Parma
CremoneseCoppa Italia | Tue 01 Sep, 17:00
Parma v Cremonese Stats
Data last updated: Mon 31 Aug 2026, 07:42 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Parma and Cremonese meet in the Coppa Italia second round with both sides struggling to find the net in their opening league fixtures, each failing to score in two matches. Parma's attack has been hindered by Mateo Pellegrino's departure, while Cremonese's finishing woes continue after conceding three goals from just three shots on target against Modena. Both teams showed defensive resilience in recent games, setting the stage for a tactical battle likely to produce few goals. Squad fitness concerns and attacking rotations add uncertainty, but the shared scoring drought suggests a low-scoring encounter at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Under 2.5 Goals
- Both Parma and Cremonese have failed to score in their first two league matches this season.
- Parma managed only five shots on target across two league games, Cremonese just two from eight attempts.
- Cremonese conceded three goals from three shots on target in their recent 3-0 defeat to Modena.
- Parma's cup scoring ability, highlighted by Simone Lontani's two goals, contrasts with Cremonese's defensive frailty.
- Recent head-to-heads show tight matches, with Cremonese winning three of the last six encounters.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates Under 2.5 Goals at 66% chance, reflecting both teams' current scoring struggles and defensive solidity. Parma and Cremonese have shown limited attacking threat in league play, with low shots on target and goal conversion rates. The Coppa Italia context and recent form data support a cautious, low-scoring match. No data limitations affect , and the at 1.65 offer a small positive , making this a sensible selection given the tactical and statistical evidence.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
The Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with the tactical reality of two teams struggling to convert chances and maintain attacking fluency. Parma's cup scoring contrasts with league inefficiency, while Cremonese's defensive lapses have not translated into conceding many shots on target. This match is likely to be a tight, low-scoring contest where defensive discipline and finishing struggles dominate.
However, translating cup efficiency against lower-tier resistance into broader attacking consistency remains unproven for both teams.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring analysis
“Parma and Cremonese's shared offensive difficulties and recent defensive performances suggest a cautious game with limited goalmouth action, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical choice for this Coppa Italia tie.”
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Both Parma and Cremonese have failed to score in their first two league matches this season.
Parma managed only five shots on target across two league games, Cremonese just two from eight attempts.
Cremonese conceded three goals from three shots on target in their recent 3-0 defeat to Modena.
Parma's cup scoring ability, highlighted by Simone Lontani's two goals, contrasts with Cremonese's defensive frailty.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring encounters.
- This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a controlled tempo and limited goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Parma
Cremonese
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Coppa Italia
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
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