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San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes
v
Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 03:30

San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 18:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Jose Earthquakes face Los Angeles Galaxy in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 03:30. Yet football rarely follows the script written by league tables. LA Galaxy match this with a 14-game away scoring streak but also concede frequently, making a high-scoring game likely. The issue is what happens when possession is lost.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 17/20, Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Los Angeles Galaxy at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy, so the goals angle is not just a price call. San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for San Jose Earthquakes.Visible data support
Positive
San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load.Visible data support
Positive
San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because san Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The Galaxy's situation is different but equally tense.

Main risk

The Galaxy's situation is different but equally tense.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive.

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Los Angeles Galaxy at 1.

BTTS rates of 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Jose Earthquakes1.6
Avg goals scored
Los Angeles Galaxy1
San Jose Earthquakes2.4
Avg goals conceded
Los Angeles Galaxy2
San Jose Earthquakes80%
BTTS rate
Los Angeles Galaxy60%
San Jose Earthquakes80%
Over 2.5 goals
Los Angeles Galaxy60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.8 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles Galaxy, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.8 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Los Angeles Galaxy to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Los Angeles Galaxy Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

San Jose Earthquakes5.8
Avg corners for
Los Angeles Galaxy6
San Jose Earthquakes10.4
Avg total corners
Los Angeles Galaxy10.2
San Jose Earthquakes3.2
Avg yellow cards
Los Angeles Galaxy2.8
San Jose Earthquakes10.4
Avg shots
Los Angeles Galaxy13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Jose Earthquakes

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
23 Jul 2026H Orlando City SC0-4
24 May 2026A Portland Timbers3-1
17 May 2026H FC Dallas2-3
14 May 2026A Seattle Sounders2-3
10 May 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps1-1

Los Angeles Galaxy

LLDWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
23 Jul 2026H St. Louis City1-3
18 Jul 2026H Los Angeles FC0-3
24 May 2026H Houston Dynamo1-1
17 May 2026A Seattle Sounders2-0
14 May 2026A Sporting Kansas City1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Los Angeles Galaxy to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Los Angeles Galaxy Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1San Jose Earthquakes wins
2Draws
7Los Angeles Galaxy wins
29 Jun 2025San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy1-1
29 May 2025Los Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes0-1
01 Aug 2024San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy1-2
30 Jun 2024San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy0-3
22 Apr 2024Los Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes4-3
03 Mar 2024San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy1-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.8 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Los Angeles Galaxy to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes24
Played
Los Angeles Galaxy25
San Jose Earthquakes1.8
Avg goals for
Los Angeles Galaxy1.2
San Jose Earthquakes1.5
Avg goals against
Los Angeles Galaxy1.6
San Jose Earthquakes6
Clean sheets
Los Angeles Galaxy4
Best odds for this sectionLos Angeles Galaxy to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 27% · edge +11.8 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Los Angeles Galaxy Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Los Angeles Galaxy to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5San Jose Earthquakes382411587
12Los Angeles Galaxy29257810-9
San Jose Earthquakes sit in position 5, while Los Angeles Galaxy sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%San Jose Earthquakes Over 2.5
60%Los Angeles Galaxy Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: San Jose Earthquakes sit at 80% and Los Angeles Galaxy sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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