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San Lorenzo crestSan Lorenzo
v
Boca Juniors crestBoca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 20 Sep, 18:45

San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Lorenzo hosts Boca Juniors in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash where both teams have shown contrasting offensive outputs recently. Boca Juniors have been more prolific, averaging 1.6 goals per game and boasting an 80% BTTS rate, while San Lorenzo has struggled to score, with just 0.6 goals per game and a 20% BTTS rate. Boca's attacking threat is led by players like M. Velasco, who consistently create chances. San Lorenzo's defensive resilience is notable but their offensive limitations suggest Boca Juniors will find opportunities, setting up a contest where both sides could score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Boca Juniors have an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent scoring.
  • San Lorenzo has a lower scoring rate but concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
  • The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 2.5, supporting a balanced scoring outlook.
  • Key attackers like R. Auzmendi (San Lorenzo) and M. Giménez (Boca Juniors) have strong goal threat profiles.
  • Boca Juniors average more shots (13.75) and shots on target (4.5) per game than San Lorenzo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 63.3% chance, reflecting Boca Juniors' strong attacking form and San Lorenzo's occasional offensive contributions. Boca's high BTTS rate (80%) and average shots on target per game support the likelihood of scoring, while San Lorenzo's defensive record suggests they can concede. The of 15.7% indicates the market underestimates this probability, making BTTS a favorable bet. is high at 81%, with no data limitations affecting the assessment.

Boca Juniors BTTS rate80%
Strong positive
San Lorenzo goals conceded per game0.4
Positive
Model chance vs implied chance63.3% vs 47.6%
Strong positive
Recent goals per game (San Lorenzo)0.6
Neutral
Shots on target (Boca Juniors)4.5 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to find the net, with Boca Juniors' attacking players consistently creating chances and San Lorenzo's defense occasionally breached. The combination of Boca's offensive pressure and San Lorenzo's sporadic goal threat makes Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound prediction for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Boca Juniors' attacking depth combined with San Lorenzo's occasional offensive sparks creates a dynamic where both sides are likely to score, making BTTS a compelling angle for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Boca Juniors have an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent scoring.

San Lorenzo has a lower scoring rate but concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.

The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 2.5, supporting a balanced scoring outlook.

Key attackers like R. Auzmendi (San Lorenzo) and M. Giménez (Boca Juniors) have strong goal threat profiles.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating a moderately open match environment.
  • Boca Juniors' recent 40% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with San Lorenzo's 0%, suggesting Boca drives the tempo and scoring chances, which can lead to a higher goal count and supports the BTTS selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

San Lorenzo4
Avg corners for
Boca Juniors6.5
San Lorenzo11.33
Avg total corners
Boca Juniors11
San Lorenzo2.67
Avg yellow cards
Boca Juniors2.5
San Lorenzo10.67
Avg shots
Boca Juniors14
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Boca Juniors average 5 corners and 2.75 yellow cards per game, showing active attacking play and moderate discipline issues, which can lead to set-piece opportunities. San Lorenzo's lower corner count (3.25) and 2.25 yellow cards suggest a more conservative approach. Both teams generate a reasonable volume of shots, with Boca Juniors averaging 13.75 shots and 4.5 on target, supporting offensive pressure.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Lorenzo0.6
Avg goals scored
Boca Juniors1.6
San Lorenzo0.4
Avg goals conceded
Boca Juniors1
San Lorenzo20%
BTTS rate
Boca Juniors80%
San Lorenzo0%
Over 2.5 goals
Boca Juniors40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Boca Juniors have an 80% BTTS rate this season, reflecting their consistent ability to score and concede. San Lorenzo's lower BTTS rate of 20% is offset by their defensive concessions and occasional goals. Their last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a balanced scoring environment conducive to both teams finding the net.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Boca Juniors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
San Lorenzo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Boca Juniors to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at implying a 47.6% chance, while the model estimates a 63.3% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring, supported by Boca Juniors' strong offensive metrics and San Lorenzo's occasional goal contributions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Lorenzo

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
13 Sep 2026A Independiente1-1
05 Sep 2026H Talleres Cordoba1-0
01 Sep 2026A Instituto Cordoba0-1
22 Aug 2026A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0-0
15 Aug 2026H Union Santa Fe1-0

Boca Juniors

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Central Cordoba de Santiago3-1
05 Sep 2026A Gimnasia M.2-2
29 Aug 2026H Lanus1-0
24 Aug 2026A Racing Club1-1
16 Aug 2026A Platense1-1
Best odds for this sectionBoca Juniors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +8.8 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
San Lorenzo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Boca Juniors to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows Boca Juniors scoring 1.6 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate, highlighting their offensive consistency. San Lorenzo has struggled offensively, scoring 0.6 goals per game and achieving BTTS in only 20% of matches. Despite this, San Lorenzo concedes just 0.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive resilience but also a potential vulnerability to Boca's attack.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3San Lorenzo wins
3Draws
4Boca Juniors wins
11 Mar 2026Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo1-1
18 Aug 2024Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo3-2
30 Mar 2024Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo2-1
08 Nov 2023San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors1-1
12 Apr 2023San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors1-0
09 Jul 2022San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
San Lorenzo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Boca Juniors to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
The head-to-head record over the last 10 matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, indicating a balanced scoring trend. While San Lorenzo's scoring has been limited, Boca Juniors consistently find the net, making the historical data moderately supportive of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo26
Played
Boca Juniors26
San Lorenzo0.8
Avg goals for
Boca Juniors1.4
San Lorenzo0.9
Avg goals against
Boca Juniors0.9
San Lorenzo13
Clean sheets
Boca Juniors11
Best odds for this sectionBoca Juniors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +8.8 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
San Lorenzo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Boca Juniors to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over the season, Boca Juniors have maintained a strong attacking profile with 1.6 goals per game and a high BTTS rate, while San Lorenzo's lower scoring output contrasts with their solid defensive record. This combination suggests Boca Juniors are likely to score, and San Lorenzo's occasional goals make both teams scoring plausible.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Boca Juniors301686213
7San Lorenzo22165740
6Boca Juniors1493511
10San Lorenzo119324-2
Boca Juniors sit 5th with 14 points, showing competitive form in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while San Lorenzo is 10th with 11 points. The standings reflect Boca Juniors' slightly superior offensive and overall form, which supports their ability to score and challenge San Lorenzo's defense in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%San Lorenzo Over 2.5
40%Boca Juniors Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating a moderately open match environment. Boca Juniors' recent 40% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with San Lorenzo's 0%, suggesting Boca drives the tempo and scoring chances, which can lead to a higher goal count and supports the BTTS selection.

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