Football Stats Hub

Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
v
Bournemouth crestBournemouth

UEFA Europa League | Thu 17 Sep, 20:00

Real Sociedad v Bournemouth Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 04:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Sociedad face Bournemouth in UEFA Europa League on Thu 17 Sep, 20:00. Sociedad's poor home record and Bournemouth's consistent away scoring suggest both sides will find the net in this Europa League opener.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/7, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 50% (-13.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +4.9 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -13.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Those figures span different periods, but together they suggest that home advantage has offered less protection than might normally be assumed.

Main risk

Those figures span different periods, but together they suggest that home advantage has offered less protection than might normally be assumed.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Sociedad-
Avg goals scored
Bournemouth-
Real Sociedad-
Avg goals conceded
Bournemouth-
Real Sociedad-
BTTS rate
Bournemouth-
Real Sociedad-
Over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 64% · edge -13.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 64% · edge -13.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Bournemouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Bournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Sociedad

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Real Sociedad yet.

Bournemouth

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bournemouth yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 71% · edge -3.4 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Bournemouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Bournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Real Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Real Sociedad Over 2.5
-Bournemouth Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Loading deeper match data…