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Ostia Mare crestOstia Mare
v
Forli crestForli

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 27 Sep, 13:30

Ostia Mare v Forli Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ostia Mare and Forli meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing attacking intent but mixed defensive records. Ostia Mare sits 15th with 6 points, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, while Forli ranks 8th with 9 points, scoring 2 goals per game but conceding 1.6. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency for goals, with Forli involved in BTTS outcomes 80% of the time and Ostia Mare 60%. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities from both sides, setting the stage for a contest where both teams finding the net is a strong possibility.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Forli has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal threat and defensive vulnerability.
  • Ostia Mare also records a 60% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, supporting an open game.
  • Recent form points: Ostia Mare 6, Forli 8, reflecting competitive but not dominant performances.
  • No previous head-to-head data, so current season form and scoring patterns guide the BTTS outlook.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 76% chance of both teams scoring, well above the implied 61.7% chance from current , indicating positive value. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities alongside defensive frailties, with Forli's 80% BTTS rate particularly notable. The attacking openness and defensive concessions from both sides create a strong football read for BTTS. Data quality is solid with no significant limitations, reinforcing in this selection.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Forli BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Ostia Mare BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Goals Scored and ConcededBoth teams average ~1.4+ goals scored and conceded
Positive
Data QualityGood data coverage for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly, making both teams to score a logical pick. Forli's stronger attacking output combined with Ostia Mare's defensive vulnerabilities suggests a lively match with goals at both ends. The data supports this tactical expectation, making BTTS a compelling betting angle.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“The attacking profiles and defensive lapses of both Ostia Mare and Forli set up a game where goals at both ends are highly probable. Forli's consistent BTTS record especially highlights their offensive threat and defensive openness.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Forli has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal threat and defensive vulnerability.

Ostia Mare also records a 60% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, supporting an open game.

Recent form points: Ostia Mare 6, Forli 8, reflecting competitive but not dominant performances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the current season, Ostia Mare has a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate while Forli has 40%.
  • This mixed trend suggests moderate goal totals, but combined with high BTTS rates, the match is likely to feature goals from both sides rather than a low-scoring affair.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ostia Mare

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 4L
20 Sep 2026A Gubbio2-0
16 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-1
13 Sep 2026A Torres2-3
05 Sep 2026A Vis Pesaro2-1
29 Aug 2026H Grosseto1-2

Forli

DDWLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
19 Sep 2026H Torres1-1
16 Sep 2026A Pineto1-1
12 Sep 2026H Vis Pesaro2-1
05 Sep 2026A Latina0-2
29 Aug 2026H Pescara6-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 65% · edge +14.7 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Forli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Ostia Mare to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Recent form shows both teams earning points but with defensive concessions, reflected in their BTTS rates. Forli's 8 points and 80% BTTS rate indicate consistent attacking output, while Ostia Mare's 6 points and 60% BTTS rate suggest vulnerability at the back alongside goal-scoring ability.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ostia Mare1.4
Avg goals scored
Forli2
Ostia Mare1.4
Avg goals conceded
Forli1.6
Ostia Mare60%
BTTS rate
Forli80%
Ostia Mare60%
Over 2.5 goals
Forli40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown a strong propensity for goals and BTTS outcomes this season, with Forli involved in BTTS 80% of matches and Ostia Mare 60%. Their average goals scored and conceded per game further underline an open game likely to see goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Forli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Ostia Mare to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Ostia Mare show a 60% BTTS rate and Forli show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Ostia Mare Over 2.5
40%Forli Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the current season, Ostia Mare has a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate while Forli has 40%. This mixed trend suggests moderate goal totals, but combined with high BTTS rates, the match is likely to feature goals from both sides rather than a low-scoring affair.

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