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Rotherham crestRotherham
v
Crewe crestCrewe

League Two | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Rotherham v Crewe Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rotherham and Crewe meet in a League Two clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Rotherham, placed 14th, have scored and conceded at similar rates, while Crewe, sitting higher in 9th, have a slightly more conservative defensive record but remain capable going forward. Both sides have fluctuated in form, with Rotherham averaging 1.6 goals per game and Crewe 1.0, suggesting an open contest. The match promises tactical battles with attacking players eager to influence the outcome, making goal involvement from both sides likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Rotherham average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season
  • Crewe have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored
  • Both teams average around 4-5 corners per match, showing attacking pressure
  • Rotherham and Crewe average 13-14 shots per game, supporting offensive activity

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking outputs and defensive lapses on both sides. Rotherham's 60% BTTS rate combined with Crewe's 80% rate underlines a consistent pattern of goals at both ends. The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 3.6, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game. The current of 1.62 offer positive value given the model's higher probability estimate, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model BTTS Probability76%
Strong positive
Rotherham BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Crewe BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals3.6 per match
Positive
Implied Market Chance61.7%
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive intent but defensive frailties, making both teams to score a compelling angle. The attacking roles of players like Mullin and March add further weight to the expectation of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Rotherham average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season

Crewe have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored

Both teams average around 4-5 corners per match, showing attacking pressure

Rotherham and Crewe average 13-14 shots per game, supporting offensive activity

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.6, indicating a history of open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and style conducive to over 2.5 goals, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rotherham1.6
Avg goals scored
Crewe1
Rotherham1.4
Avg goals conceded
Crewe1
Rotherham60%
BTTS rate
Crewe80%
Rotherham60%
Over 2.5 goals
Crewe20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to both score and concede this season, with Rotherham scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, and Crewe scoring and conceding around 1 goal per match. Their combined BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively, along with a 3.6 average goals per game in their head-to-head, indicate an open game with goals likely at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Rotherham to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Rotherham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Crewe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Crewe to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The current of 1.62 for both teams to score reflect a market underestimating the likelihood of goals from both sides, as the model's 76% chance suggests positive value. This price is attractive given the attacking tendencies and defensive records of both teams, making it a price-sensitive but worthwhile bet at standard stakes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rotherham4.2
Avg corners for
Crewe4.8
Rotherham8.2
Avg total corners
Crewe10
Rotherham2.4
Avg yellow cards
Crewe1
Rotherham13
Avg shots
Crewe14
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Both Rotherham and Crewe average around 4-5 corners per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. Shot volumes are healthy, with Rotherham averaging 13 shots and Crewe 14 per game, supporting offensive activity. Discipline-wise, Rotherham accumulate more yellow cards, suggesting a physical contest that could influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rotherham

WDLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Northampton1-0
12 Sep 2026H Salford City3-3
05 Sep 2026A Bristol Rovers0-1
01 Sep 2026A Tranmere2-2
29 Aug 2026H Chesterfield2-1

Crewe

DDDDD
Last 50W 5D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 0L
19 Sep 2026H Shrewsbury1-1
12 Sep 2026A Colchester1-1
05 Sep 2026H York1-1
01 Sep 2026H Walsall2-2
29 Aug 2026A Port Vale0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 74% · edge +9.9 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Rotherham to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Rotherham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Crewe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Crewe to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows Rotherham earning 8 points with a 60% BTTS rate and Crewe securing 5 points with an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in recent matches, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Rotherham wins
3Draws
1Crewe wins
13 Aug 2024Rotherham v Crewe2-1
23 Jul 2022Crewe v Rotherham1-2
29 Jan 2022Crewe v Rotherham0-2
04 Jan 2022Crewe v Rotherham2-4
25 Sep 2021Rotherham v Crewe1-1
04 Nov 2017Crewe v Rotherham2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Rotherham to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Crewe to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 3.6 goals per game, highlighting a pattern of open contests with goals at both ends. This historical trend supports the expectation that both Rotherham and Crewe will find the net in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Rotherham7
Played
Crewe7
Rotherham1.4
Avg goals for
Crewe1
Rotherham1.4
Avg goals against
Crewe0.7
Rotherham1
Clean sheets
Crewe3
Best odds for this sectionRotherham to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Rotherham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Crewe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Crewe to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season-long statistics reveal Rotherham's attack produces 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4, indicating a balanced but open approach. Crewe's more conservative defense concedes 1 goal per game but their 80% BTTS rate suggests they still allow opponents to score regularly. These profiles support the expectation of goals from both teams.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Crewe1172502
14Rotherham972320
Rotherham sits 14th with 9 points, while Crewe is 9th with 11 points in League Two. Although standings show Crewe slightly ahead, both teams are mid-table and likely motivated to secure points through attacking play, which aligns with the expectation of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Rotherham Over 2.5
20%Crewe Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.6, indicating a history of open, goal-rich encounters. This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and style conducive to over 2.5 goals, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Rotherham v Crewe prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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