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RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig
v
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

Bundesliga | Sun 13 Sep, 14:30

RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 11:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Leipzig face Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on Sun 13 Sep, 14:30. Leipzig have won six consecutive Bundesliga matches at Red Bull Arena, giving their recent two-game losing sequence a very different context once they return home. Leipzig's six consecutive home wins and higher shot volume contrast with HSV's defensive frailty and scoring drought.

BT4Y best bet

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score

  • RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score is rated around 36% by the current BT4Y model.
  • RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Attack Yet to Score.
  • RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show RB Leipzig on 3 and Hamburger SV on 0.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for RB Leipzig and 0% for Hamburger SV.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score around 36% on the latest available numbers. RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show RB Leipzig on 3 and Hamburger SV on 0. RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Attack Yet to Score.

RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: RB Leipzig Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because rB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Attack Yet to Score. RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show RB Leipzig on 3 and Hamburger SV on 0. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score evidence

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Attack Yet to Score.

RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show RB Leipzig on 3 and Hamburger SV on 0.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for RB Leipzig and 0% for Hamburger SV.

RB Leipzig Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for RB Leipzig and 0 for Hamburger SV are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Leipzig2
Avg goals scored
Hamburger SV0
RB Leipzig1.5
Avg goals conceded
Hamburger SV3.5
RB Leipzig50%
BTTS rate
Hamburger SV0%
RB Leipzig100%
Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 91% · edge -2.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for RB Leipzig and 50% for Hamburger SV, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Bundesliga analysisRB Leipzig v Hamburger SV predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -7.6 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
RB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
RB Leipzig Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Leipzig

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Werder Bremen1-3
29 Aug 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0

Hamburger SV

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
06 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 050-5
29 Aug 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 93% · edge -7.3 pts
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
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RB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
RB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
50%Hamburger SV Over 2.5
3.13H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: RB Leipzig sit at 100% and Hamburger SV sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3.13 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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