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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Ireland host Qatar in a friendly at the Aviva Stadium, with the home side seeking to extend their strong unbeaten run in Dublin. Qatar arrive with defensive concerns and are using this match as World Cup preparation, while Ireland look to build on recent attacking improvements.

Rep. Of Ireland crestRep. Of Ireland
v
Qatar crestQatar

Friendlies | Thu 28 May, 19:45

Rep. Of Ireland v Qatar Stats

Data last updated: Wed 27 May 2026, 03:33 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Rep. Of Ireland to Win

  • Ireland are unbeaten in their last eight home matches, winning five.
  • Qatar have kept just one clean sheet in their last eleven games.
  • Ireland have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Qatar have conceded seven goals across their last four outings.
  • Ireland’s average of 26 shots per match highlights sustained attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Ireland’s eight-match unbeaten streak at home, combined with a recent surge in attacking output, sets a strong foundation for a home win. Qatar’s defensive record is concerning, with only one clean sheet in eleven games and seven goals conceded in their last four. Ireland’s average of 26 shots per match and their ability to score multiple goals recently point to a clear advantage. While Qatar’s data sample is limited, their recent form and defensive lapses reinforce the value on Ireland, especially given the Aviva Stadium’s influence.

Home unbeaten runIreland unbeaten in eight at Aviva, five wins
Strong positive
Qatar defensive recordOne clean sheet in last eleven matches
Strong positive
Ireland attacking form2+ goals in four of last five games
Positive
Qatar recent resultsSeven defeats in last fourteen, seven goals conceded in last four
Positive
Limited Qatar dataSample size for Qatar is thin; recent defensive trends carry more weight
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ireland’s strong home form and recent attacking improvement make them clear favourites against a Qatar side struggling for defensive solidity. The Aviva Stadium has become a fortress, and Ireland’s ability to create and convert chances has improved. Qatar’s lack of clean sheets and recent defensive lapses point to a likely home win.

Main risk

Friendlies often see multiple substitutions and tactical changes after half-time, which can disrupt the game’s rhythm and occasionally lead to unexpected late goals or a drop in intensity from the stronger side.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Ireland’s attacking momentum and Qatar’s defensive issues

“Ireland’s front-foot approach and renewed attacking should expose Qatar’s defensive gaps, especially given the visitors’ poor record for clean sheets and recent struggles to contain pressure in away fixtures.”

Key Data Signals

Ireland Win evidence

Ireland are unbeaten in their last eight home matches, winning five.

Qatar have kept just one clean sheet in their last eleven games.

Ireland have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches.

Qatar have conceded seven goals across their last four outings.

What To Watch In The Data

Ireland Win notes

  • Ireland have the stronger base if recent points return and final line-ups keep pointing towards Ireland Win.
  • Check whether Ireland create enough clear chances rather than just territory.
  • Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Ireland to Win: ireland’s unbeaten home run and recent scoring surge contrast with Qatar’s winless streak and defensive problems, making the home win the standout trend from recent results.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile and goal-market notes.

Rep. Of Ireland2.5
Avg goals scored
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland0
Avg goals conceded
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland0%
BTTS rate
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland50%
Over 2.5 goals
Qatar-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rep. Of Ireland

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
16 May 2026H Grenada5-0
31 Mar 2026H FYR Macedonia0-0

Qatar

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Qatar yet.

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Ireland to Win: ireland’s unbeaten home run and recent scoring surge contrast with Qatar’s winless streak and defensive problems, making the home win the standout trend from recent results.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rep. Of Ireland10
Avg corners for
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland11
Avg total corners
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland0
Avg yellow cards
Qatar-
Rep. Of Ireland26
Avg shots
Qatar-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 54% · edge +20.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Player stats

Player props and player-level numbers.

Best player marketAhmed Alaa Anytime GoalscorerAhmed Alaa · 2 goals · 4.64 SOT/90
86/100
Check odds
Load more player markets
T. Cannon 1+ Shot On TargetT. Cannon · 8 shots on target/90
84/100
Check odds
T. Cannon 2+ ShotsT. Cannon · 14 shots/90
82/100
Check odds
Akram Afif To Assist / Key Pass AngleAkram Afif · 11 assists · 4.54 key passes/90
78/100
Check odds
Edmilson Junior To Be FouledEdmilson Junior · 5.49 fouls won/90
80/100
Check odds
Yusuf Abdurisag Card RiskYusuf Abdurisag · 3 yellows · 1.75 fouls/90
80/100
Check odds
Ahmed Alaa Anytime Goalscorer is more than a name pick here: 2 goals and 4.64 SOT/90 puts the focus on whether Ahmed Alaa gets enough central service.
Ahmed Alaa
Ahmed AlaaQatar · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.57
SOT /904.64
J. Moylan
J. MoylanRep. Of Ireland · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /908
SOT /905
T. Cannon
T. CannonRep. Of Ireland · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9014
SOT /908
J. Kenny
J. KennyRep. Of Ireland · Attacker
Goal threat89/100
Shots /906.43
SOT /906.43
Yusuf Abdurisag
Yusuf AbdurisagQatar · Attacker
Goal threat36/100
Shots /901.31
SOT /900.87
Mohamed Al Manai
Mohamed Al ManaiQatar · Midfielder
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900.5
SOT /900
Ahmed Fathi
Ahmed FathiQatar · Midfielder
Goal threat9/100
Shots /900.09
SOT /900
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Rep. Of Ireland wins
1Draws
0Qatar wins
12 Oct 2021Rep. Of Ireland v Qatar4-0
30 Mar 2021Qatar v Rep. Of Ireland1-1
Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Ireland to Win: ireland’s unbeaten home run and recent scoring surge contrast with Qatar’s winless streak and defensive problems, making the home win the standout trend from recent results.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Rep. Of Ireland2
Played
Qatar0
Rep. Of Ireland2.5
Avg goals for
Qatar0
Rep. Of Ireland0
Avg goals against
Qatar0
Rep. Of Ireland2
Clean sheets
Qatar0
Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Ireland to Win: ireland’s unbeaten home run and recent scoring surge contrast with Qatar’s winless streak and defensive problems, making the home win the standout trend from recent results.
Key match trends

Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.

50%Rep. Of Ireland Over 2.5
-Qatar Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Qatar have conceded seven goals across their last four outings, supporting the case for Irish attacking success.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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