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Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake
v
New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution

Major League Soccer | Sun 27 Sep, 02:30

Real Salt Lake v New England Revolution Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 07:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features Real Salt Lake hosting New England Revolution, who currently sit second in the standings with a strong points tally. New England arrives in excellent form, having collected 12 points recently and averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Real Salt Lake struggles near the bottom with just 29 points and a leaky defense conceding over two goals per match. The Revolution's attacking efficiency and tactical cohesion contrast with Real Salt Lake's defensive vulnerabilities, setting up a contest where New England's momentum and quality could prove decisive in an away win.

BT4Y best bet

New England Revolution to Win

  • New England Revolution ranks 2nd with 46 points, Real Salt Lake 13th with 29 points
  • Revolution averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing strong attack and solid defense
  • Real Salt Lake concedes 2.2 goals per game and scores only 0.6, indicating offensive struggles
  • New England Revolution has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, suggesting high-scoring matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates New England Revolution's chances to win at 70%, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 39.2%, indicating strong value at current of 2.55. This is supported by New England's superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity compared to Real Salt Lake's struggles. The Revolution's ability to create and convert chances, combined with Real Salt Lake's defensive frailties, underpins the model's positive outlook. No data limitations affect this assessment, making the pick a solid value selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Market Implied Probability54.2% model chance vs 39.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsNew England 12 vs Real Salt Lake 1
Strong positive
Goals For/Against ComparisonNew England 2.4/1.4 vs Real Salt Lake 0.6/2.2
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

New England Revolution's superior form and attacking efficiency make them the clear choice for victory. Their consistent goal-scoring and defensive resilience contrast sharply with Real Salt Lake's struggles, providing a strong tactical and statistical foundation for backing the away win in this MLS fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“New England Revolution's blend of attacking potency and defensive organization positions them well to capitalize on Real Salt Lake's defensive weaknesses, making the away win a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

New England Revolution to Win evidence

New England Revolution ranks 2nd with 46 points, Real Salt Lake 13th with 29 points

Revolution averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing strong attack and solid defense

Real Salt Lake concedes 2.2 goals per game and scores only 0.6, indicating offensive struggles

New England Revolution has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, suggesting high-scoring matches

What To Watch In The Data

New England Revolution to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively open fixture historically.
  • Combined with New England's recent 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, this trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by New England's attacking style and Real Salt Lake's defensive challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Salt Lake0.6
Avg goals scored
New England Revolution2.4
Real Salt Lake2.2
Avg goals conceded
New England Revolution1.4
Real Salt Lake40%
BTTS rate
New England Revolution100%
Real Salt Lake60%
Over 2.5 goals
New England Revolution100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
New England Revolution's matches have seen a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, highlighting their attacking threat and tendency for open games. Real Salt Lake's defensive record suggests they are likely to concede multiple goals, supporting expectations of a high-scoring encounter with goals from both sides possible.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 54.2% for New England Revolution to Win sits against roughly 39.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 1 for Real Salt Lake.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Salt Lake

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 7L
24 Sep 2026A Seattle Sounders0-2
20 Sep 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
13 Sep 2026H New York City FC0-2
10 Sep 2026A Houston Dynamo1-2
06 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC2-2

New England Revolution

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026H Orlando City SC4-2
13 Sep 2026A Chicago Fire2-1
10 Sep 2026A New York City FC2-1
06 Sep 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy1-2
30 Aug 2026A Columbus Crew3-1
Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Recent form heavily favors New England Revolution, who have amassed 12 points in their last matches compared to Real Salt Lake's single point. This stark contrast reflects New England's momentum, , and tactical execution, which are likely to influence the match outcome decisively in their favor.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Real Salt Lake Over 2.5
100%New England Revolution Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively open fixture historically. Combined with New England's recent 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, this trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by New England's attacking style and Real Salt Lake's defensive challenges.

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