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Pianese crestPianese
v
Sambenedettese crestSambenedettese

Serie C - Girone B | Mon 21 Sep, 19:30

Pianese v Sambenedettese Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pianese and Sambenedettese meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, with Pianese 18th and Sambenedettese 19th. Recent matches have seen low scoring from Pianese, who have netted just 0.2 goals per game, while Sambenedettese have been more productive offensively, averaging 1.2 goals per game but conceding twice per match. This fixture carries importance for both sides aiming to climb away from the relegation zone, setting up a contest where both teams will seek to break defensive lines and find goals despite recent defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Pianese have scored in only 20% of recent matches, while Sambenedettese have scored in 80%.
  • Sambenedettese concede an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • The head-to-head average goals per match is 2, suggesting moderate scoring encounters.
  • Both teams are positioned near the bottom of the league, increasing the likelihood of open play and goal attempts.
  • The model estimates a 60% chance of both teams scoring, with positive value at of 2.1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 60% probability for both teams to score, driven by Sambenedettese's attacking output and defensive weaknesses on both sides. Pianese's low scoring rate tempers the prediction but does not negate the likelihood of both teams finding the net given Sambenedettese's tendency to concede. The of 2.1 offer a positive of 12.4%, making this a sensible selection with standard stake guidance. The data quality is solid, supporting in this forecast.

Model Chance60%
Strong positive
Implied Chance47.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge12.4%
Strong positive
Pianese Scoring Rate20% recent matches
Negative
Sambenedettese Defensive Record2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Main risk

Sambenedettese carry the stronger scoring threat, but Pianese must contribute for BTTS to land.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Sambenedettese's attacking threat combined with Pianese's defensive lapses creates a strong case for both teams to find the net in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Pianese have scored in only 20% of recent matches, while Sambenedettese have scored in 80%.

Sambenedettese concede an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

The head-to-head average goals per match is 2, suggesting moderate scoring encounters.

Both teams are positioned near the bottom of the league, increasing the likelihood of open play and goal attempts.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Sambenedettese's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Pianese's 20%, suggesting the fixture could lean towards more open play and goal chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pianese0.2
Avg goals scored
Sambenedettese1.2
Pianese1
Avg goals conceded
Sambenedettese2
Pianese20%
BTTS rate
Sambenedettese80%
Pianese20%
Over 2.5 goals
Sambenedettese80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent goal trends show Pianese scoring in only 20% of matches, while Sambenedettese score in 80%, with both teams conceding regularly. The head-to-head average of 2 goals per game supports a moderate scoring environment conducive to both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Pianese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Pianese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The of 2.1 for both teams to score reflect a market underestimation compared to the model's 60% probability, indicating a positive value opportunity. This price sensitivity suggests the market may be overlooking Sambenedettese's consistent scoring and defensive frailties on both sides.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pianese

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 3L
16 Sep 2026A Torres1-2
12 Sep 2026H Grosseto0-0
05 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19370-1
28 Aug 2026H Vado0-0
23 Aug 2026A Campobasso FC0-2

Sambenedettese

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 4L
16 Sep 2026H Atalanta II2-3
12 Sep 2026A Pineto1-2
06 Sep 2026H Spezia1-2
29 Aug 2026A Torres0-1
23 Aug 2026H Forli2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Pianese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Pianese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Pianese have struggled to score recently, with only 0.2 goals per game, while Sambenedettese have been more productive offensively but concede frequently. This contrast in form supports a scenario where both teams can score, especially given defensive lapses.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Pianese wins
1Draws
0Sambenedettese wins
24 Jan 2026Sambenedettese v Pianese0-2
13 Sep 2025Pianese v Sambenedettese1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Sambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Pianese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The two previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2 goals per match, a moderate scoring rate that supports the possibility of both teams scoring again. However, the limited sample size means current form and defensive records carry more weight in predicting outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Pianese5
Played
Sambenedettese5
Pianese0.2
Avg goals for
Sambenedettese1.2
Pianese1
Avg goals against
Sambenedettese2
Pianese2
Clean sheets
Sambenedettese0
Best odds for this sectionSambenedettese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 35% · edge +4.8 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Pianese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Pianese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Season-long statistics reveal Sambenedettese's tendency to concede multiple goals per match and maintain a higher scoring rate than Pianese. This imbalance favors a match where both teams are likely to score despite Pianese's lower offensive output.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
18Pianese25023-4
19Sambenedettese15014-4
Both teams occupy the bottom two positions in the league, increasing the stakes for points and encouraging open play. This pressure often leads to defensive mistakes and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Pianese Over 2.5
80%Sambenedettese Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Sambenedettese's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Pianese's 20%, suggesting the fixture could lean towards more open play and goal chances.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Pianese v Sambenedettese prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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