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Rennes crestRennes
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sun 23 Aug, 19:45

Rennes v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rennes face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sun 23 Aug, 19:45. Amazon Prime is carrying the fixture on a pay-per-view basis, while Ligue 1+ and OneFootball provide alternative online routes. Luis Enrique's record spans 607 matches, with 376 victories and 115 defeats.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.75, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +13.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Rennes wins
1Draws
6Paris Saint Germain wins
13 Feb 2026Rennes v Paris Saint Germain3-1
06 Dec 2025Paris Saint Germain v Rennes5-0
08 Mar 2025Rennes v Paris Saint Germain1-4
27 Sep 2024Paris Saint Germain v Rennes3-1
03 Apr 2024Paris Saint Germain v Rennes1-0
25 Feb 2024Paris Saint Germain v Rennes1-1
Best odds for this sectionRennes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris Saint Germain to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The head-to-head sample gives context for Rennes to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 hubRennes v Paris Saint Germain predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rennes

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Rennes yet.

Paris Saint Germain

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Paris Saint Germain yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Rennes to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Paris Saint Germain to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rennes-
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain-
Rennes-
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain-
Rennes-
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain-
Rennes-
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.5 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRennes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris Saint Germain to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Rennes to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Rennes0
Played
Paris Saint Germain0
Rennes0
Avg goals for
Paris Saint Germain0
Rennes0
Avg goals against
Paris Saint Germain0
Rennes0
Clean sheets
Paris Saint Germain0
Best odds for this sectionRennes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Paris Saint Germain to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Season data supports Rennes to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Paris Saint Germain000000
13Rennes000000
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Rennes Over 2.5
-Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Rennes v Paris Saint Germain prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 hubRennes v Paris Saint Germain predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre