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Pianese crestPianese
v
Ravenna crestRavenna

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 04 Oct, 13:30

Pianese v Ravenna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone B clash sees Ravenna visit Pianese, with Ravenna in strong form and sitting second in the standings, while Pianese struggles near the relegation zone. Ravenna has been defensively solid, conceding no goals recently, and boasts a potent attack averaging 1.6 goals per game. Pianese, by contrast, has scored less than one goal per match and conceded more than one. The tactical battle will likely see Ravenna control proceedings, aiming to capitalize on Pianese's defensive vulnerabilities and secure another three points.

BT4Y best bet

Ravenna to Win

  • Ravenna ranks 2nd with 17 points; Pianese is 19th with 3 points.
  • Ravenna has conceded zero goals recently, showing strong defensive form.
  • Pianese averages only 0.8 goals scored per game, struggling offensively.
  • Ravenna's recent form includes 13 points, indicating momentum advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for Ravenna to win, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive solidity, conceding no goals so far. Pianese's low scoring rate and poor points tally reinforce Ravenna's advantage. The at 1.67 offer positive value with a 10.1% edge, making Ravenna to Win a confident selection. No data quality concerns affect this assessment, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Ravenna Defensive Record0 goals conceded recently
Strong positive
Pianese Offensive Output0.8 goals per game
Negative
Value Edge70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ravenna's tactical discipline and defensive resilience underpin their strong position to claim victory. Their ability to shut down opponents and capitalize on Pianese's scoring struggles makes them the clear favorite in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Ravenna's blend of solid defense and efficient attack positions them well to control this match and extend their winning run against a struggling Pianese side.”

Key Data Signals

Ravenna to Win evidence

Ravenna ranks 2nd with 17 points; Pianese is 19th with 3 points.

Ravenna has conceded zero goals recently, showing strong defensive form.

Pianese averages only 0.8 goals scored per game, struggling offensively.

Ravenna's recent form includes 13 points, indicating momentum advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Ravenna to Win notes

  • Over the last two meetings, the average goals scored is low at 0.5, reflecting tight contests.
  • Current form and defensive records suggest this match may also be low-scoring, with a slower tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel's cautious outlook.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pianese0.8
Avg goals scored
Ravenna1.6
Pianese1.4
Avg goals conceded
Ravenna0
Pianese60%
BTTS rate
Ravenna0%
Pianese40%
Over 2.5 goals
Ravenna20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Goal trends indicate a low likelihood of both teams scoring, with Ravenna's BTTS rate at 0% and Pianese's at 60%. Ravenna's strong defense contrasts with Pianese's modest attack, suggesting a match with limited scoring chances, likely favoring a single-team goal outcome.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pianese

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 4L
26 Sep 2026A Livorno2-3
21 Sep 2026H Sambenedettese1-1
16 Sep 2026A Torres1-2
12 Sep 2026H Grosseto0-0
05 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19370-1

Ravenna

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 0L
27 Sep 2026H Gubbio2-0
20 Sep 2026A Atalanta II2-0
16 Sep 2026A Ostia Mare1-0
13 Sep 2026H Perugia3-0
06 Sep 2026A Pescara0-0
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Ravenna's recent form is impressive, accumulating 13 points and conceding no goals, indicating strong momentum and defensive organization. Pianese's 2 points and higher goals conceded per game reflect ongoing struggles, reinforcing Ravenna's advantage heading into this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 70% for Ravenna to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+10.1 pts). Ravenna have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Pianese.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Pianese Over 2.5
20%Ravenna Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two meetings, the average goals scored is low at 0.5, reflecting tight contests. Current form and defensive records suggest this match may also be low-scoring, with a slower tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel's cautious outlook.

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