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Parma crestParma
v
Catania crestCatania

Coppa Italia | Fri 14 Aug, 17:00

Parma v Catania Stats

Data last updated: Thu 13 Aug 2026, 06:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Coppa Italia fixture between Parma and Catania presents an intriguing clash as both sides aim to progress in the early knockout stage. Parma enters with limited recent data but will look to assert themselves offensively at home. Catania, showing a tendency to both score and concede in recent outings, brings a dynamic attacking threat that could challenge Parma's defense. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Catania's forward momentum against Parma's need to balance attack and defensive solidity, making goal-scoring from both sides a plausible scenario in this cup tie.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Catania has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches with available data.
  • The model estimates a 76% chance for both teams to score, indicating strong likelihood.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.25 goals, suggesting open games.
  • Parma's data sample is limited, so defensive trends and tactical context are key.
  • The imply a 47.6% chance, offering good value on BTTS with a 28.4% edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to Catania's consistent pattern of scoring and conceding in recent matches, combined with head-to-head averages above two goals per game. Despite limited data for Parma, the attacking impetus from both sides and the cup competition's open nature support a high BTTS probability. The current offer positive value, reflecting a market underestimation of the likelihood that both teams will find the net in this fixture.

Catania BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.25 goals per game
Positive
Parma Data QualityLimited data available
Neutral
Model Chance vs Implied Chance76% vs 47.6%
Strong positive
Competition ContextCoppa Italia knockout encourages open play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches, with Catania particularly prone to conceding and scoring. This match's cup format often leads to open play, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The data supports a bet on both teams scoring, reflecting the tactical openness and recent scoring patterns.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking tendencies of Catania combined with Parma's need to assert themselves in this knockout tie make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle, as defensive caution is unlikely to dominate this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Catania has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches with available data.

The model estimates a 76% chance for both teams to score, indicating strong likelihood.

Head-to-head matches average 2.25 goals, suggesting open games.

Parma's data sample is limited, so defensive trends and tactical context are key.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent matches and head-to-head encounters show an average of 2.25 goals, with a tendency towards open, attacking games.
  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Parma yet.

Catania

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026A Vicenza Virtus1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Catania Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Catania to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Catania's recent form includes scoring and conceding in all recorded matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and offensive effectiveness. Parma's form data is sparse, but the need to progress in the cup may prompt a more open approach, increasing the chance of goals at both ends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma-
Avg goals scored
Catania1
Parma-
Avg goals conceded
Catania1
Parma-
BTTS rate
Catania100%
Parma-
Over 2.5 goals
Catania0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Catania's recent matches show a 100% BTTS rate, indicating a pattern of both scoring and conceding. The head-to-head average of 2.25 goals supports an open game with multiple goals. Parma's limited data tempers certainty but the cup setting often encourages attacking play, reinforcing the BTTS route.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Catania Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Catania to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying less than a 50% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability. This significant suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of goals at both ends, making the BTTS bet a positive-value opportunity without price warnings.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Parma wins
4Draws
3Catania wins
09 Feb 2014Parma v Catania0-0
22 Sep 2013Catania v Parma0-0
24 Feb 2013Parma v Catania1-2
07 Oct 2012Catania v Parma2-0
28 Jan 2012Catania v Parma1-1
21 Dec 2011Parma v Catania3-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Catania to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The eight previous meetings between Parma and Catania average 2.25 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests with goals from both sides. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the BTTS market by reflecting a balanced offensive and defensive dynamic in their encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Parma0
Played
Catania1
Parma0
Avg goals for
Catania2
Parma0
Avg goals against
Catania1
Parma0
Clean sheets
Catania0
Best odds for this sectionCatania Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
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Catania to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Seasonal data for Parma is limited, but Catania's consistent BTTS pattern and goal involvement underline their offensive and defensive balance. This supports the expectation that both teams will find the net, fitting the BTTS market profile for this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Parma Over 2.5
0%Catania Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
Recent matches and head-to-head encounters show an average of 2.25 goals, with a tendency towards open, attacking games. The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.