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Parma crestParma
v
Cremonese crestCremonese

Coppa Italia | Tue 01 Sep, 17:00

Parma v Cremonese Stats

Data last updated: Tue 22 Sep 2026, 09:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Cremonese in Coppa Italia on Tue 01 Sep, 17:00. Both teams have failed to score in their opening league fixtures, with Parma producing just five shots on target and Cremonese only two from eight attempts. Parma and Cremonese both won their last match, indicating recent positive form for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Trades narrower for broader coverage across all Parma winning scorelines (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, etc

  • At 13/20, Trades narrower for broader coverage across all Parma winning scorelines (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, etc implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Risk Factor: A third goal from either team, or a high-scoring 2-1 or 2-2 outcome if attacking rotations spark immediate efficiency, would defeat this.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 0% for Cremonese, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Parma are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cremonese at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Parma and 0% for Cremonese show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Trades narrower for broader coverage across all Parma winning scorelines (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, etc sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 0% for Cremonese, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Risk Factor: A third goal from either team, or a high-scoring 2-1 or 2-2 outcome if attacking rotations spark immediate efficiency, would defeat this.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Parma are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Risk Factor: A third goal from either team.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because their shared scoring drought and limited finishing suggest a low-scoring game, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible prediction for this cup tie. Parma are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cremonese at 2. However, translating cup efficiency against lower-tier resistance into broader attacking consistency remains unproven for both teams.

Main risk

However, translating cup efficiency against lower-tier resistance into broader attacking consistency remains unproven for both teams.

Key Data Signals

Trades narrower for broader coverage across all Parma winning scorelines (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, etc evidence

Their shared scoring drought and limited finishing suggest a low-scoring game, making Under 2.

Parma are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cremonese at 2.

BTTS rates of 0% for Parma and 0% for Cremonese show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Trades narrower for broader coverage across all Parma winning scorelines (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, etc notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Parma3
Avg corners for
Cremonese2
Parma8
Avg total corners
Cremonese6
Parma1
Avg yellow cards
Cremonese3
Parma12
Avg shots
Cremonese7
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +6.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma2
Avg goals scored
Cremonese2
Parma0
Avg goals conceded
Cremonese0
Parma0%
BTTS rate
Cremonese0%
Parma0%
Over 2.5 goals
Cremonese0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Parma and 0% for Cremonese, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +6.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Parma to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Parma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
14 Aug 2026H Catania2-0

Cremonese

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Sampdoria2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 78% · edge -6.8 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Parma to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Parma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Parma wins
2Draws
4Cremonese wins
21 Mar 2026Parma v Cremonese0-2
21 Sep 2025Cremonese v Parma0-0
05 May 2024Parma v Cremonese1-1
01 Oct 2023Cremonese v Parma1-2
15 Feb 2022Cremonese v Parma3-1
19 Sep 2021Parma v Cremonese1-2
Best odds for this sectionParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 47% · edge -4 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for Parma to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Parma2
Played
Cremonese2
Parma1
Avg goals for
Cremonese2
Parma1
Avg goals against
Cremonese0
Parma1
Clean sheets
Cremonese2
Best odds for this sectionCremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 43% · edge -0.6 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Parma to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Parma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Season data supports Cremonese Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Parma Over 2.5
0%Cremonese Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 0% and Cremonese sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

Parma v Cremonese prediction

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