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Ravenna crestRavenna
v
Gubbio crestGubbio

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 27 Sep, 13:30

Ravenna v Gubbio Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ravenna and Gubbio meet in Serie C - Girone B with Ravenna sitting comfortably in 2nd place and Gubbio struggling near 13th. Ravenna's strong defensive record contrasts with Gubbio's more open style, which has led to more goals conceded. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, with Ravenna averaging 1.8 goals scored and Gubbio matching that output. The tactical setup suggests an open game where both sides look to find the net, despite the difference in league position and defensive solidity.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Ravenna concedes just 0.2 goals per game, showing defensive strength.
  • Gubbio scores and concedes at a higher rate, indicating open play.
  • Ravenna averages 1.8 goals scored per match, matching Gubbio's attacking output.
  • Gubbio's BTTS rate is 80%, much higher than Ravenna's 20%, suggesting Gubbio's matches often see goals at both ends.
  • The model estimates a 63.3% chance for both teams to score, with a positive of 15.7%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to Gubbio's high BTTS rate of 80% and Ravenna's consistent scoring record. Despite Ravenna's strong defense, Gubbio's attacking tendencies and the tactical openness expected in this fixture increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. The 63.3% significantly exceeds the implied market chance, indicating good value. Data quality is solid with no major limitations, supporting in this pick.

Gubbio BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Ravenna Goals For1.8 per game
Positive
Ravenna Goals Against0.2 per game
Neutral
Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown clear attacking intent this season, with Gubbio frequently involved in matches where both sides score. Ravenna's solid defense might keep the scoreline tight, but their own scoring ability combined with Gubbio's offensive approach makes Both Teams to Score a tactically sound and data-supported selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Gubbio's high BTTS rate combined with Ravenna's consistent goal scoring creates a compelling case for Both Teams to Score, despite Ravenna's defensive strength. This match promises an open contest with chances at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Ravenna concedes just 0.2 goals per game, showing defensive strength.

Gubbio scores and concedes at a higher rate, indicating open play.

Ravenna averages 1.8 goals scored per match, matching Gubbio's attacking output.

Gubbio's BTTS rate is 80%, much higher than Ravenna's 20%, suggesting Gubbio's matches often see goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2.56, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Recent trends in both teams' matches show a mix of tight defensive games and open contests, with Gubbio's higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% suggesting this match could see a lively tempo and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ravenna1.8
Avg goals scored
Gubbio1.8
Ravenna0.2
Avg goals conceded
Gubbio1.6
Ravenna20%
BTTS rate
Gubbio80%
Ravenna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Gubbio60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Gubbio's matches show a strong tendency for both teams to score, with an 80% BTTS rate, while Ravenna's matches have a lower BTTS rate at 20%. However, Ravenna's consistent scoring at 1.8 goals per game and Gubbio's offensive openness suggest goals at both ends are likely in this fixture, balancing the defensive solidity with attacking threat.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ravenna

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
20 Sep 2026A Atalanta II2-0
16 Sep 2026A Ostia Mare1-0
13 Sep 2026H Perugia3-0
06 Sep 2026A Pescara0-0
29 Aug 2026H Latina3-1

Gubbio

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
20 Sep 2026H Ostia Mare0-2
16 Sep 2026A Pescara1-1
12 Sep 2026H Latina3-1
05 Sep 2026A Campobasso FC4-2
30 Aug 2026H Reggiana1-2
Best odds for this sectionGubbio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Ravenna to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ravenna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Gubbio to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form shows Ravenna with strong defensive performances, conceding just 0.2 goals per game, while maintaining a solid scoring rate. Gubbio's form is more inconsistent but features a high BTTS rate, indicating matches often see goals at both ends. This contrast in form underlines the potential for a game with goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Gubbio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Ravenna to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Ravenna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Gubbio to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Ravenna show a 20% BTTS rate and Gubbio show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Ravenna Over 2.5
60%Gubbio Over 2.5
2.56H2H avg goals
Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2.56, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Recent trends in both teams' matches show a mix of tight defensive games and open contests, with Gubbio's higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% suggesting this match could see a lively tempo and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

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