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PAOK crestPAOK
v
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht

UEFA Europa League | Thu 06 Aug, 18:45

PAOK v Anderlecht Stats

Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 03:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League clash features PAOK hosting Anderlecht in a first-leg encounter where both sides aim to establish an advantage. PAOK arrives with solid recent form, securing 6 points from their last matches and averaging 2.5 goals scored per game, while conceding once per match. Anderlecht, with 4 points recently and a strong attacking presence averaging 2 goals per game, is known for their offensive threat and high BTTS rate. The tactical battle promises open play, with both teams likely to seek goals to gain momentum ahead of the return leg.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • PAOK and Anderlecht both have a 50% BTTS rate recently, with Anderlecht at 100% BTTS in last matches.
  • PAOK averages 2.5 goals scored per game, Anderlecht 2 goals, indicating attacking intent.
  • Anderlecht averages 10.5 shots and 3 shots on target per match, showing offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting potential for multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 76% chance for Both Teams to Score, reflecting the attacking profiles and recent form of PAOK and Anderlecht. Both teams have shown consistent goal-scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, with Anderlecht notably maintaining a 100% BTTS rate recently. The match context suggests open play and offensive intent from both sides, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends. Data quality is solid, with no limitations on team data, reinforcing in this prediction.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Anderlecht BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
PAOK Goals For2.5 per game
Positive
Defensive ConcessionBoth concede ~1 goal per game
Positive
Main risk

The winner of this two-legged third-round qualifier will face either Kairat Almaty or Levski Sofia, but thoughts of the next stage must wait.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking tendencies and recent scoring records of PAOK and Anderlecht make Both Teams to Score a logical expectation in this Europa League opener, where neither side can afford to play overly cautious.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

PAOK and Anderlecht both have a 50% BTTS rate recently, with Anderlecht at 100% BTTS in last matches.

PAOK averages 2.5 goals scored per game, Anderlecht 2 goals, indicating attacking intent.

Anderlecht averages 10.5 shots and 3 shots on target per match, showing offensive pressure.

Both teams have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting potential for multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both PAOK and Anderlecht have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a moderate frequency of higher-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with their attacking tendencies, suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, supporting the BTTS and potential Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

PAOK0
Avg corners for
Anderlecht5
PAOK0
Avg total corners
Anderlecht5
PAOK2
Avg yellow cards
Anderlecht2.5
PAOK0
Avg shots
Anderlecht10.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 29%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Anderlecht exerts significant offensive pressure, averaging 10.5 shots and 3 shots on target per match, alongside 5 corners, indicating sustained attacking phases. PAOK's lower shot and corner data suggest a more measured approach, but the card averages (2 yellows for PAOK, 2.5 for Anderlecht) reflect a moderately physical contest likely to see fouls and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PAOK2.5
Avg goals scored
Anderlecht2
PAOK1
Avg goals conceded
Anderlecht1
PAOK50%
BTTS rate
Anderlecht100%
PAOK50%
Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both PAOK and Anderlecht have demonstrated attacking potency, with PAOK scoring 2.5 goals per game and Anderlecht 2 goals per game recently. Anderlecht's 100% BTTS rate in recent matches highlights their consistent goal threat, while PAOK's 50% BTTS rate suggests some variability. The combined data supports a game with goals from both sides.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Anderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The Both Teams to Score market is priced with a solid of 76%, indicating a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. While no explicit are provided, the model suggests this is a sound selection based on attacking and defensive profiles, without current price warnings or value concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PAOK

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
30 Jul 2026H Dynamo Kyiv2-0
23 Jul 2026A Dynamo Kyiv3-2

Anderlecht

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
30 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF3-1
23 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +10.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Anderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 81%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form data shows PAOK securing 6 points with 2.5 goals scored per game and conceding once, while Anderlecht has 4 points and 2 goals scored per game with a similar concession rate. Anderlecht's perfect BTTS rate contrasts with PAOK's 50%, indicating Anderlecht's matches are more consistently open, supporting the Both Teams to Score prediction.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0PAOK wins
0Draws
0Anderlecht wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between PAOK and Anderlecht, so historical data offers no direct insight. The prediction relies on recent form and team profiles rather than past encounters.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

PAOK2
Played
Anderlecht2
PAOK2.5
Avg goals for
Anderlecht2
PAOK1
Avg goals against
Anderlecht1
PAOK1
Clean sheets
Anderlecht0
Best odds for this sectionAnderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Anderlecht to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
PAOK to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
PAOK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season-long statistics reveal both teams maintain balanced attacking and defensive outputs, with PAOK and Anderlecht each conceding around one goal per game while maintaining solid scoring rates. This equilibrium suggests matches involving these teams tend to be competitive with goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS market choice.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%PAOK Over 2.5
50%Anderlecht Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both PAOK and Anderlecht have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a moderate frequency of higher-scoring games. This trend, combined with their attacking tendencies, suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, supporting the BTTS and potential Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.