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Portsmouth crestPortsmouth
v
QPR crestQPR

Championship | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Portsmouth v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Portsmouth face QPR in Championship on Sat 15 Aug, 15:00.

BT4Y best bet

QPR to Win

  • At 3.1, QPR to Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Portsmouth sit 14 in the table, while QPR sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for QPR to Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Portsmouth sit 14 in the table, while QPR sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Positive
Portsmouth sit 14 in the table, while QPR sit 3.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +8.7 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: QPR Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Portsmouth sit 14 in the table, while QPR sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

QPR to Win evidence

Portsmouth sit 14 in the table, while QPR sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

QPR to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Portsmouth wins
    2Draws
    3QPR wins
    21 Mar 2026QPR v Portsmouth6-1
    26 Dec 2025Portsmouth v QPR1-1
    22 Feb 2025Portsmouth v QPR2-1
    19 Oct 2024QPR v Portsmouth1-2
    07 Jul 2021QPR v Portsmouth2-1
    28 Aug 2019QPR v Portsmouth0-2
    Market aligned with main pickQPR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for QPR to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Championship analysisPortsmouth v QPR predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Portsmouth

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Portsmouth yet.

    QPR

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for QPR yet.

    Market aligned with main pickQPR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Portsmouth-
    Avg goals scored
    QPR-
    Portsmouth-
    Avg goals conceded
    QPR-
    Portsmouth-
    BTTS rate
    QPR-
    Portsmouth-
    Over 2.5 goals
    QPR-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickQPR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    QPR to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Championship

    Portsmouth5
    Played
    QPR5
    Portsmouth1.4
    Avg goals for
    QPR1.4
    Portsmouth1.6
    Avg goals against
    QPR0.8
    Portsmouth1
    Clean sheets
    QPR1
    Market aligned with main pickQPR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports QPR to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3QPR1053113
    14Portsmouth65203-1
    Portsmouth sit in position 14, while QPR sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the QPR to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Portsmouth Over 2.5
    -QPR Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Portsmouth v QPR prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Championship hubmore Championship analysisPortsmouth v QPR predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre