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Rosenborg crestRosenborg
v
Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad

Eliteserien | Mon 27 Jul, 18:00

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 22:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rosenborg face Fredrikstad in Eliteserien on Mon 27 Jul, 18:00. Rosenborg enter this match with strong momentum, having won their last two league games 3-0 while controlling possession and creating numerous chances.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Rosenborg to win

  • At 7/10, Rosenborg to win implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Their defensive numbers remain less convincing.
  • Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Rosenborg sit 7 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Rosenborg to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 59% while the model sits nearer 50% (-9.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +7.9 pts edge at 1.7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Rosenborg to win sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg to win angle more than a raw possession edge. Their defensive numbers remain less convincing.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Negative
Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Rosenborg sit 7 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 8.Visible data support
Positive
Their defensive numbers remain less convincing.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Rosenborg Win is the preferred angle because their defensive numbers remain less convincing. Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Fredrikstad carry the stronger scoring threat, but Rosenborg must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Fredrikstad carry the stronger scoring threat, but Rosenborg must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Rosenborg to win evidence

Their defensive numbers remain less convincing.

Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Rosenborg sit 7 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Rosenborg to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Rosenborg2
    Avg goals scored
    Fredrikstad1
    Rosenborg1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Fredrikstad1.2
    Rosenborg40%
    BTTS rate
    Fredrikstad60%
    Rosenborg80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fredrikstad40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Rosenborg and 60% for Fredrikstad, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -10.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Rosenborg to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Rosenborg v Fredrikstadcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Rosenborg4.8
    Avg corners for
    Fredrikstad4
    Rosenborg10.2
    Avg total corners
    Fredrikstad9.8
    Rosenborg1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Fredrikstad2.8
    Rosenborg12
    Avg shots
    Fredrikstad12
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 65% · edge -1.4 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Rosenborg

    WWDLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    18 Jul 2026A Start3-0
    12 Jul 2026H Kristiansund BK3-0
    29 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-2
    25 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-2
    16 May 2026H Aalesund2-3

    Fredrikstad

    LLWDW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    17 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-1
    11 Jul 2026H Lillestrom0-2
    29 May 2026H Start2-1
    25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1
    16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -10.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Rosenborg wins
    2Draws
    1Fredrikstad wins
    28 May 2025Fredrikstad v Rosenborg0-2
    05 Apr 2025Rosenborg v Fredrikstad1-0
    27 Jul 2024Fredrikstad v Rosenborg2-2
    02 Jun 2024Rosenborg v Fredrikstad1-1
    01 May 2024Fredrikstad v Rosenborg1-0
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -10.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Rosenborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Rosenborg17
    Played
    Fredrikstad17
    Rosenborg1.5
    Avg goals for
    Fredrikstad1.1
    Rosenborg1.3
    Avg goals against
    Fredrikstad1.6
    Rosenborg6
    Clean sheets
    Fredrikstad3
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -10.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Season data supports Rosenborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Rosenborg24177373
    8Fredrikstad2317728-9
    Rosenborg sit in position 7, while Fredrikstad sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Rosenborg to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Rosenborg Over 2.5
    40%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rosenborg sit at 80% and Fredrikstad sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Rosenborg v Fredrikstad prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre