Pogon Szczecin
Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasa | Sun 13 Sep, 13:45
Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków Stats
Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Pogon Szczecin hosts Wieczysta Kraków in this Ekstraklasa clash with Pogon showing stronger recent form and a more solid defensive record. Pogon has collected 9 points with a tighter defense conceding 0.8 goals per game, while Wieczysta has struggled with 4 points and a leaky defense allowing 2.2 goals per match. Pogon's tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient attacking transitions, aiming to exploit Wieczysta's defensive vulnerabilities. The stakes are high as Pogon looks to consolidate mid-table position, while Wieczysta seeks to climb from the relegation zone, setting up a competitive encounter with Pogon favored to impose their game.
Pogon Szczecin to Win
- Pogon Szczecin holds a 71.1% to win, significantly above the implied market chance of 51.3%.
- Pogon concedes only 0.8 goals per game compared to Wieczysta's 2.2, indicating defensive superiority.
- Wieczysta averages more corners (6.0) but Pogon creates more shots on target (4.6) per game, showing attacking efficiency.
- Top attackers like J. Nsame (Pogon) and T. Christensen (Wieczysta) provide key goal threats with high shot volumes.
- Pogon ranks 8th with 9 points, while Wieczysta sits 17th with 4 points, reflecting current form disparity.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Pogon Szczecin to win based on their superior defensive record and consistent attacking output, supported by a 71.1% win probability. Pogon's ability to generate more shots on target and limit opponent chances contrasts with Wieczysta's defensive struggles. The significant of nearly 20% against market highlights a strong betting opportunity. Player data reinforces Pogon's attacking threat through J. Nsame's high shot involvement and K. Grosicki's creative influence. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting in the prediction.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Pogon Szczecin's tactical discipline and defensive resilience give them a clear edge over Wieczysta Kraków, who have struggled to contain opponents this season. Pogon's superior shot creation and control of the midfield make them the likely winners, supported by their stronger recent form and league position.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Pogon Szczecin's blend of defensive organization and attacking precision makes them the logical favorite in this matchup, especially given Wieczysta's defensive vulnerabilities and lower league standing.”
Key Data Signals
Pogon Szczecin to Win evidence
Pogon Szczecin holds a 71.1% to win, significantly above the implied market chance of 51.3%.
Pogon concedes only 0.8 goals per game compared to Wieczysta's 2.2, indicating defensive superiority.
Wieczysta averages more corners (6.0) but Pogon creates more shots on target (4.6) per game, showing attacking efficiency.
Top attackers like J. Nsame (Pogon) and T. Christensen (Wieczysta) provide key goal threats with high shot volumes.
What To Watch In The Data
Pogon Szczecin to Win notes
- In the last five matches, the Over 2.5 Goals rate is 40% for Pogon and 60% for Wieczysta, indicating a moderate tendency for higher scoring games involving Wieczysta.
- The average goals per match suggest a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, but Pogon's defensive discipline may temper the overall goal count, leading to a competitive but not overly high-scoring encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Pogon Szczecin
Wieczysta Kraków
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Ekstraklasa
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
