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Rep. Of Ireland crestRep. Of Ireland
v
Austria crestAustria

UEFA Nations League | Thu 01 Oct, 19:45

Rep. Of Ireland v Austria Stats

Data last updated: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 09:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ireland return to the Aviva Stadium with strong home momentum, unbeaten in eight consecutive matches and boasting four straight clean sheets. Austria arrive with potent attacking form, having scored six goals in their first two Nations League games, but carry defensive vulnerabilities, failing to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive matches. This clash pits Ireland's resilient defence against Austria's consistent scoring threat, setting up a contest where both sides are likely to find the net despite Ireland's recent defensive solidity at home.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Ireland unbeaten in eight home matches with four consecutive clean sheets.
  • Austria have scored six goals in two Nations League matches but no clean sheets in last six games.
  • Troy Parrott has scored seven goals in five competitive internationals, leading Ireland's attack.
  • Four of Austria's last six matches featured goals from both teams, highlighting defensive lapses.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 66.7% chance, reflecting Austria's strong scoring form and defensive frailties alongside Ireland's improved attack led by Troy Parrott. The 14.1% over the implied indicates a solid betting opportunity. Ireland's home defensive record tempers the risk but Austria's consistent goal threat and Ireland's recent scoring improvements support the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance66.7% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Implied Odds66.7% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Ireland Home DefenceFour consecutive clean sheets
Positive
Austria Defensive RecordNo clean sheets in six matches
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess contrasting strengths that make a BTTS outcome plausible. Ireland's home resilience and recent defensive form provide a solid base, but Austria's attacking consistency and history of scoring against Ireland suggest both sides will find the net. This bet balances Ireland's defensive solidity with Austria's offensive threat effectively.

Main risk

It covers one-sided results like 3-0 but loses if the match finishes 1-1.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Austria's sustained scoring streak combined with Ireland's attacking resurgence creates a compelling scenario for both teams to score despite Ireland's recent clean sheets at home.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Ireland unbeaten in eight home matches with four consecutive clean sheets.

Austria have scored six goals in two Nations League matches but no clean sheets in last six games.

Troy Parrott has scored seven goals in five competitive internationals, leading Ireland's attack.

Four of Austria's last six matches featured goals from both teams, highlighting defensive lapses.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, but recent Nations League fixtures show Austria scoring three goals in each game and Ireland improving offensively.
  • The trend over recent matches suggests a higher tempo and goal volume, supporting an Over 2.5 goals environment despite Ireland's defensive strength.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rep. Of Ireland1.5
Avg goals scored
Austria3
Rep. Of Ireland0.5
Avg goals conceded
Austria1
Rep. Of Ireland0%
BTTS rate
Austria100%
Rep. Of Ireland50%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent goal trends show Austria scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches and failing to keep clean sheets in six consecutive games, while Ireland have scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches. Four of Austria's last six matches featured goals from both teams, supporting the likelihood of BTTS in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Austria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Rep. Of Ireland to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Ireland show a 0% BTTS rate and Austria show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rep. Of Ireland

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
27 Sep 2026A Israel3-0
24 Sep 2026A Kosovo0-1

Austria

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
27 Sep 2026H Kosovo3-1
24 Sep 2026H Israel3-1
Best odds for this sectionAustria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Austria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Rep. Of Ireland to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Ireland's recent form includes an unbeaten home run with four consecutive clean sheets, showing defensive solidity. Austria have won their first two Nations League matches scoring three goals each but have not kept a clean sheet in six matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that increase the chance of both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Rep. Of Ireland Over 2.5
100%Austria Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, but recent Nations League fixtures show Austria scoring three goals in each game and Ireland improving offensively. The trend over recent matches suggests a higher tempo and goal volume, supporting an Over 2.5 goals environment despite Ireland's defensive strength.

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