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Red Bull Salzburg crestRed Bull Salzburg
v
Pafos crestPafos

UEFA Europa League | Thu 06 Aug, 18:00

Red Bull Salzburg v Pafos Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 18:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Red Bull Salzburg face Pafos in UEFA Europa League on Thu 06 Aug, 18:00. The second leg at the Alphamega Stadium obliges Pafos to attack after Haris Tabakovic converted an 88th-minute winner for Red Bull Salzburg in Austria.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 33% (-27.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.07.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -27.3 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Salzburg possess the aggregate advantage, but Pafos have the home record and recent evidence of their ability to overturn European adversity.

Main risk

Salzburg possess the aggregate advantage, but Pafos have the home record and recent evidence of their ability to overturn European adversity.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Red Bull Salzburg

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Red Bull Salzburg yet.

Pafos

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Jul 2026H HNK Hajduk Split2-0
23 Jul 2026A HNK Hajduk Split0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 81% vs implied 83% · edge -1.9 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Red Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.05
Check odds @ 3.05
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.22
Check odds @ 2.22
Red Bull Salzburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.9
Check odds @ 4.9
Pafos to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Pafos Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
30Red Bull Salzburg000000
UEFA Europa League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg goals scored
Pafos1
Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg goals conceded
Pafos1
Red Bull Salzburg-
BTTS rate
Pafos0%
Red Bull Salzburg-
Over 2.5 goals
Pafos0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 57% · edge -23.8 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.07
Check odds @ 2.07
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.95
Check odds @ 2.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 57% · edge -23.8 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Red Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.05
Check odds @ 3.05
Red Bull Salzburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.9
Check odds @ 4.9
Pafos to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Pafos Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Red Bull Salzburg wins
0Draws
0Pafos wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 57% · edge -23.8 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Red Bull Salzburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.9
Check odds @ 4.9
Pafos to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg corners for
Pafos3.5
Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg total corners
Pafos7.5
Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg yellow cards
Pafos2.5
Red Bull Salzburg-
Avg shots
Pafos7

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg4
Played
Pafos4
Red Bull Salzburg2
Avg goals for
Pafos1.3
Red Bull Salzburg0.8
Avg goals against
Pafos1.5
Red Bull Salzburg3
Clean sheets
Pafos1
Best odds for this sectionRed Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +12.2 pts
3.05
Check odds @ 3.05
Load more odds for this section
Red Bull Salzburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.9
Check odds @ 4.9
Pafos to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Pafos Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season data supports Red Bull Salzburg Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5
0%Pafos Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.