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San Lorenzo crestSan Lorenzo
v
Huracan crestHuracan

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 09 Aug, 19:00

San Lorenzo v Huracan Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 21:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Lorenzo and Huracan meet in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but limited goal returns recently. San Lorenzo averages 4 corners per game while Huracan contributes 3.4, suggesting a combined corner count that often surpasses nine. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and tactical approaches that encourage wing play and set-piece opportunities. The fixture's competitive nature and the teams' recent corner statistics set the stage for a match with frequent corner deliveries and territorial battles along the flanks.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • San Lorenzo averages 4 corners per match, Huracan 3.4, combining to over 7 corners on average.
  • Recent matches show both teams engage in wing play leading to frequent corners.
  • The model estimates a 64.4% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Both teams have moderate attacking output but create set-piece chances through sustained pressure.
  • The corner market offers positive value with a 24.4% at 2.5 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 64.4% chance against a 40% implied market chance, reflecting strong corner generation from both teams. San Lorenzo's 4 corners per game and Huracan's 3.4, combined with their attacking styles and shot volumes, support frequent corner scenarios. The positive and high level make this a statistically sound pick. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid, enhancing trust in the corner count projection.

Model Chance64.4%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance40%
Positive
Value Edge24.4%
Strong positive
San Lorenzo Avg Corners4 per game
Positive
Huracan Avg Corners3.4 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match featuring frequent wing play and set-piece situations leading to a high number of corners. Both San Lorenzo and Huracan have shown tendencies to generate corners through sustained pressure and attacking intent, making Over 9.5 Corners a plausible outcome supported by their recent form and playing styles.

Main risk

San Lorenzo and Huracán show similar scoring patterns but differ in recent goal frequency.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“San Lorenzo and Huracan's attacking patterns and average corner counts suggest a fixture ripe for multiple corner opportunities, especially given their reliance on wide play and set-piece deliveries.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

San Lorenzo averages 4 corners per match, Huracan 3.4, combining to over 7 corners on average.

Recent matches show both teams engage in wing play leading to frequent corners.

The model estimates a 64.4% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

Both teams have moderate attacking output but create set-piece chances through sustained pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.3, indicating low scoring but a tempo that can produce set-piece opportunities.
  • The trend suggests a match with moderate attacking exchanges and transitions, conducive to multiple corner situations rather than high goal counts.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

San Lorenzo3.25
Avg corners for
Huracan3.4
San Lorenzo9
Avg total corners
Huracan10.8
San Lorenzo1.75
Avg yellow cards
Huracan2.8
San Lorenzo11.25
Avg shots
Huracan14
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
San Lorenzo averages 14 shots with 4 corners per game, while Huracan matches the shot volume with 14 and 3.4 corners. The shot volumes and fouling rates indicate sustained pressure and territorial battles that typically generate corners. Huracan's slightly higher card count suggests aggressive play that can also lead to more set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Lorenzo0.6
Avg goals scored
Huracan1
San Lorenzo1
Avg goals conceded
Huracan1
San Lorenzo40%
BTTS rate
Huracan40%
San Lorenzo20%
Over 2.5 goals
Huracan40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams have low goal-scoring rates but maintain moderate attacking pressure, reflected in their 40% BTTS rates and San Lorenzo's 20% Over 2.5 goals rate versus Huracan's 40%. This suggests a cautious but open game where set pieces and corners may be more frequent than goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Huracan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Huracan to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 2.5 with a of 64.4%, indicating clear value. The 24.4% reflects the market underestimating the frequency of corners, supported by both teams' average corner stats and attacking styles favoring wing play and set-piece creation.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Lorenzo

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
04 Aug 2026A Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1
28 Jul 2026H Gimnasia M.1-0
26 Jul 2026A Lanus0-1
10 May 2026A River Plate1-1
02 May 2026H Independiente1-2

Huracan

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
04 Aug 2026H Atletico Tucuman0-0
30 Jul 2026A Independ. Rivadavia1-2
25 Jul 2026H Banfield1-0
13 May 2026A Argentinos JRS0-1
09 May 2026A Boca Juniors3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 71% · edge +10.4 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Huracan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Huracan to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows San Lorenzo with 4 points and Huracan with 7 in their last matches, with both teams averaging around 7.4 combined corners per game. This consistent corner generation supports the Over 9.5 Corners pick, as both sides maintain attacking pressure and wing play that lead to corner opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1San Lorenzo wins
6Draws
3Huracan wins
08 Feb 2026Huracan v San Lorenzo1-0
30 Aug 2025San Lorenzo v Huracan0-0
23 Feb 2025Huracan v San Lorenzo2-0
20 Jul 2024San Lorenzo v Huracan1-1
24 Feb 2024Huracan v San Lorenzo0-0
30 Sep 2023San Lorenzo v Huracan1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Huracan to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows a low average of 1.3 goals per game, reflecting tight contests. While goal output is limited, the matches often feature tactical battles with wing play that can generate corners, providing some background support for the Over 9.5 Corners market.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo21
Played
Huracan22
San Lorenzo0.8
Avg goals for
Huracan1.1
San Lorenzo1
Avg goals against
Huracan0.8
San Lorenzo10
Clean sheets
Huracan10
Best odds for this sectionHuracan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +14.1 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Huracan to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season-long data shows San Lorenzo averaging 4 corners and Huracan 3.4 per game, reflecting a steady pattern of wing attacks and set-piece chances. Their defensive records suggest open play phases, increasing corner likelihood. These season stats underpin the model's in Over 9.5 Corners.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7San Lorenzo22165740
7Huracan22165744
15San Lorenzo34103-3
5Huracan742112
San Lorenzo and Huracan sit mid-table with 3 and 4 points respectively, indicating a competitive fixture where both teams seek to assert themselves. This competitive context encourages attacking intent and territorial battles, which often translate into more corners as teams push for advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%San Lorenzo Over 2.5
40%Huracan Over 2.5
1.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.3, indicating low scoring but a tempo that can produce set-piece opportunities. The trend suggests a match with moderate attacking exchanges and transitions, conducive to multiple corner situations rather than high goal counts.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.