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Rizespor crestRizespor
v
Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe

Süper Lig | Sat 10 Oct, 17:00

Rizespor v Fenerbahçe Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and moderate defensive vulnerability this season. Rizespor averages 4.6 corners per game while Fenerbahçe leads with 5.8, reflecting their proactive wing play and set-piece focus. Both sides have similar points and sit mid-table, adding competitive edge to this fixture. The match is expected to feature sustained pressure and territorial battles, with both teams likely to generate multiple corner opportunities as they seek to break down organized defenses.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Fenerbahçe averages 5.8 corners per game, the highest between the two sides.
  • Rizespor contributes 4.6 corners per match, indicating active wing play.
  • Recent form shows both teams create numerous set-piece chances under pressure.
  • The model estimates a 65.1% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value.
  • Both teams’ attacking styles favor wide play and crossing, boosting corner potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 65.1% chance against an implied 55.6%, reflecting both teams' high corner averages and attacking tendencies. Fenerbahçe's 5.8 corners per game and Rizespor's 4.6 combine to create a likely scenario of frequent wide attacks and set-piece situations. The match context suggests sustained pressure and territorial exchanges, which typically generate corners. is high at 76, and no price warnings apply, making this a solid standard-stake selection.

Model Chance65.1% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+9.5 pts)
Strong positive
Fenerbahçe Avg Corners5.8 per game
Strong positive
Rizespor Avg Corners4.6 per game
Positive
Implied Chance65.1% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+9.5 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level76
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent set-piece situations leading to numerous corners. Both teams have shown the ability to generate corners consistently, and their mid-table positions suggest a competitive encounter with sustained pressure. This supports the Over 9.5 Corners bet as a sensible choice based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

Rizespor remain a consistent threat but have scored 27 fewer goals than their opponents.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“The corner count is likely to be high as both Rizespor and Fenerbahçe rely on wide play and crossing to create chances, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Fenerbahçe averages 5.8 corners per game, the highest between the two sides.

Rizespor contributes 4.6 corners per match, indicating active wing play.

Recent form shows both teams create numerous set-piece chances under pressure.

The model estimates a 65.1% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.4, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, it correlates with offensive tempo and transitions that typically generate corners.
  • The recent trend suggests a dynamic game environment conducive to multiple corner situations, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting attacking pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rizespor1.2
Avg goals scored
Fenerbahçe3
Rizespor1.2
Avg goals conceded
Fenerbahçe0.8
Rizespor40%
BTTS rate
Fenerbahçe40%
Rizespor40%
Over 2.5 goals
Fenerbahçe60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 85% · edge -8.3 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring and conceding rates, with Rizespor scoring and conceding 1.2 goals per game and Fenerbahçe scoring 3 while conceding 0.8. Their BTTS rates are balanced at 40%, suggesting open phases that can lead to attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities, indirectly supporting a higher corner count rather than a high-scoring game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rizespor

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
20 Sep 2026A Göztepe2-2
12 Sep 2026A Eyüpspor2-0
07 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor0-1
29 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK2-1
22 Aug 2026H Samsunspor0-2

Fenerbahçe

WDLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
20 Sep 2026H Eyüpspor8-0
14 Sep 2026A Gaziantep FK0-0
05 Sep 2026H Beşiktaş1-2
30 Aug 2026A Samsunspor2-0
22 Aug 2026H Konyaspor4-2
Best odds for this sectionFenerbahçe to WinBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 61% · edge +8.6 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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Fenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Rizespor to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form data shows Rizespor averaging 4.6 corners and Fenerbahçe 5.8 per game, consistent with their season-long trends. Both teams have maintained these rates over recent matches, indicating stable attacking patterns that favor wide play and crossing. This sustained form supports the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFenerbahçe to WinBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 61% · edge +8.6 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Fenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Rizespor to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The 65.1% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+9.5 pts). Fenerbahçe lead the corner sample at 5.8 per match, with Rizespor lower at 4.6. Their heavy shot volume (17.3 per match) against a Rizespor defence that concedes 1.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Rizespor Over 2.5
60%Fenerbahçe Over 2.5
4.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.4, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this trend focuses on goals, it correlates with offensive tempo and transitions that typically generate corners. The recent trend suggests a dynamic game environment conducive to multiple corner situations, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting attacking pressure.

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