and efficient attack suggest a low-scoring game, where patience and tactical discipline will be key. Saudi Arabia's challenge will be to disrupt Uruguay's rhythm and create meaningful chances, but Uruguay's structure should prevail in this tightly contested opener.

Main risk

The main risk lies in an early Saudi Arabia goal that could disrupt Uruguay's controlled approach and open the game, potentially increasing the total goals beyond 2.5.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical control and defensive strength

“Uruguay's ability to control possession and limit high-quality chances underpins their edge in this fixture, making a narrow, low-scoring win the most plausible outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Uruguay to Win & Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Uruguay have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, showing defensive solidity.

Saudi Arabia average 1.0 goals per game but face a defense allowing only 8% conversion rate.

Uruguay's passing accuracy is 84%, significantly higher than Saudi Arabia's 67%, indicating better control.

Recent form shows Uruguay with three consecutive clean sheets, suggesting a low-scoring match.

What To Watch In The Data

Uruguay to Win & Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 20 matches, both teams have averaged around 1 goal per game, with Uruguay's matches frequently finishing under 2.5 goals.
  • The low average goals and strong defensive records suggest a trend toward tight, low-scoring encounters, consistent with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel indicating a lower probability for high-scoring games.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickUruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 83% · edge -31.1 pts
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The for Uruguay to Win & Under 2.5 Goals reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 43% chance compared to the implied 27.8%. This pricing aligns with Uruguay's strong defensive metrics and efficient attack, making the market attractive for a standard stake without price sensitivity concerns.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Saudi Arabia-
Avg goals scored
Uruguay-
Saudi Arabia-
Avg goals conceded
Uruguay-
Saudi Arabia-
BTTS rate
Uruguay-
Saudi Arabia-
Over 2.5 goals
Uruguay-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +5.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring matches, with Uruguay's defense conceding just 0.6 goals per game and Saudi Arabia averaging 1.0 goal scored per match. The conversion rates and recent clean sheets suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring, supporting the BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals context for this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Saudi Arabia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Saudi Arabia yet.

Uruguay

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Uruguay yet.

Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 91% · edge -19.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Uruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Uruguay's recent form includes three consecutive clean sheets, underscoring their defensive resilience. Saudi Arabia's mixed results and lower passing accuracy suggest challenges in breaking down Uruguay's defense. This form data supports a controlled match with Uruguay favored to maintain a narrow lead and limit goal opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Saudi Arabia wins
0Draws
1Uruguay wins
20 Jun 2018Uruguay v Saudi Arabia1-0
Market aligned with main pickUruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 68% · edge -26.6 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
The limited head-to-head sample of one match shows an average of 1 goal scored, supporting the expectation of a low-scoring game. While the small sample size limits definitive conclusions, the defensive tendencies and tactical approaches of both teams align with a cautious contest where scoring opportunities may be scarce.
Season team stats

World Cup

Saudi Arabia1
Played
Uruguay1
Saudi Arabia1
Avg goals for
Uruguay1
Saudi Arabia1
Avg goals against
Uruguay1
Saudi Arabia0
Clean sheets
Uruguay0
Market aligned with main pickUruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 83% · edge -31.1 pts
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Load more odds for this section
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Across the season, Uruguay have demonstrated a robust defensive profile, conceding only 12 goals in 20 matches and maintaining eleven clean sheets. Saudi Arabia's 20 goals in 20 matches show attacking capability but less defensive stability, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring match favoring Uruguay's control.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Uruguay110100
2Saudi Arabia110100
While group standings are not decisive at this stage, Uruguay's higher ranking and stronger defensive record provide a psychological and tactical advantage. Saudi Arabia must balance defensive discipline with attacking urgency to avoid an early deficit that could shape the group dynamics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Saudi Arabia Over 2.5
-Uruguay Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last 20 matches, both teams have averaged around 1 goal per game, with Uruguay's matches frequently finishing under 2.5 goals. The low average goals and strong defensive records suggest a trend toward tight, low-scoring encounters, consistent with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel indicating a lower probability for high-scoring games.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Canada v QatarWorld Cup · Thu 18 Jun 23:00Mexico v South KoreaWorld Cup · Fri 19 Jun 02:00USA v AustraliaWorld Cup · Fri 19 Jun 20:00Scotland v MoroccoWorld Cup · Fri 19 Jun 23:00

Competition and hubs

World Cup hubmore World Cup analysisfull betting preview for Saudi Arabia v Uruguaybest bets hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre