Football Stats Hub

Rangers crestRangers
v
Celtic crestCeltic

League Cup | Sun 13 Sep, 12:00

Rangers v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 02:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rangers face Celtic in League Cup on Sun 13 Sep, 12:00. Celtic conceded six goals in two defeats despite a strong league start, while Rangers have scored in 11 of their last 12 away games and are on a five-match winning run.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 4/7, Over 2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
  • An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rangers and 100% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Rangers are carrying more of the scoring load at 5 goals per match, with Celtic at 4.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Rangers and 0% for Celtic show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rangers and 100% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call. An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rangers and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Rangers are carrying more of the scoring load at 5.Visible data support
Positive
An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because an Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rangers and 100% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rangers and 100% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Rangers are carrying more of the scoring load at 5 goals per match, with Celtic at 4.

BTTS rates of 100% for Rangers and 0% for Celtic show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rangers5
Avg goals scored
Celtic4
Rangers1
Avg goals conceded
Celtic0
Rangers100%
BTTS rate
Celtic0%
Rangers100%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Rangers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rangers

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026H ST Mirren5-1

Celtic

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Dundee Utd4-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Rangers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Celtic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rangers Over 2.5
100%Celtic Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rangers sit at 100% and Celtic sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…