Football Stats Hub

Rio Ave crestRio Ave
v
Sporting CP crestSporting CP

Primeira Liga | Mon 11 May, 20:15

Rio Ave v Sporting CP Stats

Data last updated: Sun 10 May 2026, 03:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rio Ave face Sporting CP in Primeira Liga on Mon 11 May, 20:15. Rio Ave come in with 5 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Sporting CP have 8 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.73, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Sporting CP lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Rio Ave lower at 5.8.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Rio Ave average 13 and Sporting CP average 15.8.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Sporting CP lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Rio Ave lower at 5.8.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Sporting CP lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sporting CP lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Rio Ave lower at 5.8. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Sporting CP lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Rio Ave lower at 5.8.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Rio Ave average 13 and Sporting CP average 15.8.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rio Ave5.8
Avg corners for
Sporting CP6.2
Rio Ave11
Avg total corners
Sporting CP11
Rio Ave2.2
Avg yellow cards
Sporting CP1.2
Rio Ave13
Avg shots
Sporting CP15.8
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +9.7 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Primeira Liga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rio Ave1
Avg goals scored
Sporting CP2
Rio Ave1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sporting CP1.2
Rio Ave40%
BTTS rate
Sporting CP80%
Rio Ave40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting CP60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Rio Ave to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Sporting CP to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rio Ave

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
03 May 2026H GIL Vicente0-0
25 Apr 2026A Guimaraes0-2
17 Apr 2026H AVS2-2
11 Apr 2026A Santa Clara2-0
04 Apr 2026H Alverca1-2

Sporting CP

WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
04 May 2026H Guimaraes5-1
29 Apr 2026H Tondela2-2
26 Apr 2026A AVS1-1
19 Apr 2026H Benfica1-2
11 Apr 2026A Estrela1-0
Best odds for this sectionRio Ave Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 17% · edge +27.6 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
3.78
Check odds @ 3.78
Rio Ave to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
11
Check odds @ 11
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Sporting CP to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Rio Ave wins
1Draws
9Sporting CP wins
28 Dec 2025Sporting CP v Rio Ave4-0
22 Apr 2025Rio Ave v Sporting CP1-2
03 Apr 2025Sporting CP v Rio Ave2-0
18 Jan 2025Rio Ave v Sporting CP0-3
09 Aug 2024Sporting CP v Rio Ave3-1
25 Feb 2024Rio Ave v Sporting CP3-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Sporting CP to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Rio Ave34
Played
Sporting CP34
Rio Ave1
Avg goals for
Sporting CP2.6
Rio Ave1.7
Avg goals against
Sporting CP0.7
Rio Ave6
Clean sheets
Sporting CP15
Best odds for this sectionRio Ave Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 17% · edge +27.6 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
11
Check odds @ 11
Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Sporting CP to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Season data supports Rio Ave Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Sporting CP8234257265
12Rio Ave363481214-22
Rio Ave sit in position 12, while Sporting CP sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Rio Ave Over 2.5
60%Sporting CP Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rio Ave sit at 40% and Sporting CP sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

Primeira Liga hubPrimeira Liga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre