Football Stats Hub

Rops crestRops
v
KuPS Akatemia crestKuPS Akatemia

Ykkönen | Tue 11 Aug, 16:30

Rops v KuPS Akatemia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rops face KuPS Akatemia in Ykkönen on Tue 11 Aug, 16:30. Rops come in with 8 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while KuPS Akatemia have 3 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 4.2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Rops and 80% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Rops are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with KuPS Akatemia at 1.8.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Rops and 80% for KuPS Akatemia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Rops and 80% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Rops and 80%.Visible data support
Positive
Rops are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rops are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with KuPS Akatemia at 1.8. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Rops are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with KuPS Akatemia at 1.8.

BTTS rates of 60% for Rops and 80% for KuPS Akatemia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rops2.4
Avg goals scored
KuPS Akatemia1.8
Rops1.8
Avg goals conceded
KuPS Akatemia2.4
Rops60%
BTTS rate
KuPS Akatemia80%
Rops60%
Over 2.5 goals
KuPS Akatemia80%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Rops Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Rops to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
KuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rops

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
05 Aug 2026H FC jazz2-2
01 Aug 2026A TPV3-6
25 Jul 2026H JJK4-0
20 Jul 2026A KPV-j1-1
10 Jul 2026A Inter Turku II2-0

KuPS Akatemia

LDDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
07 Aug 2026H Inter Turku II0-1
30 Jul 2026A FC jazz2-2
26 Jul 2026H VJS2-2
18 Jul 2026A TPV1-3
11 Jul 2026A JJK4-4
Best odds for this sectionKuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Rops Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.67
Check odds @ 2.67
Rops to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
KuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Rops wins
3Draws
1KuPS Akatemia wins
24 May 2026KuPS Akatemia v Rops0-1
23 Aug 2025Rops v KuPS Akatemia0-3
15 Jun 2025KuPS Akatemia v Rops1-1
10 Aug 2024KuPS Akatemia v Rops1-2
26 May 2024Rops v KuPS Akatemia1-1
08 Oct 2023Rops v KuPS Akatemia2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Rops to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
KuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

Rops21
Played
KuPS Akatemia21
Rops2.1
Avg goals for
KuPS Akatemia1.7
Rops1.5
Avg goals against
KuPS Akatemia2.3
Rops7
Clean sheets
KuPS Akatemia2
Best odds for this sectionKuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Rops Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Rops to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
KuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Season data supports KuPS Akatemia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Rops3721107413
11KuPS Akatemia15213612-12
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Rops Over 2.5
80%KuPS Akatemia Over 2.5
2.14H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rops sit at 60% and KuPS Akatemia sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.14 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.