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Rio Ave crestRio Ave
v
Sporting CP crestSporting CP

Primeira Liga | Mon 11 May, 20:15

Rio Ave v Sporting CP Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 57% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +12.9-point value edge.
  • Rio Ave have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Sporting CP have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 80%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Rio Ave have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Sporting CP have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 18% · edge +26.8 pts
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
10
Bet HERE @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.15
Bet HERE @ 1.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.27
Bet HERE @ 1.27
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Rio Ave Over 2.5
60%Sporting CP Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Rio Ave

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
03 May 2026H GIL Vicente0-0
25 Apr 2026A Guimaraes0-2
17 Apr 2026H AVS2-2
11 Apr 2026A Santa Clara2-0
04 Apr 2026H Alverca1-2

Sporting CP

WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
04 May 2026H Guimaraes5-1
29 Apr 2026H Tondela2-2
26 Apr 2026A AVS1-1
19 Apr 2026H Benfica1-2
11 Apr 2026A Estrela1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 18% · edge +26.8 pts
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
10
Bet HERE @ 10
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.06
Bet HERE @ 1.06
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.15
Bet HERE @ 1.15
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.27
Bet HERE @ 1.27
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Rio Ave1
Avg goals scored
Sporting CP2
Rio Ave1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sporting CP1.2
Rio Ave40%
BTTS rate
Sporting CP80%
Rio Ave40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting CP60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.11
Bet HERE @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Rio Ave wins
1Draws
9Sporting CP wins
28 Dec 2025Sporting CP v Rio Ave4-0
22 Apr 2025Rio Ave v Sporting CP1-2
03 Apr 2025Sporting CP v Rio Ave2-0
18 Jan 2025Rio Ave v Sporting CP0-3
09 Aug 2024Sporting CP v Rio Ave3-1
25 Feb 2024Rio Ave v Sporting CP3-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
10
Bet HERE @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.27
Bet HERE @ 1.27
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Rio Ave5.8
Avg corners for
Sporting CP6.2
Rio Ave11
Avg total corners
Sporting CP11
Rio Ave2.2
Avg yellow cards
Sporting CP1.2
Rio Ave13
Avg shots
Sporting CP15.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +9.7 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleL. Suárez Anytime GoalscorerL. Suárez · 26 goals · 2.07 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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C. Harder 1+ Shot On TargetC. Harder · 5.37 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
C. Harder 2+ ShotsC. Harder · 5.37 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Alisson Santos To Assist / Key Pass AngleAlisson Santos · 2 assists · 1.97 key passes/90
75/100
Bet HERE
Clayton To Be FouledClayton · 3.26 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
K. Zoabi Card RiskK. Zoabi · 2 yellows · 5.87 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
L. Suárez
L. SuárezSporting CP · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.68
SOT /902.07
C. Harder
C. HarderSporting CP · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.37
SOT /905.37
Pote
PoteSporting CP · Midfielder
Goal threat96/100
Shots /902.94
SOT /901.71
João Novais
João NovaisRio Ave · Midfielder
Goal threat56/100
Shots /904
SOT /904
Rafael Genuino
Rafael GenuinoRio Ave · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /903.91
SOT /903.91
Alisson Santos
Alisson SantosSporting CP · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /904.74
SOT /901.18
K. Zoabi
K. ZoabiRio Ave · Attacker
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.98
SOT /900
Salvador Blopa
Salvador BlopaSporting CP · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /901.96
SOT /900
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Rio Ave32
Played
Sporting CP32
Rio Ave1
Avg goals for
Sporting CP2.6
Rio Ave1.6
Avg goals against
Sporting CP0.7
Rio Ave6
Clean sheets
Sporting CP14
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 18% · edge +26.8 pts
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
10
Bet HERE @ 10
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.15
Bet HERE @ 1.15
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.27
Bet HERE @ 1.27
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Sporting CP7632237259
12Rio Ave353281113-19

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.