Football Stats Hub

Portsmouth crestPortsmouth
v
QPR crestQPR

Championship | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Portsmouth v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Portsmouth face QPR in Championship on Sat 15 Aug, 15:00.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
Price sensitivityEdge +4.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Portsmouth

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Portsmouth yet.

QPR

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for QPR yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 74% · edge -4.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Portsmouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Championship analysisPortsmouth v QPR predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Portsmouth-
Avg goals scored
QPR-
Portsmouth-
Avg goals conceded
QPR-
Portsmouth-
BTTS rate
QPR-
Portsmouth-
Over 2.5 goals
QPR-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Portsmouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Portsmouth Over 2.5
-QPR Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals

Loading deeper match data…