Football Stats Hub

Plymouth crestPlymouth
v
Bradford crestBradford

League One | Sat 29 Aug, 15:00

Plymouth v Bradford Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford enters this League One clash at the summit of the table with a perfect start, having secured six points from two matches, while Plymouth sits near the relegation zone with just one point. Bradford's early season form shows defensive solidity with zero goals conceded, contrasting with Plymouth's struggles at the back, having conceded twice already. Bradford's attacking midfielders and forwards have been active, creating multiple chances per game, suggesting they can exploit Plymouth's defensive vulnerabilities. The fixture offers Bradford a chance to consolidate their position, while Plymouth faces pressure to improve results at home.

BT4Y best bet

Bradford to Win

  • Bradford leads League One with 6 points and no goals conceded so far.
  • Plymouth has conceded 2 goals in 2 matches, showing defensive frailty.
  • Bradford averages 13.5 shots per game with 4.5 on target, indicating strong attacking threat.
  • Plymouth has a 100% BTTS rate but Bradford has kept clean sheets in both games.
  • Powell averages 3.1 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Bradford's of 70% to win reflects their strong early season form, defensive resilience, and attacking efficiency. Their zero goals conceded and higher points tally compared to Plymouth underpin in an away victory. Bradford's midfield and attacking players, especially N. Powell, contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat. Plymouth's defensive struggles and lower points total further support Bradford's advantage. The price offers positive value with a 38.7% edge, making Bradford to win a compelling selection based on current data and team dynamics.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Bradford Defensive Record0 goals conceded in 2 matches
Strong positive
Bradford Attack Efficiency13.5 shots per game, 4.5 on target
Strong positive
Plymouth Defensive Weakness2 goals conceded in 2 matches
Negative
Value Edge38.7% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bradford's early season form and defensive strength make them the tactical and statistical favorite to win this fixture. Their ability to limit opponents' chances combined with effective attacking play, led by key players like N. Powell, provides a solid foundation for victory against a struggling Plymouth side.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Bradford's disciplined defensive setup and dynamic midfield presence give them a clear edge in this matchup, especially considering Plymouth's defensive vulnerabilities and Bradford's clinical finishing so far.”

Key Data Signals

Bradford to Win evidence

Bradford leads League One with 6 points and no goals conceded so far.

Plymouth has conceded 2 goals in 2 matches, showing defensive frailty.

Bradford averages 13.5 shots per game with 4.5 on target, indicating strong attacking threat.

Plymouth has a 100% BTTS rate but Bradford has kept clean sheets in both games.

What To Watch In The Data

Bradford to Win notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Plymouth's 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Bradford's 0%, suggesting Bradford's matches tend to be tighter defensively.
  • This trend points to a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring outcomes in Bradford's favor.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Plymouth1
Avg goals scored
Bradford1.5
Plymouth2
Avg goals conceded
Bradford0
Plymouth100%
BTTS rate
Bradford0%
Plymouth50%
Over 2.5 goals
Bradford0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Plymouth has seen both teams score in 100% of their matches, while Bradford has kept clean sheets so far. The average goals per game in their recent matches is moderate, with a 2.1 average in head-to-head encounters. This mix suggests a competitive match with goal opportunities but Bradford's defense may limit Plymouth's scoring chances.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One hubPlymouth v Bradford predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bradford to Win is priced attractively with around 3.2, reflecting a model-implied 70% chance and a significant of nearly 39%. This suggests the market underestimates Bradford's strong start and defensive record, making the selection a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Plymouth5
Avg corners for
Bradford7
Plymouth9
Avg total corners
Bradford10
Plymouth2.5
Avg yellow cards
Bradford2
Plymouth13.5
Avg shots
Bradford17
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 65% · edge -0.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams average a similar number of shots per game (13.5), but Bradford leads in corners with 8 per match compared to Plymouth's 5, indicating more attacking pressure. Bradford also maintains better discipline with fewer yellow cards on average, suggesting controlled aggression and fewer disruptions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Plymouth

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Wycombe1-1
15 Aug 2026H Stockport County1-3

Bradford

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
20 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday1-0
15 Aug 2026H Peterborough2-0
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Bradford's perfect start with two wins and zero goals conceded contrasts sharply with Plymouth's single point and defensive lapses. Bradford's momentum and from early victories enhance their chances, while Plymouth faces pressure to improve defensively and capitalize on home advantage.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Plymouth wins
4Draws
3Bradford wins
21 Apr 2026Bradford v Plymouth1-1
06 Dec 2025Plymouth v Bradford0-1
29 Feb 2020Bradford v Plymouth2-1
23 Nov 2019Plymouth v Bradford2-1
16 Feb 2019Bradford v Plymouth0-0
08 Dec 2018Plymouth v Bradford3-3
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The ten previous meetings between Plymouth and Bradford have averaged 2.1 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While the sample is reasonable, recent form and defensive solidity favor Bradford, making historical results supportive but not decisive for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Plymouth2
Played
Bradford2
Plymouth1
Avg goals for
Bradford1.5
Plymouth2
Avg goals against
Bradford0
Plymouth0
Clean sheets
Bradford2
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Bradford's season stats show a balanced attack and a robust defense, conceding no goals and scoring 1.5 per game on average. Plymouth's stats reveal defensive vulnerabilities with 2 goals conceded and a high BTTS rate, indicating susceptibility at the back and a less consistent attack.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Bradford622003
22Plymouth12011-2
Bradford sits top of League One early in the season, reflecting strong form and consistency, while Plymouth is near the relegation zone, underscoring the pressure to secure points. The standings highlight the stakes for both teams, with Bradford aiming to maintain momentum and Plymouth needing to arrest their poor start.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Plymouth Over 2.5
0%Bradford Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, indicating a moderately open game. Plymouth's 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Bradford's 0%, suggesting Bradford's matches tend to be tighter defensively. This trend points to a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring outcomes in Bradford's favor.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Plymouth v Bradford prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Milton Keynes Dons v LeicesterLeague One · Sat 29 Aug 12:30Blackpool v PeterboroughLeague One · Sat 29 Aug 12:30Sheffield Wednesday v BromleyLeague One · Sat 29 Aug 15:00Stevenage v DoncasterLeague One · Sat 29 Aug 15:00

Competition and hubs

League One hubLeague One hubPlymouth v Bradford predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre