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Sambenedettese crestSambenedettese
v
Campobasso FC crestCampobasso FC

Serie C - Girone B | Sat 26 Sep, 19:30

Sambenedettese v Campobasso FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sambenedettese and Campobasso FC meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where both sides have shown tendencies to concede and score in recent matches. Sambenedettese, struggling near the bottom of the table, have scored only once but conceded heavily, while Campobasso FC, positioned mid-table, have a slightly better attacking output but also leak goals. The tactical setup suggests an open game with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Both teams will look to capitalize on attacking opportunities, making goal involvement from both sides a key feature of this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sambenedettese have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Campobasso FC also show a 60% BTTS rate, supporting the chance both teams find the net.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games with multiple goals.
  • Recent form shows Sambenedettese scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.8 per game, while Campobasso FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 on average.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.25 goals, but recent attacking form points to a higher scoring potential this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking and defensive patterns from both sides. Sambenedettese's high BTTS rate of 80% combined with Campobasso FC's consistent goal scoring and conceding supports this view. The at 1.83 offer positive value with a 21.4% edge over the implied chance. This suggests that the market underestimates the likelihood of both teams finding the net, making this a compelling selection based on recent form and season-long trends.

Sambenedettese BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Campobasso FC BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.6%
Positive
Value Edge21.4%
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The defensive frailties combined with attacking intent from both sides create an ideal scenario for both teams to score. This market aligns well with the tactical dynamics and recent performances of Sambenedettese and Campobasso FC.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sambenedettese have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Campobasso FC also show a 60% BTTS rate, supporting the chance both teams find the net.

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games with multiple goals.

Recent form shows Sambenedettese scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.8 per game, while Campobasso FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 on average.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards higher scoring games.
  • This tempo and openness, combined with defensive lapses, suggest the fixture will likely feature multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sambenedettese1
Avg goals scored
Campobasso FC1.4
Sambenedettese1.8
Avg goals conceded
Campobasso FC1.8
Sambenedettese80%
BTTS rate
Campobasso FC60%
Sambenedettese60%
Over 2.5 goals
Campobasso FC60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede this season, with Sambenedettese's 80% BTTS rate and Campobasso FC's 60% rate supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends. Combined with their Over 2.5 Goals rates of 60%, the fixture is expected to feature multiple goals and open play.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Campobasso FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Campobasso FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The current of 1.83 for both teams to score reflect a market underestimation of the true probability, as the model estimates a 76% chance. This positive suggests the market does not fully price in the attacking and defensive patterns of both teams, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sambenedettese

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 4L
21 Sep 2026A Pianese1-1
16 Sep 2026H Atalanta II2-3
12 Sep 2026A Pineto1-2
06 Sep 2026H Spezia1-2
29 Aug 2026A Torres0-1

Campobasso FC

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
20 Sep 2026H Pineto2-2
16 Sep 2026A Grosseto2-2
12 Sep 2026A Vado1-0
05 Sep 2026H Gubbio2-4
29 Aug 2026A Spezia0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Campobasso FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Campobasso FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form data shows Sambenedettese scoring 1 goal per game but conceding 1.8, while Campobasso FC scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8 on average. This balance of scoring and conceding supports the expectation that both teams will find the net in this fixture, reflecting their current momentum and tactical openness.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sambenedettese wins
1Draws
3Campobasso FC wins
14 Mar 2026Sambenedettese v Campobasso FC0-1
07 Nov 2025Campobasso FC v Sambenedettese1-1
14 Apr 2024Sambenedettese v Campobasso FC0-1
03 Dec 2023Campobasso FC v Sambenedettese1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Campobasso FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The head-to-head sample of four matches shows an average of 1.25 goals per game, a relatively low figure. However, recent form and season trends indicate a higher scoring potential in this fixture, making the historical meetings less influential than current attacking and defensive patterns.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Sambenedettese6
Played
Campobasso FC6
Sambenedettese1.2
Avg goals for
Campobasso FC1.5
Sambenedettese1.8
Avg goals against
Campobasso FC1.5
Sambenedettese0
Clean sheets
Campobasso FC2
Best odds for this sectionCampobasso FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Campobasso FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while their scoring rates differ slightly. Sambenedettese's 80% BTTS rate and Campobasso FC's 60% rate underline a pattern of games where both sides score, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Campobasso FC862220
19Sambenedettese26024-4
Sambenedettese sits near the bottom of the table, indicating pressure to attack and improve results, while Campobasso FC's mid-table position allows for balanced play. The standings suggest Sambenedettese may take more risks offensively, increasing chances for both teams to score, while Campobasso FC's position supports a proactive approach.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sambenedettese Over 2.5
60%Campobasso FC Over 2.5
1.25H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards higher scoring games. This tempo and openness, combined with defensive lapses, suggest the fixture will likely feature multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

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