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Rotherham crestRotherham
v
Bradford crestBradford

EFL Trophy | Tue 06 Oct, 19:00

Rotherham v Bradford Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 09:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This EFL Trophy clash features Rotherham and Bradford, two sides with contrasting recent attacking records. Rotherham have struggled to find the net consistently, scoring just once in their last match, while Bradford have shown more offensive threat, netting twice recently. Both teams have demonstrated openness in defense, with Bradford conceding once and Rotherham also allowing a goal in their latest outing. The tactical setup suggests an open game where both sides will seek to exploit defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a contest likely to see goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in 100% of their recent matches, indicating strong BTTS potential.
  • Bradford averages 12 shots per game with 3 on target, showing offensive intent.
  • Rotherham's defensive record shows vulnerability, conceding in recent fixtures.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.7, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting strong recent form where both Rotherham and Bradford have consistently found the net and conceded. Bradford's high shot volume and Rotherham's defensive openness underpin this likelihood. The current offer positive value with an 18.2% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection. No data limitations affect , and the balanced attacking and defensive profiles of both teams support this outcome.

Model Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent BTTS Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeBradford averages 12 shots/game
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilityBoth teams conceded recently
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical setup and recent form data suggest both Rotherham and Bradford will find scoring chances, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Bradford's attacking pressure combined with Rotherham's defensive lapses create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends, aligning well with the statistical trends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Both sides have shown offensive intent and defensive frailties, making a BTTS outcome highly plausible in this EFL Trophy fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of their recent matches, indicating strong BTTS potential.

Bradford averages 12 shots per game with 3 on target, showing offensive intent.

Rotherham's defensive record shows vulnerability, conceding in recent fixtures.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.7, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.7, with Bradford showing a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • This trend indicates a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive gaps, aligning with the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rotherham1
Avg goals scored
Bradford2
Rotherham1
Avg goals conceded
Bradford1
Rotherham100%
BTTS rate
Bradford100%
Rotherham0%
Over 2.5 goals
Bradford100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have consistently scored and conceded in recent matches, with Rotherham and Bradford each showing a 100% BTTS rate. Bradford's offensive output is bolstered by a high shot volume, while Rotherham's defense has allowed goals, creating a fertile environment for goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 1.7 goals further supports a balanced goal distribution.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Rotherham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Rotherham to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Rotherham show a 100% BTTS rate and Bradford show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rotherham

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Sep 2026A York1-1

Bradford

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026H Newcastle United U212-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 74% · edge -2.1 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Rotherham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Rotherham to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form data shows both teams scoring and conceding consistently, with Rotherham scoring once and conceding once in their last match, and Bradford scoring twice and conceding once. Both teams have a perfect BTTS rate in recent fixtures, highlighting a trend of open play and mutual goal-scoring capability that supports the BTTS selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Rotherham Over 2.5
100%Bradford Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.7, with Bradford showing a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently. This trend indicates a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive gaps, aligning with the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.

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