Santa Clara

SC Braga

Primeira Liga | Sun 20 Sep, 18:00

Santa Clara v SC Braga Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Clara visits SC Braga in a Primeira Liga clash where Braga's historical control faces a tactical challenge. Braga, unbeaten in the last 10 meetings and known for possession control and high pressing, aim to break down Santa Clara's compact defensive setup. Santa Clara, positioned 4th in the league, rely on a congested midfield and disciplined defensive lines to disrupt Braga's rhythm. Braga's home matches average 2.85 goals, while Santa Clara's away games are tighter, but the fixture's stakes and tactical nuances suggest a lively contest with potential for multiple goals and a surprise home win.

BT4Y best bet

Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Braga unbeaten in last 10 meetings with Santa Clara, scoring 37 goals in 16 matches.
Santa Clara averages 0.67 goals per away match, Braga concedes 0.83 at home, indicating tight defensive battles.
Braga's possession averages 65%, enabling sustained pressure and attacking entries.
Santa Clara's defensive structure aims to congest central areas, forcing Braga wide for attacking chances.
Braga's second-half record shows strong finishes with 7 wins and 6 draws, conceding only 2 goals after halftime.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Santa Clara to win with over 2.5 goals at a 36% chance and 61% , reflecting the fixture's attacking potential and tactical complexity. Braga's strong home attack and Santa Clara's resilience create a scenario for multiple goals and a possible upset. The historical control by Braga is challenged by Santa Clara's recent form and defensive organization, suggesting a competitive match with scoring opportunities. No data limitations affect , and the price is balanced without warnings.

Model Chance36%

Positive

Confidence Level61%

Positive

Historical H2HBraga strong but challenged

Neutral

Recent FormSanta Clara solid at home

Positive

Goal AveragesHigh scoring potential

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Santa Clara's disciplined defensive setup combined with Braga's attacking pressure sets the stage for a competitive match where Santa Clara can capitalize on key moments to secure a win with multiple goals. Braga's possession control and second-half strength make this a tactical battle likely decided by efficiency in attack and defensive resilience.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking balance

“Santa Clara's compact midfield and defensive discipline could frustrate Braga's possession-based attack, making this a match where tactical patience and sharp finishing decide the outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Braga unbeaten in last 10 meetings with Santa Clara, scoring 37 goals in 16 matches.

Santa Clara averages 0.67 goals per away match, Braga concedes 0.83 at home, indicating tight defensive battles.

Braga's possession averages 65%, enabling sustained pressure and attacking entries.

Santa Clara's defensive structure aims to congest central areas, forcing Braga wide for attacking chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.3, indicating a trend toward open games with multiple goals.
Braga's matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season, supporting the expectation of a lively tempo and attacking exchanges.
This trend aligns with the combined bet and suggests a fixture prone to goal-scoring opportunities through transitions and set-piece routes.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Clara1.8

Avg goals scored

SC Braga1.4

Santa Clara0.4

Avg goals conceded

SC Braga1

Santa Clara40%

BTTS rate

SC Braga60%

Santa Clara40%

Over 2.5 goals

SC Braga60%

Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 67% · edge +9.8 pts

1.5

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%

2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%

2.5

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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 5

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.5

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

1.67

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Both teams show contrasting goal profiles: Braga's matches average 2.85 goals with a 60% over 2.5 rate, while Santa Clara's tighter games have a 40% over 2.5 rate. The head-to-head average of 3.3 goals in 10 matches supports the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS, driven by Braga's attacking pressure and Santa Clara's counter opportunities.

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Primeira Liga fixtures and predictions related match prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Clara

WWDWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 2D 0L

13 Sep 2026A Arouca2-1

06 Sep 2026H Rio Ave4-0

29 Aug 2026A Alverca1-1

23 Aug 2026H Famalicao1-0

15 Aug 2026A Academico Viseu1-0

SC Braga

WLWWD

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 1D 1L

14 Sep 2026H Estoril1-0

10 Sep 2026A Estrela1-2

05 Sep 2026A Alverca2-1

31 Aug 2026H Vitória SC1-0

09 Aug 2026A Moreirense2-2

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

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Santa Clara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%

2.38

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Santa Clara to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%

3.4

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Santa Clara's recent form shows 13 points with 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, indicating strong defensive performances and efficient attack. Braga's 10 points with 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded reflect a balanced but slightly less potent form. The over 2.5 goals rate favors Braga at 60%, while Santa Clara's 40% suggests a potential for goals if Braga's attacking pressure breaks through.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	Santa Clara	14	6	4	2	0	7
7	SC Braga	10	5	3	1	1	2

Santa Clara sits 4th with 14 points, ahead of Braga in 7th with 10 points, reflecting a competitive league position that adds motivation for Santa Clara to secure a home win. The standings suggest Santa Clara's recent form and league momentum could challenge Braga's historical control, influencing match intensity and tactical urgency.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSanta Clara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.38

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%

2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%

2.5

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Santa Clara to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%

3.4

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.1

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The market reflects Braga's historical edge but also acknowledges Santa Clara's recent form and tactical setup, making the Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals selection a balanced choice. The suggest a competitive match with value in backing Santa Clara to overcome the and produce a high-scoring game.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Clara4.67

Avg corners for

SC Braga2

Santa Clara10.33

Avg total corners

SC Braga4

Santa Clara2.67

Avg yellow cards

SC Braga4

Santa Clara14.33

Avg shots

SC Braga16

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 36%

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.1

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Braga averages 13.4 shots and 3.8 corners per match, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and wide play, while Santa Clara's 12.6 shots and 3.4 corners indicate active engagement. Card averages are moderate, with Santa Clara at 2.4 yellows and Braga at 1.8, suggesting a competitive but disciplined encounter with set-piece opportunities influencing the game flow.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Santa Clara wins

3Draws

6SC Braga wins

26 Apr 2026Santa Clara v SC Braga2-1

15 Dec 2025SC Braga v Santa Clara1-0

29 Oct 2025SC Braga v Santa Clara5-0

03 May 2025SC Braga v Santa Clara1-1

22 Dec 2024Santa Clara v SC Braga0-2

14 May 2023SC Braga v Santa Clara5-3

Market aligned with main pickSanta Clara to WinBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%

2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%

2.5

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The last 16 meetings show Braga with 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 37 goals to Santa Clara's 14. This historical control is tempered by Santa Clara's recent improvements and tactical adjustments, making the head-to-head record a useful background but not definitive predictor. The sample supports Braga's attacking threat but also highlights Santa Clara's potential to disrupt the pattern.

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Santa Clara6

Played

SC Braga5

Santa Clara1.8

Avg goals for

SC Braga1.4

Santa Clara0.7

Avg goals against

SC Braga1

Santa Clara3

Clean sheets

SC Braga2

Market aligned with main pickSanta Clara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.38

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Santa Clara to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%

3.4

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Santa Clara's season stats reveal a solid defense with 0.4 goals conceded per match and a moderate attack, supporting the possibility of a home win with multiple goals. Braga's higher scoring average and possession control at home align with the expectation of sustained pressure and goal opportunities, reinforcing the combined bet of Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals as plausible given the tactical and statistical context.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Clara Over 2.5

60%SC Braga Over 2.5

3.3H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.3, indicating a trend toward open games with multiple goals. Braga's matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season, supporting the expectation of a lively tempo and attacking exchanges. This trend aligns with the combined bet and suggests a fixture prone to goal-scoring opportunities through transitions and set-piece routes.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Santa Clara v SC Braga Stats

Match Report

Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Santa Clara

SC Braga

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Football Stats Hub

Santa Clara v SC Braga Stats

Match Report

Santa Clara Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Santa Clara

SC Braga

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