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Sambenedettese crestSambenedettese
v
Latina crestLatina

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 11 Oct, 13:30

Sambenedettese v Latina Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 09:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sambenedettese and Latina meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides seeking to improve their mid-table positions. Sambenedettese has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Latina has shown a more balanced defensive record. Offensively, Sambenedettese averages 1.6 goals per match, indicating a tendency to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown a willingness to engage in open play, suggesting a contest where both sides are likely to score. The fixture's competitive nature and recent scoring trends set the stage for an attacking encounter with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sambenedettese has scored in 100% of recent matches, showing strong offensive output.
  • Latina has a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring, indicating decent attacking threat.
  • Sambenedettese concedes 1.8 goals per game, pointing to defensive fragility.
  • Model projects a 76% chance of both teams scoring, with positive value at 2.1 .
  • Sambenedettese's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate suggests open games with multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 76% probability for both teams to score, driven by Sambenedettese's consistent scoring and defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Latina's moderate attacking presence. Sambenedettese's 100% BTTS rate and Latina's 60% rate reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. The 28.4% at 2.1 indicates a strong betting opportunity. No data limitations affect , and the price reflects genuine value rather than being short-priced.

Sambenedettese BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Latina BTTS Rate60% recent matches
Positive
Sambenedettese Goals Against1.8 per game
Strong positive
Model Probability62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities that support a bet on both sides scoring. Sambenedettese's high goals conceded and Latina's consistent scoring record suggest an open game with goals at both ends. This pick aligns well with the tactical and form data for this Serie C fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS selection rationale

“The attacking tendencies and defensive lapses from both Sambenedettese and Latina create a fertile ground for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling selection in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sambenedettese has scored in 100% of recent matches, showing strong offensive output.

Latina has a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring, indicating decent attacking threat.

Sambenedettese concedes 1.8 goals per game, pointing to defensive fragility.

Model projects a 76% chance of both teams scoring, with positive value at 2.1 .

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the recent sample, Sambenedettese's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Latina's 20%, but the combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a match with multiple goals.
  • The tempo and openness of play in this fixture support the trend towards an over 2.5 goals outcome, reinforcing the BTTS pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sambenedettese1.6
Avg goals scored
Latina1
Sambenedettese1.8
Avg goals conceded
Latina1.2
Sambenedettese100%
BTTS rate
Latina60%
Sambenedettese80%
Over 2.5 goals
Latina20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Sambenedettese has scored in every recent match while conceding heavily, and Latina maintains a 60% BTTS rate. These trends suggest a match where both sides are likely to find the net, supported by Sambenedettese's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate indicating open, high-scoring games.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Latina Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sambenedettese to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sambenedettese show a 100% BTTS rate and Latina show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sambenedettese

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
03 Oct 2026A Grosseto3-1
26 Sep 2026H Campobasso FC1-2
21 Sep 2026A Pianese1-1
16 Sep 2026H Atalanta II2-3
12 Sep 2026A Pineto1-2

Latina

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
04 Oct 2026H Ostia Mare1-1
20 Sep 2026A Reggiana0-1
16 Sep 2026H Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
12 Sep 2026A Gubbio1-3
05 Sep 2026H Forli2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.5 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Latina Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sambenedettese to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows Sambenedettese scoring 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.8, while Latina scores 1 goal and concedes 1.2 per match. These figures highlight offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities that support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sambenedettese Over 2.5
20%Latina Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent sample, Sambenedettese's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Latina's 20%, but the combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a match with multiple goals. The tempo and openness of play in this fixture support the trend towards an over 2.5 goals outcome, reinforcing the BTTS pick.

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