Football Stats Hub

Rangers crestRangers
v
Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Sun 03 Jan, 12:00

Rangers v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 23:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rangers face Celtic in Premiership on Sun 03 Jan, 12:00. Celtic conceded six goals in two defeats despite a strong league start, while Rangers have scored in 11 of their last 12 away games and are on a five-match winning run. Historical home advantage and recent defensive form make this exact score plausible but fragile.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 4/7, Over 2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Celtic are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Rangers at 2.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Over 2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call. An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rangers and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6.Visible data support
Positive
An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because an Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

An Over 2.5 Goals pick suits this derby as both sides have shown defensive frailties recently.

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Celtic are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Rangers at 2.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for Rangers and 60% for Celtic show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rangers2.4
Avg goals scored
Celtic2.6
Rangers1
Avg goals conceded
Celtic1
Rangers60%
BTTS rate
Celtic60%
Rangers80%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic60%

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rangers

DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
28 Oct 2026A Heart Of Midlothian2-2
24 Oct 2026H ST Johnstone4-0
17 Oct 2026A Dundee2-2
10 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-1
20 Sep 2026A Celtic1-0

Celtic

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 1D 1L
28 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd2-2
25 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
18 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian7-1
11 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0
20 Sep 2026H Rangers0-1

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Rangers Over 2.5
60%Celtic Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rangers sit at 80% and Celtic sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…