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Randers FC crestRanders FC
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Viborg crestViborg

Superliga | Sun 11 Oct, 13:00

Randers FC v Viborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Superliga clash features Viborg visiting Randers FC in a fixture where Viborg's recent form and attacking efficiency stand out. Viborg sits fourth in the table with 17 points, showing a more consistent output compared to Randers FC's eighth place and 10 points. Viborg's ability to create and convert chances, combined with their defensive solidity, contrasts with Randers FC's more uneven performances. The tactical setup suggests Viborg will look to press their advantage and exploit Randers FC's defensive vulnerabilities, making this a contest where Viborg's and momentum could prove decisive.

BT4Y best bet

Viborg to Win

  • Viborg ranks 4th with 17 points, Randers FC 8th with 10 points.
  • Viborg averages 2.4 goals scored per game, higher than Randers FC's 1.6.
  • Viborg concedes fewer goals (1.2) compared to Randers FC (1.6).
  • Viborg averages 13.8 shots and 4.8 corners per game, indicating attacking pressure.
  • Randers FC has a higher average of yellow cards (2.2) than Viborg (0.6), suggesting discipline issues.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Viborg to win with a 65.9% chance, reflecting their stronger recent form and superior attacking and defensive stats. Viborg's higher shot volume and goal-scoring rate indicate offensive control, while their lower goals conceded shows defensive resilience. The price offers positive value with an 18.3% edge, supported by their consistent ability to create chances and maintain discipline. This combination of statistical superiority and tactical momentum underpins the in Viborg's victory.

Model chance61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied chance from odds61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value edge61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Shot volumeViborg 13.8 vs Randers 10
Positive
Goals concededViborg 1.2 vs Randers 1.6
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Viborg's superior form and attacking efficiency make them the likely winners in this Superliga encounter. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Randers FC's inconsistency, suggesting Viborg can capitalize on their momentum to secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical advantage for Viborg

“Viborg's balanced attack and disciplined defense give them a tactical edge over Randers FC, whose higher card count and lower shot creation signal vulnerabilities. This match should favor Viborg's consistent approach and goal threat.”

Key Data Signals

Viborg to Win evidence

Viborg ranks 4th with 17 points, Randers FC 8th with 10 points.

Viborg averages 2.4 goals scored per game, higher than Randers FC's 1.6.

Viborg concedes fewer goals (1.2) compared to Randers FC (1.6).

Viborg averages 13.8 shots and 4.8 corners per game, indicating attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Viborg to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Viborg's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, slightly lower than Randers FC's 80%, but their overall attacking statistics suggest they can influence the tempo and goal-scoring chances in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Randers FC1.6
Avg goals scored
Viborg2.4
Randers FC1.6
Avg goals conceded
Viborg1.2
Randers FC60%
BTTS rate
Viborg60%
Randers FC80%
Over 2.5 goals
Viborg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams show moderate BTTS rates at 60%, but Viborg's higher goals per game (2.4) compared to Randers FC (1.6) suggests a greater likelihood of goals. The average goals in their head-to-head matches is 2.4, supporting the potential for an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 61.5% for Viborg to Win sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Randers FC.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Randers FC

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
20 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske2-4
13 Sep 2026H Odense1-2
06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0
30 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-1
23 Aug 2026A FC Midtjylland0-1

Viborg

WDLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 2L
20 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland4-1
13 Sep 2026A Silkeborg1-1
04 Sep 2026H Lyngby0-2
28 Aug 2026A AC Horsens3-2
23 Aug 2026H FC Copenhagen4-0
Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Viborg's recent form shows 10 points gained with a solid goal difference, reflecting consistent performances and scoring ability. Randers FC's 6 points and lower goals scored highlight their struggles to maintain momentum. This recent form data supports Viborg's likelihood to control the match and secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Randers FC Over 2.5
60%Viborg Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game. Viborg's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, slightly lower than Randers FC's 80%, but their overall attacking statistics suggest they can influence the tempo and goal-scoring chances in this fixture.

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