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Vardar Skopje crestVardar Skopje

UEFA Europa Conference League | Tue 28 Jul, 18:00

Riga v Vardar Skopje Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 05:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League tie between Riga and Vardar Skopje promises an open contest given both teams' recent attacking displays. Riga has scored three goals in their latest outing while conceding two, and Vardar Skopje has netted twice but allowed three goals against. Both sides have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games, with their last matches featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. The fixture's early stage and offensive inclinations suggest a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Riga and Vardar Skopje have recorded over 2.5 goals in their recent matches, indicating attacking openness.
  • Each team has a 100% rate of both teams scoring in their last games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • The only previous meeting between these sides averaged 5 goals, underscoring potential for a high-scoring game.
  • Player data shows Riga's midfielders and attackers have notable goal threat indexes, supporting offensive potential.
  • Recent form data confirms both teams' matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, reinforcing the bet choice.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' recent offensive output and defensive lapses. Riga and Vardar Skopje have each experienced matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, indicating a pattern of open play. The single head-to-head match featured 5 goals, further supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Player-level data from Riga highlights key attacking midfielders and forwards with strong goal threat metrics, enhancing the probability of goals. No price warning is needed as the market aligns well with the model's .

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
BTTS Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals5 goals in 1 match
Strong positive
Player Goal ThreatHigh indexes for Riga midfielders and attackers
Positive
Model Confidence78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Riga and Vardar Skopje pushing forward aggressively, given their recent goal-rich matches. The attacking roles in Riga, combined with Vardar Skopje's defensive concessions, suggest multiple goals are likely. This match should provide plenty of scoring chances and an entertaining contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and defensive lapses

“The attacking tendencies of both teams and their recent high-scoring matches make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle here. Riga's midfielders and forwards have shown strong goal involvement, while Vardar Skopje's defensive record suggests vulnerabilities that can be exploited.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Riga and Vardar Skopje have recorded over 2.5 goals in their recent matches, indicating attacking openness.

Each team has a 100% rate of both teams scoring in their last games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

The only previous meeting between these sides averaged 5 goals, underscoring potential for a high-scoring game.

Player data shows Riga's midfielders and attackers have notable goal threat indexes, supporting offensive potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The single head-to-head meeting between Riga and Vardar Skopje produced 5 goals, a strong indicator of potential for a high-scoring encounter.
  • This trend, combined with recent form over the last matches, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Riga3
Avg goals scored
Vardar Skopje2
Riga2
Avg goals conceded
Vardar Skopje3
Riga100%
BTTS rate
Vardar Skopje100%
Riga100%
Over 2.5 goals
Vardar Skopje100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have consistently featured in matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, as reflected in their 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rates in recent games. This pattern indicates open defenses and effective attacking play, increasing the chances of a high-scoring fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Vardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Riga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Riga to WinBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Vardar Skopje to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Over 2.5 Goals market is well supported by a 78% , indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals. The absence of price warnings suggests the are fairly aligned with the statistical outlook, making this a sensible selection rather than a speculative punt.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Riga

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Jul 2026A Vardar Skopje3-2

Vardar Skopje

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Jul 2026H Riga2-3
Best odds for this sectionVardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Riga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Riga to WinBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Vardar Skopje to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows both Riga and Vardar Skopje have played matches with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, reinforcing the expectation of an open and goal-rich game. Riga's 3-2 and Vardar Skopje's 2-3 results highlight defensive vulnerabilities and attacking potency on both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Riga wins
0Draws
0Vardar Skopje wins
22 Jul 2026Vardar Skopje v Riga2-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Riga to WinBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Vardar Skopje to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Only one previous meeting exists between these teams, which ended with a high-scoring 5-goal match. While the sample is limited, this result supports the expectation of an open game with multiple goals, although current tactical approaches may vary.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Riga1
Played
Vardar Skopje1
Riga3
Avg goals for
Vardar Skopje2
Riga2
Avg goals against
Vardar Skopje3
Riga0
Clean sheets
Vardar Skopje0
Best odds for this sectionVardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Riga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Riga to WinBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Vardar Skopje to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Season-long trends for both teams indicate a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with offensive numbers outpacing defensive solidity. This balance suggests that games involving these teams often feature multiple goal-scoring opportunities and concessions.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Riga Over 2.5
100%Vardar Skopje Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The single head-to-head meeting between Riga and Vardar Skopje produced 5 goals, a strong indicator of potential for a high-scoring encounter. This trend, combined with recent form over the last matches, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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