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Ried crestRied
v
Wolfsberger AC crestWolfsberger AC

Bundesliga | Sun 20 Sep, 13:30

Ried v Wolfsberger AC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 12:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ried face Wolfsberger AC in Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sep, 13:30. Ried average 52.7% possession in their last 10 league games, while Wolfsberger average 51.6% — a tiny gap that underlines how evenly matched this tie really is. Wolfsberger arrive on a five-match unbeaten run, performing with clinical accuracy during transitions.

BT4Y best bet

Wins as soon as both teams score, offering a balanced approach that eliminates the volatility of picking a specific match winner

  • At 8/11, Wins as soon as both teams score, offering a balanced approach that eliminates the volatility of picking a specific match winner implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • The Both Teams to Score market requires each team to find the net at least once during normal time.
  • Ried show a 80% BTTS rate and Wolfsberger AC show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Ried average 1.2 goals scored and Wolfsberger AC average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Wins as soon as both teams score, offering a balanced approach that eliminates the volatility of picking a specific match winner sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Ried show a 80% BTTS rate and Wolfsberger AC show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market requires each team to find the net at least once during normal time.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Ried show a 80% BTTS rate and Wolfsberger AC show.Visible data support
Positive
Ried average 1.2 goals scored and Wolfsberger AC average 0.6.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams to Score market requires each team.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score market requires each team to find the net at least once during normal time. Ried show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Wolfsberger AC show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. WAC still use wing-backs and a three-man defensive line, but their intention is different.

Main risk

WAC still use wing-backs and a three-man defensive line, but their intention is different.

Key Data Signals

Wins as soon as both teams score, offering a balanced approach that eliminates the volatility of picking a specific match winner evidence

The Both Teams to Score market requires each team to find the net at least once during normal.

Ried show a 80% BTTS rate and Wolfsberger AC show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Ried average 1.2 goals scored and Wolfsberger AC average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins as soon as both teams score, offering a balanced approach that eliminates the volatility of picking a specific match winner notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ried1.2
Avg goals scored
Wolfsberger AC0.6
Ried2
Avg goals conceded
Wolfsberger AC1.8
Ried80%
BTTS rate
Wolfsberger AC60%
Ried60%
Over 2.5 goals
Wolfsberger AC60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Ried to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Ried Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Wolfsberger AC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Wolfsberger AC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ried

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
11 Sep 2026H Red Bull Salzburg1-1
30 Aug 2026A TSV Hartberg2-3
21 Aug 2026H Grazer AK1-0
14 Aug 2026A Lask Linz1-4
09 Aug 2026H Rapid Vienna1-2

Wolfsberger AC

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
12 Sep 2026H Rapid Vienna0-3
01 Sep 2026H Lask Linz1-3
29 Aug 2026A Grazer AK0-0
15 Aug 2026A Austria Lustenau1-2
09 Aug 2026H Red Bull Salzburg1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 77% · edge +4.3 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Ried to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Ried Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Wolfsberger AC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Wolfsberger AC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Ried Over 2.5
60%Wolfsberger AC Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ried sit at 60% and Wolfsberger AC sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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