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PAOK crestPAOK
v
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht

UEFA Europa League | Thu 06 Aug, 18:45

PAOK v Anderlecht Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 02:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PAOK face Anderlecht in UEFA Europa League on Thu 06 Aug, 18:45. A 2-1 win for PAOK fits the match context as they need multiple goals to advance and arrive fresh after no weekend fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • PAOK show a 50% BTTS rate and Anderlecht show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • PAOK average 2.5 goals scored and Anderlecht average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. PAOK show a 50% BTTS rate and Anderlecht show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
PAOK show a 50% BTTS rate and Anderlecht show a.Visible data support
Positive
PAOK average 2.5 goals scored and Anderlecht average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. PAOK show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Anderlecht show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Taha Ali remains a concern because of the shoulder problem that kept him out of the first leg.

Main risk

Taha Ali remains a concern because of the shoulder problem that kept him out of the first leg.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

PAOK show a 50% BTTS rate and Anderlecht show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

PAOK average 2.5 goals scored and Anderlecht average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

PAOK0
Avg corners for
Anderlecht10
PAOK0
Avg total corners
Anderlecht10
PAOK2
Avg yellow cards
Anderlecht2
PAOK0
Avg shots
Anderlecht21
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PAOK2.5
Avg goals scored
Anderlecht2
PAOK1
Avg goals conceded
Anderlecht1
PAOK50%
BTTS rate
Anderlecht100%
PAOK50%
Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Anderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PAOK

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
30 Jul 2026H Dynamo Kyiv2-0
23 Jul 2026A Dynamo Kyiv3-2

Anderlecht

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
30 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF3-1
23 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +7.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 81%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Anderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0PAOK wins
0Draws
0Anderlecht wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

PAOK4
Played
Anderlecht5
PAOK1.8
Avg goals for
Anderlecht2.2
PAOK1.5
Avg goals against
Anderlecht0.8
PAOK1
Clean sheets
Anderlecht2
Best odds for this sectionAnderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season data supports Anderlecht Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%PAOK Over 2.5
50%Anderlecht Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: PAOK sit at 50% and Anderlecht sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.