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Saint Etienne crestSaint Etienne
v
Rodez crestRodez

Ligue 2 | Sat 10 Oct, 19:00

Saint Etienne v Rodez Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Saint Etienne hosts Rodez in a Ligue 2 clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Saint Etienne leads the table with a strong home scoring record, while Rodez, positioned 14th, have struggled defensively but maintain a decent attacking output. Both teams have shown a tendency for open play and goal concessions, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends. Tactical setups suggest Saint Etienne will press high and create chances, while Rodez will seek to exploit transitions, making a goal exchange scenario plausible.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Saint Etienne averages 2.6 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per game, showing offensive strength and some defensive leaks.
  • Rodez scores 2.2 goals per match but concedes 2.6, indicating defensive frailty and attacking threat.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate for Both Teams to Score in recent matches, highlighting consistent goal exchanges.
  • Saint Etienne's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring games at home.
  • Top attackers like Ibrahima Baldé (Rodez) and Ibrahima Cardona (Saint Etienne) contribute significantly to their teams' offensive output.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for Both Teams to Score, supported by strong attacking stats and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Saint Etienne's high scoring and Rodez's leaky defense create a fertile environment for goals at both ends. The 14.3% and 1.62 reflect a positive pricing scenario. Player data, including Baldé's goal threat and Cardona's creative influence, reinforce the likelihood of goals from both teams. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection.

Model Chance74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Saint Etienne Attack2.6 goals/game
Strong positive
Rodez Defense2.6 goals conceded/game
Positive
Player ThreatsBaldé 5 goals, Cardona 4 assists
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking match with both teams pushing forward and vulnerable at the back. Saint Etienne's home form and Rodez's defensive struggles suggest goals at both ends are likely. The data supports a lively contest where Both Teams to Score is a sensible choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Saint Etienne's offensive prowess combined with Rodez's defensive lapses create a compelling case for goals from both sides. The attacking roles of Baldé and Cardona will be key to unlocking defenses.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Saint Etienne averages 2.6 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per game, showing offensive strength and some defensive leaks.

Rodez scores 2.2 goals per match but concedes 2.6, indicating defensive frailty and attacking threat.

Both teams have an 80% rate for Both Teams to Score in recent matches, highlighting consistent goal exchanges.

Saint Etienne's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring games at home.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring historically.
  • Recent form shows both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates (Saint Etienne 100%, Rodez 80%), suggesting a faster tempo and more open play in current matches, favoring goal-rich encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Saint Etienne2.6
Avg goals scored
Rodez2.2
Saint Etienne1.4
Avg goals conceded
Rodez2.6
Saint Etienne80%
BTTS rate
Rodez80%
Saint Etienne100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rodez80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have high scoring and conceding rates, with Saint Etienne scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.4, while Rodez scores 2.2 but concedes 2.6 per game. Both maintain an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges and supporting the BTTS pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Rodez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Saint Etienne to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Saint Etienne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Rodez to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Saint Etienne show a 80% BTTS rate and Rodez show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Saint Etienne

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
19 Sep 2026A Metz2-2
12 Sep 2026A Dunkerque1-2
05 Sep 2026H Montpellier3-1
31 Aug 2026A Dijon3-2
22 Aug 2026H Grenoble4-0

Rodez

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 4L
18 Sep 2026H Nancy3-4
11 Sep 2026H Grenoble0-1
05 Sep 2026A Metz1-4
28 Aug 2026H PAU2-2
22 Aug 2026A Nantes5-2
Best odds for this sectionRodez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
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Saint Etienne to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Saint Etienne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.66
Check odds @ 2.66
Rodez to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Saint Etienne has collected 10 points recently with a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing strong scoring form. Rodez has 4 points with an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their tendency to concede and score. Both teams' recent matches indicate a pattern of open, goal-filled games.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Saint Etienne Over 2.5
80%Rodez Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring historically. Recent form shows both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates (Saint Etienne 100%, Rodez 80%), suggesting a faster tempo and more open play in current matches, favoring goal-rich encounters.

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