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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Lyon crestLyon

Ligue 1 | Sat 12 Sep, 19:45

Paris FC v Lyon Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 05:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Lyon in Ligue 1 on Sat 12 Sep, 19:45. Lyon have conceded only two league goals, while also keeping three clean sheets across their last five away Ligue 1 matches, giving their defensive record genuine substance beyond the opening weeks. Paris FC vs Lyon: Unbeaten Starts Put Early Strengths Under the Microscope.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Recent meetings often end level, making Both Teams To Score a sensible choice despite defensive strengths on both sides.
  • Paris FC show a 33% BTTS rate and Lyon show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Paris FC average 2 goals scored and Lyon average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Paris FC show a 33% BTTS rate and Lyon show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Recent meetings often end level, making Both Teams To Score a sensible choice despite defensive strengths on both sides.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Paris FC show a 33% BTTS rate and Lyon show.Visible data support
Positive
Paris FC average 2 goals scored and Lyon average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Recent meetings often end level, making Both Teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because recent meetings often end level, making Both Teams To Score a sensible choice despite defensive strengths on both sides. Paris FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Lyon show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Recent meetings often end level, making Both Teams To Score a sensible choice despite defensive strengths on both.

Paris FC show a 33% BTTS rate and Lyon show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Paris FC average 2 goals scored and Lyon average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris FC2
Avg goals scored
Lyon2
Paris FC0.67
Avg goals conceded
Lyon0.67
Paris FC33%
BTTS rate
Lyon67%
Paris FC67%
Over 2.5 goals
Lyon33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -2.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 33% for Paris FC and 67% for Lyon, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -2.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Paris FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Paris FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Lyon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Lyon Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris FC

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
06 Sep 2026A Marseille3-2
30 Aug 2026H Nice3-0
22 Aug 2026A Estac Troyes0-0

Lyon

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
04 Sep 2026H Auxerre3-1
29 Aug 2026H Le Havre1-1
22 Aug 2026A Toulouse2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Paris FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Paris FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Lyon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Lyon Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Paris FC Over 2.5
33%Lyon Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 67% and Lyon sit at 33% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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