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Parma crestParma
v
Catania crestCatania

Coppa Italia | Fri 14 Aug, 17:00

Parma v Catania Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 01:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Catania in Coppa Italia on Fri 14 Aug, 17:00. Parma scored 28 league goals last season, with Pellegrino contributing nine of them. Parma and Catania bring comparable attacking form into this contest. Parma’s defensive shape will be tested whenever Catania increase the tempo.

BT4Y match pick

Parma to win and Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 11/5, Parma to win and Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Parma need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Parma on 0 and Catania on 1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 28% for Parma to win and Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Parma need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Parma on 0 and Catania on 1. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Negative
Parma need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Parma Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Parma need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Parma on 0 and Catania on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Parma to win and Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Parma need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Parma on 0 and Catania on 1.

What To Watch In The Data

Parma to win and Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Parma yet.

Catania

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026A Vicenza Virtus1-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 94% · edge -29.3 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma-
Avg goals scored
Catania1
Parma-
Avg goals conceded
Catania1
Parma-
BTTS rate
Catania100%
Parma-
Over 2.5 goals
Catania0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickParma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 88% · edge -41.6 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Parma Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Parma wins
4Draws
3Catania wins
09 Feb 2014Parma v Catania0-0
22 Sep 2013Catania v Parma0-0
24 Feb 2013Parma v Catania1-2
07 Oct 2012Catania v Parma2-0
28 Jan 2012Catania v Parma1-1
21 Dec 2011Parma v Catania3-3
Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 36% vs implied 75% · edge -38.9 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample gives context for Parma to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Parma2
Played
Catania2
Parma1
Avg goals for
Catania1
Parma1
Avg goals against
Catania1.5
Parma1
Clean sheets
Catania0
Market aligned with main pickParma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 88% · edge -41.6 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Season data supports Parma Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Parma Over 2.5
0%Catania Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Parma v Catania prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre