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Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad II
v
Granada CF crestGranada CF

Segunda División | Sun 04 Oct, 13:00

Real Sociedad II v Granada CF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 18:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Segunda División clash features Real Sociedad II hosting Granada CF, both mid-table teams with identical points but differing recent goal trends. Real Sociedad II has scored 1.4 goals per game and conceded 1.6, while Granada CF averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, indicating open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Both sides have shown a strong tendency for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Granada CF especially prolific in high-scoring games. The fixture promises attacking intent from both teams, with tactical openness likely to produce multiple goal-scoring opportunities in this early October encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Granada CF has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, Real Sociedad II 60%.
  • Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game, with defensive concessions above 1.5 goals.
  • Recent head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, indicating high-scoring potential.
  • Granada CF averages 18 shots per game with 4.6 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.
  • Real Sociedad II’s attacker Javier Soroeta averages 1.27 shots on target per 90 minutes, adding goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 67.9% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the 51.3% implied by of 1.95, indicating strong value. Both teams have shown attacking potency and defensive frailties, with Granada CF’s high shot volume and Real Sociedad II’s goal threat supporting an open game. The recent head-to-head average of 4.5 goals further reinforces the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations affect , making this a solid value bet with standard stake guidance.

Model Probability66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral
Goal Scoring RatesBoth teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game
Strong positive
Defensive ConcessionsGranada concedes 2.2 goals per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals4.5 average goals in last 2 meetings
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as both Real Sociedad II and Granada CF have shown defensive vulnerabilities and strong offensive output this season. The high average goals conceded and recent high-scoring head-to-head meetings suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting selection, supported by clear attacking roles and shot volumes from key players on both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Granada CF’s aggressive shot volume combined with Real Sociedad II’s goal threat creates a fertile ground for multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Granada CF has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, Real Sociedad II 60%.

Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game, with defensive concessions above 1.5 goals.

Recent head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, indicating high-scoring potential.

Granada CF averages 18 shots per game with 4.6 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head meetings, an average of 4.5 goals were scored, highlighting a trend toward high-scoring games between these teams.
  • This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style, reinforcing the expectation for Over 2.5 Goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Sociedad II1.4
Avg goals scored
Granada CF1.6
Real Sociedad II1.6
Avg goals conceded
Granada CF2.2
Real Sociedad II80%
BTTS rate
Granada CF80%
Real Sociedad II60%
Over 2.5 goals
Granada CF80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have strong BTTS rates of 80%, and their goal averages exceed 1.4 per game, indicating matches frequently feature goals at both ends. The recent head-to-head average of 4.5 goals further supports the expectation of an open game with multiple scoring chances and goals from both sides.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Real Sociedad II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The 66.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Real Sociedad II and 80% for Granada CF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Sociedad II

LLWDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
26 Sep 2026A AD Ceuta FC1-3
19 Sep 2026H Mallorca0-1
12 Sep 2026A FC Andorra3-1
05 Sep 2026H Tenerife1-1
31 Aug 2026A Burgos2-2

Granada CF

LLDLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
26 Sep 2026H FC Andorra2-3
20 Sep 2026A Leganes2-3
12 Sep 2026H Albacete1-1
06 Sep 2026A Eibar0-3
30 Aug 2026A Cordoba3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 69% · edge +7.5 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Real Sociedad II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Granada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data shows Real Sociedad II has a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Granada CF’s is even higher at 80%. Both teams have scored and conceded multiple goals in recent matches, reflecting an attacking mindset and defensive lapses that increase the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Real Sociedad II Over 2.5
80%Granada CF Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head meetings, an average of 4.5 goals were scored, highlighting a trend toward high-scoring games between these teams. This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style, reinforcing the expectation for Over 2.5 Goals in this match.

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