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Ross County crestRoss County
v
Queen of the South crestQueen of the South

League One | Tue 15 Sep, 19:45

Ross County v Queen of the South Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County hosts Queen of the South in a League One clash where the home side's strong early season form contrasts with the visitors' struggles. Ross County sits second with 13 points, showing attacking prowess averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Queen of the South have managed just 4 points and 0.8 goals per match. Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding goals, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. The fixture promises tactical battles with Ross County's offensive edge and Queen of the South's need to respond offensively.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Ross County averages 2.4 goals scored per game, Queen of the South 0.8
  • Both teams have a 60% Both Teams to Score rate this season
  • Ross County concedes 0.8 goals per game, Queen of the South concedes 1.4
  • Recent form favors Ross County but Queen of the South's scoring rate supports BTTS potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating clear value. Ross County's strong attack and moderate defensive concessions combine with Queen of the South's ability to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both sides have a 60% BTTS rate this season, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The level of 88% reflects consistent data signals supporting an open, goal-involving match.

Model BTTS Chance73.3%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance55.6%
Positive
Ross County Attack2.4 goals/game
Strong positive
Queen of the South BTTS Rate60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede this season, with Ross County's attacking strength and Queen of the South's resilience suggesting goals at both ends. The tactical setup and recent form data support a lively match where both sides find the net, making BTTS a compelling choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The combination of Ross County's offensive firepower and Queen of the South's ability to score despite defensive issues makes Both Teams to Score a logical and data-backed selection for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Ross County averages 2.4 goals scored per game, Queen of the South 0.8

Both teams have a 60% Both Teams to Score rate this season

Ross County concedes 0.8 goals per game, Queen of the South concedes 1.4

Recent form favors Ross County but Queen of the South's scoring rate supports BTTS potential

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Combined with recent form data showing high over 2.5 goals rates for Ross County and moderate rates for Queen of the South, the trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals and open play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ross County2.4
Avg goals scored
Queen of the South0.8
Ross County0.8
Avg goals conceded
Queen of the South1.4
Ross County60%
BTTS rate
Queen of the South60%
Ross County80%
Over 2.5 goals
Queen of the South40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by Ross County's 2.4 goals scored per game and Queen of the South's 0.8 goals. Defensive concessions on both sides further increase the chance of goals at both ends, pointing to an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Queen of the South Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Queen of the South to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 55.6% chance, while the model estimates a 73.3% probability, indicating strong value. This price gap suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making the bet a positive-value opportunity without current price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ross County

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
05 Sep 2026A East Fife2-2
29 Aug 2026H East Kilbride4-0
22 Aug 2026A Airdrie United3-1
08 Aug 2026H Montrose2-1
01 Aug 2026A Peterhead1-0

Queen of the South

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
12 Sep 2026H East Fife1-1
05 Sep 2026H Airdrie United2-1
29 Aug 2026A Montrose1-2
22 Aug 2026H Alloa Athletic0-2
08 Aug 2026H Peterhead0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +13.7 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Queen of the South Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Queen of the South to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Ross County's recent form is strong with 13 points and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting attacking control. Queen of the South's 4 points and 40% over 2.5 rate show less consistency but a willingness to engage offensively. Both teams' 60% BTTS rates underline a trend toward matches featuring goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Ross County wins
3Draws
1Queen of the South wins
19 Jul 2025Queen of the South v Ross County0-1
26 Apr 2019Ross County v Queen of the South4-0
12 Jan 2019Queen of the South v Ross County4-0
08 Dec 2018Ross County v Queen of the South1-1
15 Sep 2018Queen of the South v Ross County0-0
05 May 2012Queen of the South v Ross County3-5
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Queen of the South to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The ten previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, showing a balanced scoring history. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports a competitive fixture with goals from both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection and recent attacking trends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Ross County5
Played
Queen of the South6
Ross County2.4
Avg goals for
Queen of the South0.8
Ross County0.8
Avg goals against
Queen of the South2
Ross County2
Clean sheets
Queen of the South0
Best odds for this sectionQueen of the South Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Queen of the South to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Ross County's season stats show a potent attack averaging 2.4 goals per game and a solid defense conceding 0.8 goals, while Queen of the South scores less but concedes more at 1.4 goals per game. These profiles support a scenario where both teams can find the net, especially given the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Ross County1354108
10Queen of the South46114-7
Ross County's second-place standing with 13 points reflects strong form and offensive capability, while Queen of the South's tenth place and 4 points highlight their struggles. The table context suggests Ross County will push for control, but Queen of the South's need for points may drive an attacking approach, supporting BTTS potential.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ross County Over 2.5
40%Queen of the South Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Combined with recent form data showing high over 2.5 goals rates for Ross County and moderate rates for Queen of the South, the trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals and open play.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.