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Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 10:00

Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Piast Gliwice face Raków Częstochowa in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 27 Jun, 10:00. Piast Gliwice come in with 4 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Raków Częstochowa have 11 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Raków Częstochowa to Win

  • At 3.25, Raków Częstochowa Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Raków Częstochowa have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Piast Gliwice.
  • Raków Częstochowa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Raków Częstochowa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Raków Częstochowa Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Raków Częstochowa have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Piast Gliwice.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Raków Częstochowa have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Raków Częstochowa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Raków Częstochowa Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Raków Częstochowa have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Piast Gliwice. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Raków Częstochowa Win evidence

Raków Częstochowa have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Piast Gliwice.

Raków Częstochowa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Raków Częstochowa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Raków Częstochowa Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Piast Gliwice0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Raków Częstochowa2.6
    Piast Gliwice1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Raków Częstochowa1.2
    Piast Gliwice25%
    BTTS rate
    Raków Częstochowa100%
    Piast Gliwice25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Raków Częstochowa80%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 48% · edge +4.9 pts
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 33%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 25% for Piast Gliwice and 80% for Raków Częstochowa, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRaków Częstochowa to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Raków Częstochowa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Raków Częstochowa to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Piast Gliwice

    WLDL
    Last 51W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 2L
    22 Jan 2026A Odense1-0
    22 Jan 2026A Viborg0-3
    17 Jan 2026A Brondby1-1
    10 Jan 2026A Sigma Olomouc0-2

    Raków Częstochowa

    WWWDD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 0L
    29 Mar 2026H Stal Rzeszów5-1
    28 Jan 2026H SKRA Częstochowa2-1
    23 Jan 2026H Vojvodina3-1
    18 Jan 2026H FK Partizan1-1
    14 Jan 2026H Ludogorets2-2
    Market aligned with main pickRaków Częstochowa to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Raków Częstochowa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Piast Gliwice wins
    0Draws
    6Raków Częstochowa wins
    17 May 2026Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa1-3
    22 Nov 2025Raków Częstochowa v Piast Gliwice1-3
    08 Mar 2025Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa0-3
    30 Aug 2024Raków Częstochowa v Piast Gliwice0-1
    27 Feb 2024Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa3-0
    17 Feb 2024Raków Częstochowa v Piast Gliwice3-1
    Market aligned with main pickRaków Częstochowa to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Raków Częstochowa to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Piast Gliwice5
    Played
    Raków Częstochowa7
    Piast Gliwice0.8
    Avg goals for
    Raków Częstochowa2
    Piast Gliwice1.2
    Avg goals against
    Raków Częstochowa1.3
    Piast Gliwice2
    Clean sheets
    Raków Częstochowa0
    Market aligned with main pickRaków Częstochowa to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Raków Częstochowa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports Raków Częstochowa to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    25%Piast Gliwice Over 2.5
    80%Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Piast Gliwice sit at 25% and Raków Częstochowa sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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